Fernando Caldera

C FCL Astros

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 230 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	A+HOU	75	.123/.240/.231	1	0	-24	—	.072/.147/.145
2024	21	AHOU	79	.136/.278/.136	0	0	-8	—	.100/.203/.100
2025	22	A+HOU	22	.095/.136/.095	0	0	-62	—	.048/.091/.048
2025	22	ROKHOU	23	.300/.391/.450	0	0	45	—	.238/.304/.381
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBHOU	200	.195/.262/.289	3	3	56	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBHOU	39	.201/.268/.303	1	1	60	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBHOU	104	.204/.271/.311	2	1	63	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 A+

BB%80

Chase%68

ISO47

wOBA9

Speed8

wRC+5

CompsGerrion Grim (age 23) · Kyle Robinson (age 23) · Ulrich Bojarski (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .260 / .287

PA76

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	75	65	8	4	0	1	10	36	0	0	0	123	240	231	471	108	250	48	13	225	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	66	9	0	0	0	11	26	2	0	1	136	278	136	415		225	33	14	219	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		154	36	5	114	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	23	20	6	1	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	300	391	450	841	150	462	30	9	376	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	33	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	156	37	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	306	51	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	277	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	75	69	5	2	0	1	6	48	0	0	0	72	147	145	292	72	199	64	8	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	70	7	0	0	0	7	35	2	0	1	100	203	100	303		197	44	9	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	48	91	48	139		136	50	5	76	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	23	21	5	1	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	238	304	381	685	143	361	43	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	33	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	170	37	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	333	51	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	286	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	138	12	2	0	1	14	82	2	0	1	87	182	123	305	36	200	53	9	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	154	131	17	4	0	1	21	62	2	0	1	130	260	183	443	53	235	40	14	222	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	286	47	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	45	41	8	1	1	0	3	15	1	0	0	195	267	268	535	73	308	33	7	248	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	82	9	3	0	1	6	33	1	1	3	110	182	183	365	73	156	37	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	101	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	158	245	267	513	109	306	51	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	277	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	137	12	2	0	1	14	82	2	0	1	88	182	124	306	36	198	53	9	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	251	47	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	137	12	2	0	1	14	82	2	0	1	88	182	124	306	36	198	53	9	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	251	47	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	200	182	35	6	1	3	14	67	2	3	1	195	262	289	551	94	287	34	7	251	56	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	131	119	24	4	1	2	10	43	1	2	1	199	266	300	566	101	287	33	8	257	60	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	235	214	43	8	1	4	17	76	2	3	1	202	269	308	577	106	288	32	7	262	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	299	272	55	10	2	5	22	95	3	4	1	203	271	310	581	107	287	32	7	263	64	-13	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	340	308	62	11	2	6	26	107	3	3	1	203	271	310	582	107	286	31	8	264	65	-14	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	359	326	66	12	2	6	27	113	3	2	1	203	271	309	580	106	285	31	8	263	64	-15	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	201	268	303	571	102	292	33	8	259	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	104	94	20	4	1	2	8	33	1	1	0	204	271	311	582	107	292	32	8	264	63	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	146	133	27	5	1	2	11	46	1	2	1	205	273	313	586	108	292	32	8	265	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	175	158	32	6	1	3	13	55	2	2	1	206	273	314	587	108	291	31	7	266	65	-7	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	185	167	35	7	1	3	14	58	2	1	1	205	273	312	585	107	289	31	8	265	64	-8	-0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	649	588	121	23	4	11	49	205	6	7	3	206	274	315	588	109	293	32	8	265	50	-28	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	121	23	4	11	49	205	6	7	3	205	273	314	587	109	292	32	8	265	50	-28	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1903	1725	317	58	10	29	142	673	21	20	10	184	254	279	534	96	279	35	7	243	50	-63	+1	-2	+26	+31	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	108	20	3	10	49	230	7	7	3	183	254	278	533	95	278	35	8	243	50	-28	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.1	725	12	7	203	267	308	+13	+12	0.1	0.1
/162	664	11	7	+11.9	+11.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Caldera (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	194/260/287	93	287	1	1	33%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A	23	34	41→50	46→40	31	167/214/258	91	296	9	6	45%	5%	32	-3.7	194/233/328	134	283	18	5	37%	4%	55	-1.9	179/211/328	149	233	23	2	35%	3%	45	-1.8
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	34	41→45	50→30	39	175/225/279	104	243	8	4	31%	5%	40	-3.0	201/249/288	87	294	5	5	31%	6%	51	-2.3	201/249/297	96	300	5	1	33%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Ulrich Bojarski 2022 · A	23	36→42	39→45	46→45	29	172/214/252	80	313	7	6	45%	4%	30	-3.8	185/241/306	121	378	14	8	51%	6%	53	-2.1	116/182/295	178	189	29	4	56%	5%	28	-0.7
✕Ben Verlander 2016 · A	24	36→34	37→40	46→40	37	180/224/248	68	255	5	4	31%	5%	32	-3.6	197/245/277	80	273	5	5	28%	5%	47	-2.6	195/241/273	78	265	5	2	27%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Isaac Galloway 2013 · A	23	35→42	42→45	47→55	28	182/208/284	102	283	10	10	39%	3%	34	-3.5	194/220/288	94	285	7	16	34%	3%	39	-3.1	205/252/344	139	272	17	25	31%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jordan Renz 2006 · A	23	35→28	41→45	43→45	34	174/225/260	86	291	10	7	42%	6%	36	-3.4	174/221/308	134	294	18	5	45%	5%	46	-2.6	158/204/302	144	258	20	4	46%	4%	37	-2.5
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	178/223/263	85	276	6	7	36%	5%	36	-3.4	194/239/278	84	304	5	9	36%	5%	45	-2.7	190/227/277	87	288	6	8	35%	4%	37	-2.0
✕Zach Zubia 2022 · A	24	44→33	36→45	48→30	34	182/248/243	62	366	3	5	47%	7%	41	-3.0	194/297/311	117	303	14	2	36%	12%	76	-0.4	179/289/300	121	266	16	1	36%	13%	69	-0.5
✕Lucas LeBlanc 2012 · A	23	39	37→40	49→50	30	186/218/256	70	298	4	12	38%	3%	31	-3.7	199/250/283	84	294	6	8	33%	4%	51	-2.3	184/241/255	71	267	5	3	31%	4%	40	-1.4
✕Adanson Cruz 2023 · A	22	40	39→40	47→50	29	163/224/242	79	367	7	6	54%	6%	32	-3.6	196/260/273	77	336	5	9	40%	7%	53	-2.1	192/267/239	47	310	0	10	34%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Drew Lugbauer 2021 · A	24	33→34	45→60	46→30	31	170/221/287	117	296	14	3	46%	6%	41	-3.0	188/257/365	177	314	24	2	45%	8%	74	-0.6	181/256/378	197	290	28	1	46%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Orlando Sandoval 2008 · A	22	37	37→40	44→50	31	178/218/251	73	292	5	8	39%	4%	30	-3.8	212/248/296	84	332	5	8	36%	3%	52	-2.2	209/253/309	99	321	7	9	35%	3%	54	-1.0
✕Brian Navarreto 2018 · AA	23	37	37→45	43→30	38	184/226/250	66	245	5	3	27%	4%	34	-3.5	198/236/287	89	243	8	3	22%	4%	46	-2.6	197/246/311	114	243	14	1	25%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Tyler Massey 2012 · A	23	37→47	37→45	46→50	34	183/220/257	74	268	4	8	33%	4%	32	-3.6	218/260/323	105	284	10	14	26%	5%	63	-1.3	221/262/327	106	279	11	16	24%	5%	62	-1.2
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	35→45	39→45	48→50	37	178/219/266	87	253	6	10	32%	5%	34	-3.5	216/282/320	104	328	8	8	33%	8%	71	-0.8	213/289/324	112	322	9	6	34%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Steve Laurino 2017 · A	24	36	38→30	43→30	42	179/240/256	76	250	6	3	30%	7%	40	-3.0	189/243/275	86	288	8	5	35%	6%	46	-2.6	149/195/210	61	244	7	0	40%	4%	11	-1.5
✕Luis Tejada 2015 · A	22	40→44	37→45	51→50	36	194/235/263	68	271	4	10	29%	4%	39	-3.1	216/261/317	101	274	9	8	24%	5%	62	-1.4	214/262/322	108	262	10	7	22%	5%	61	-0.8
✕LG Castillo 2021 · A	22	38	38→40	47→45	29	188/217/263	75	303	7	6	40%	3%	32	-3.6	210/248/314	104	361	11	10	43%	4%	57	-1.8	201/231/300	99	351	13	11	45%	3%	43	-1.2
✕Anthony Hewitt 2011 · A	22	35→41	42→45	46→55	25	174/209/273	99	307	11	8	46%	3%	33	-3.6	189/222/302	113	315	12	16	43%	3%	45	-2.7	175/208/271	96	297	11	16	44%	3%	29	-2.1
✕Mark Dolenc 2007 · A	22	38→48	35→40	49→55	39	184/229/243	59	259	3	11	30%	5%	32	-3.6	211/263/283	72	316	4	16	32%	6%	55	-2.0	232/273/313	81	345	5	19	33%	5%	62	-1.0

Fernando Caldera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps