Yeral Martinez — OGILVIE

Yeral MartinezRF FCL Marlins

Age 23 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 167 proj PA

wRC+†8

AVG/OBP/SLG.130 / .199 / .219

PA167

HR3

K%45

BB%6

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	113	100	5	2	0	1	12	83	0	1	0	50	152	100	252	50	235	73	11	118	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	113	95	11	5	0	2	17	58	0	1	0	116	250	232	482	116	250	51	15	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	99	90	10	1	0	2	4	57	2	0	0	111	167	189	356	78	235	58	4	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	99	87	20	2	0	5	7	37	2	0	0	230	302	425	727	195	312	37	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	314	282	39	9	1	4	23	146	8	12	2	138	224	220	444	82	263	46	7	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	314	276	66	13	2	9	29	92	8	12	2	239	329	399	728	159	324	29	9	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	236	220	23	5	3	4	12	126	3	8	3	105	162	209	371	105	209	53	5	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	236	215	35	8	4	5	16	94	3	8	3	163	230	307	537	144	256	40	7	241	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	179	163	21	3	0	3	12	87	4	7	2	129	207	202	409	74	247	49	7	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	179	156	30	4	0	4	19	61	4	7	2	192	296	295	591	103	286	34	11	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	MIA	—	167	152	21	4	1	3	10	75	3	3	1	138	206	237	443	99	227	45	6	196	8	-17	+0	+0	-2	+5	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	30%	233	212	31	6	1	5	15	99	4	4	1	146	216	255	471	108	237	42	6	213	21	-21	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.7
2027	24	MLB	MIA	30%	70	64	9	2	0	1	5	30	1	1	0	141	214	219	433	78	233	43	7	198	10	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	70	64	9	2	0	1	5	30	1	1	0	141	214	219	433	78	242	43	7	198	10	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	84	19	0	9	46	279	9	9	0	141	214	219	433	77	245	43	7	198	10	-66	+2	+0	-7	+18	-5.4
Career	—			—	1341	1219	150	30	6	22	88	673	24	35	9	123	197	212	408	89	241	50	7	185	0	-151	+3	+0	-14	+38	-12.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	74	15	3	11	43	326	12	17	4	125	200	217	417	91	244	50	7	185	0	-73	+2	+0	-7	+18	-6.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	113	95	11	5	0	2	17	58	0	1	0	116	250	232	482	116	250	51	15	231	35	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	99	87	20	2	0	5	7	37	2	0	0	230	302	425	727	195	312	37	7	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	314	276	66	13	2	9	29	92	8	12	2	239	329	399	728	159	324	29	9	327	109	+3	+2	—	—	+9	1.4
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	236	215	35	8	4	5	16	94	3	8	3	163	230	307	537	144	256	40	7	241	42	-15	+0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2025	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	83	77	14	3	0	1	4	32	2	2	0	182	241	260	501	78	295	39	5	232	36	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	96	79	16	1	0	3	15	29	2	5	2	203	344	329	673	127	277	30	16	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	237	4	5	136	203	229	-3	-1	-1.9	-1.0
	/162	664	12	13	136	203	229	-7.1	-2.8	-5.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yeral Martinez (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	40→45	50→55	47	130/199/219	89	227	3	3	45%	6%	8	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	44→45	47→45	37	165/231/277	113	250	12	7	38%	6%	36	-2.7	189/250/287	98	292	9	8	36%	6%	46	-2.0	170/232/237	67	267	6	5	37%	6%	23	-1.3
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	35→39	41→45	53→55	36	171/231/266	95	289	9	15	42%	7%	32	-3.0	187/237/283	96	339	7	13	44%	6%	38	-2.6	175/220/271	96	331	5	13	46%	5%	26	-2.8
✕Derek Jones 2014 · A	24	32→28	42→40	49→50	32	168/219/265	96	266	10	11	40%	4%	27	-3.3	177/237/275	98	306	10	10	43%	6%	37	-2.6	147/215/236	88	266	10	8	46%	6%	15	-2.9
✕Kingston Liniak 2022 · A	22	32→26	43→45	52→50	37	171/231/278	108	255	11	13	36%	6%	35	-2.8	191/261/298	107	281	10	10	33%	8%	53	-1.5	150/252/236	86	212	7	3	30%	12%	32	-0.6
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	180/226/266	86	279	6	7	36%	5%	29	-3.2	191/237/272	81	304	5	9	37%	5%	35	-2.8	184/220/265	81	284	5	8	36%	4%	24	-2.1
✕Casey Hughston 2017 · A	23	30→36	42→40	50	29	159/199/255	96	273	10	11	45%	4%	14	-4.2	168/220/257	89	320	7	10	46%	6%	24	-3.5	154/211/236	82	301	6	10	48%	6%	13	-3.0
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	37→38	37→40	49→45	40	178/241/247	70	276	4	6	35%	7%	31	-3.0	199/256/283	84	308	4	6	34%	7%	46	-2.0	206/267/289	83	328	0	0	34%	8%	49	-0.4
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	32→23	41→50	53→60	34	164/219/261	97	284	9	23	44%	6%	25	-3.5	167/239/307	140	311	17	22	48%	8%	47	-1.9	132/218/273	141	245	18	30	51%	9%	28	-1.7
✕Reydel Medina 2016 · A	23	33→37	47→45	48→50	30	178/214/311	134	277	16	11	42%	4%	37	-2.7	186/219/301	115	339	10	8	46%	3%	36	-2.7	177/207/293	116	332	9	7	48%	3%	27	-2.0
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	38	37→40	52→50	40	181/252/250	68	281	4	11	35%	7%	37	-2.6	182/254/282	100	281	10	15	36%	7%	46	-2.0	154/232/257	103	234	12	19	37%	8%	28	-1.3
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2023 · A	23	35	39→40	42→50	31	172/216/258	86	296	6	7	43%	5%	23	-3.6	198/238/286	88	290	8	11	33%	5%	40	-2.4	198/236/280	82	276	8	13	30%	4%	34	-1.4
✕Robert Ramirez 2014 · A	22	34	37→45	47→40	32	170/202/244	73	259	5	8	36%	4%	12	-4.4	195/233/306	111	309	8	4	38%	4%	42	-2.3	193/230/326	133	307	10	2	39%	3%	44	-0.8
✕Demi Orimoloye 2019 · A	22	36→35	41→40	51→55	36	182/236/278	96	274	9	17	36%	5%	37	-2.6	183/229/278	95	299	9	16	40%	5%	34	-2.8	167/205/258	91	280	9	19	42%	4%	15	-2.6
✕Juan Carlos Negret 2022 · A	23	25→26	45	44→50	34	138/222/249	111	261	14	4	49%	8%	27	-3.3	169/239/303	134	246	17	4	37%	7%	46	-2.0	159/229/296	137	211	19	2	34%	7%	39	-1.7
✕Frederick Cuevas 2021 · A	23	40	38→40	47→45	36	192/232/273	82	283	4	6	33%	5%	33	-2.9	202/262/309	107	277	10	13	29%	7%	56	-1.3	171/239/271	101	225	10	17	28%	8%	36	-1.1
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→31	40	51→50	36	158/209/247	88	227	7	14	33%	5%	18	-3.9	165/218/263	98	256	10	15	38%	5%	26	-3.4	147/202/242	95	231	12	16	41%	6%	12	-2.9
✕Shaver Hansen 2011 · A	23	36	39→40	53→45	35	174/230/262	88	292	6	10	40%	6%	30	-3.1	196/243/283	87	297	6	8	34%	5%	40	-2.4	191/233/269	78	279	4	6	32%	5%	30	-1.8
✕Yuber Rodriguez 2007 · A	23	37→30	36→40	49→50	40	178/240/240	62	276	4	15	35%	7%	29	-3.2	191/242/273	82	305	6	11	37%	6%	38	-2.6	180/227/261	81	289	6	8	38%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Jordan Renz 2006 · A	23	35→28	41→45	43→45	34	174/225/260	86	291	10	7	42%	6%	27	-3.3	175/222/310	135	295	18	5	45%	5%	40	-2.4	160/205/305	145	260	21	4	46%	4%	31	-2.4
✕Malik Collymore 2018 · A	23	38	39→40	53→50	35	179/240/262	82	312	6	13	42%	6%	34	-2.8	205/258/310	105	343	9	15	40%	6%	55	-1.4	192/234/303	112	331	10	21	43%	4%	38	-0.8