Johnny Ascanio

SS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 S/R 5'8" / 189 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AACIN	47	.122/.217/.146	0	0	-14	—	.116/.174/.140
2025	22	A+CIN	275	.240/.382/.350	4	3	80	—	.227/.337/.319
2026	23	AACIN	140	.322/.435/.383	1	3	113	—	.314/.399/.372
2026	23	A+CIN	122	.210/.342/.260	0	0	47	—	.183/.292/.221
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBCIN	5	.193/.287/.256	0	0	58	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBCIN	95	.199/.292/.277	1	1	65	-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBCIN	161	.203/.295/.291	2	2	69	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA83

wRC+80

BB%79

Chase%78

K%75

Whiff%75

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsKawika Emsley-Pai (age 24) · J.R. Taylor (age 24) · Casey Turgeon (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .287 / .256

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP250

ISO69

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	141	111	37	5	3	0	19	22	8	12	7	333	464	432	896	99	407	16	13	402	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	54	48	11	0	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	229	315	229	544		297	20	11	262	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	71	61	21	3	2	0	8	18	1	5	2	344	429	459	888	115	477	25	11	393	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	212	54	15	1	4	23	47	1	3	1	255	331	392	722	137	309	20	10	320	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	68	55	12	0	0	1	10	12	1	4	0	218	348	273	621	55	262	18	15	290	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	289	250	55	11	0	3	24	45	5	8	3	220	301	300	601	80	251	16	8	270	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Perth Heat	—	89	81	19	3	2	0	5	14	1	1	2	235	287	321	608	86	284	16	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	47	41	5	1	0	0	5	14	0	0	0	122	217	146	364	24	179	30	11	179	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	275	217	52	8	2	4	42	44	8	3	3	240	382	350	732	111	281	16	15	332	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	140	115	37	4	0	1	19	28	4	3	0	322	435	383	817	61	419	20	14	374	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	122	100	21	5	0	0	15	25	5	0	0	210	342	260	602	50	276	20	12	287	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	141	116	27	3	2	0	14	27	8	12	7	233	355	293	648	60	280	19	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	54	50	10	0	0	0	4	15	0	0	0	200	259	200	459		281	28	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	71	64	15	2	1	0	5	26	1	5	2	234	300	297	597	62	374	37	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	219	46	11	1	3	16	64	1	3	1	210	267	311	577	100	272	27	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	68	58	12	0	0	1	7	15	1	4	0	207	303	259	562	52	247	22	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	289	257	50	9	0	2	17	62	5	8	3	195	258	253	511	58	231	21	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	47	43	5	1	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	116	174	140	313	23	173	36	6	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	275	229	52	8	2	3	30	56	8	3	3	227	337	319	656	92	268	20	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	140	121	38	4	0	1	13	34	4	3	0	314	399	372	770	58	414	24	9	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	122	104	19	4	0	0	11	32	5	0	0	183	292	221	513	38	254	26	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	141	116	27	3	2	0	14	27	8	12	7	233	355	293	648	60	297	19	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	141	111	37	5	3	0	19	22	8	12	7	333	464	432	896	99	407	16	13	402	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	125	114	25	2	1	0	9	40	1	5	2	219	282	254	537	35	333	32	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	125	109	32	3	2	0	14	29	1	5	2	294	379	358	737	64	395	23	11	336	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	219	46	11	1	3	16	64	1	3	1	210	267	311	577	100	281	27	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	212	54	15	1	4	23	47	1	3	1	255	331	392	722	137	309	20	10	320	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	446	394	78	11	0	4	31	96	7	13	5	198	269	256	525	58	247	22	7	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	446	386	86	14	2	4	39	71	7	13	5	223	306	301	606	78	259	16	9	273	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	322	272	57	9	2	3	33	73	8	3	3	210	313	290	604	81	271	23	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	322	258	57	9	2	4	47	58	8	3	3	221	358	318	676	97	266	18	15	310	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	225	57	8	0	1	24	66	9	3	0	253	349	302	651	49	352	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	262	215	58	9	0	1	34	53	9	3	0	270	391	326	717	56	352	20	13	334	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	141	118	27	3	2	0	14	27	8	12	7	229	355	288	643	59	280	19	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	125	114	25	2	1	0	9	40	1	5	2	219	282	254	537	35	334	32	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	221	46	11	1	3	16	64	1	3	1	208	267	308	575	100	272	27	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	446	405	78	11	0	4	31	96	7	13	5	193	269	249	518	57	234	22	7	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	322	278	57	9	2	3	33	73	8	3	3	205	313	284	597	79	254	23	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	227	57	8	0	1	24	66	9	3	0	251	349	300	648	48	339	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	446	405	78	11	0	4	31	96	7	13	5	193	269	249	518	57	234	22	7	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	322	278	57	9	2	3	33	73	8	3	3	205	313	284	597	79	254	23	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	227	57	8	0	1	24	66	9	3	0	251	349	300	648	48	339	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	312	273	53	9	1	2	29	71	7	4	1	192	287	254	540	61	249	23	9	255	58	-15	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CIN	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	193	287	256	543	63	250	20	0	256	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	31%	305	267	53	9	1	3	29	70	6	3	1	198	291	273	564	75	252	23	10	264	65	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	362	318	64	10	1	5	34	82	7	4	1	202	294	286	580	85	254	23	9	269	69	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	386	339	68	11	1	5	36	88	8	4	1	203	294	290	585	87	256	23	9	271	69	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	399	351	72	12	1	6	37	92	8	3	1	204	294	292	586	88	257	23	9	271	70	-14	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	400	353	72	12	1	6	37	93	7	2	1	203	293	292	584	88	257	23	9	270	69	-15	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	398	351	70	12	1	5	37	94	7	0	1	201	289	284	573	84	256	24	9	266	66	-16	-0	-2	+4	+9	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	31%	95	84	17	3	0	1	9	22	2	1	0	199	292	277	569	78	253	23	9	265	65	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	161	142	28	5	0	2	15	37	3	2	1	203	295	291	586	88	255	23	9	272	69	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	190	166	34	5	1	3	18	43	4	2	1	204	296	295	591	90	256	23	9	273	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	206	181	37	6	1	3	19	48	4	1	1	205	295	297	592	92	257	23	9	273	70	-7	-0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	206	181	37	6	1	3	19	48	4	1	0	205	294	297	590	92	258	23	9	273	69	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	205	180	37	6	1	3	19	48	4	0	0	202	290	289	579	87	256	23	9	268	66	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1063	934	190	31	4	15	99	246	21	7	3	203	294	293	587	90	258	23	9	271	65	-40	+0	-2	+11	+23	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	116	19	2	9	61	150	13	4	2	203	295	291	585	88	258	23	9	271	65	-25	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4034	3537	732	117	13	43	360	942	82	58	25	207	295	284	579	77	267	23	9	264	65	-98	+1	-4	+27	+54	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	118	19	2	7	58	152	13	9	4	207	295	284	579	77	267	23	9	264	65	-26	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,068	14	7	203	290	289	+11	+9	0.0	0.1
/162	664	9	4	+7.1	+5.6	0.0	pk7: 0
#5Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johnny Ascanio (OGILVIE)	24	45	35	45	60	191/284/251	61	249	2	3	23%	9%	58	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	42	36→30	46→40	55	197/296/268	72	273	3	7	26%	12%	66	-1.1	193/287/268	75	277	5	7	29%	11%	62	-1.4	157/268/213	56	230	5	4	30%	12%	43	-0.7
✕J.R. Taylor 2007 · AA	24	47→52	35→30	43→50	52	216/287/275	58	261	2	12	17%	8%	63	-1.4	213/290/284	71	267	4	11	20%	9%	66	-1.1	185/287/210	25	231	0	6	18%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Casey Turgeon 2017 · AA	24	44	39→40	47→45	54	210/298/302	91	261	5	7	20%	10%	74	-0.6	208/287/304	96	270	9	8	24%	9%	70	-0.8	186/273/268	81	238	10	6	25%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Carlos Alvarez 2010 · A	24	44	37→40	47→45	55	202/286/281	79	233	3	7	15%	9%	65	-1.2	203/295/277	74	245	3	9	17%	10%	68	-1.0	187/301/252	66	217	3	12	14%	12%	66	-0.4
✕Frainyer Chavez 2024 · AAA	25	42→47	38→40	44→50	44	200/265/273	72	276	6	10	28%	7%	54	-2.0	218/280/300	82	291	7	15	26%	7%	66	-1.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Jose R. Flores 2012 · AA	24	48→49	39→40	48→45	46	230/280/315	85	275	7	8	19%	6%	69	-0.9	223/272/302	79	274	5	7	19%	6%	63	-1.4	228/272/295	67	277	2	5	18%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	46	200/275/266	66	266	4	5	25%	8%	57	-1.8	215/292/303	88	278	6	4	23%	8%	72	-0.7	212/295/296	84	268	6	2	21%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Guilder Rodriguez 2007 · AA	24	49→54	35→30	50→55	48	229/292/284	55	289	2	8	21%	8%	66	-1.1	243/295/286	43	296	2	15	17%	7%	68	-1.0	253/301/278	25	302	1	18	15%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/265/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	215/286/290	75	307	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	44	40	47→40	51	210/290/306	96	280	8	5	26%	10%	72	-0.7	223/296/316	93	296	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	220/296/301	80	288	8	3	24%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Ronald Bueno 2017 · AA	24	46	38→40	49→50	45	215/273/296	81	290	4	11	26%	7%	62	-1.4	216/275/325	109	279	9	7	25%	7%	70	-0.9	207/267/323	116	259	10	2	23%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	37→45	39→40	47→40	54	180/284/263	83	241	7	6	26%	11%	61	-1.5	193/282/279	86	272	8	4	29%	10%	63	-1.3	203/293/298	95	263	9	0	25%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Jhon Nuñez 2019 · AA	24	48	38→40	46→50	42	228/277/306	78	295	5	10	24%	5%	65	-1.2	227/278/327	100	286	9	10	23%	5%	72	-0.7	238/279/337	100	287	11	10	21%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Chris Berset 2012 · A	24	42	38→40	42→40	51	198/289/279	80	256	5	6	23%	9%	65	-1.2	200/272/290	90	244	8	4	20%	8%	61	-1.5	189/258/268	79	226	7	1	19%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Adam Ricks 2007 · A	24	47→45	37→30	43→30	52	222/295/288	66	277	4	3	21%	9%	69	-0.9	211/277/288	77	270	5	5	22%	8%	62	-1.4	199/267/271	71	253	4	4	21%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Joseph Rosa 2021 · A	24	43→45	38→40	44→50	42	206/272/288	81	291	6	9	30%	7%	60	-1.6	213/281/321	108	313	9	17	32%	7%	72	-0.7	204/281/306	102	306	8	21	33%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Tyler Friis 2021 · AA	25	44	39→40	47→50	51	211/279/299	88	257	6	12	20%	8%	65	-1.2	224/280/312	88	292	5	17	24%	7%	68	-1.0	239/286/302	63	308	0	30	21%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2017 · A	24	46→53	37→45	50→45	48	215/274/293	78	278	3	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	216/280/310	94	291	7	6	26%	8%	68	-1.0	215/276/312	97	290	8	3	27%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Edson Garcia 2017 · AAA	24	47→50	39→40	46→45	50	224/284/317	93	257	6	11	16%	7%	71	-0.8	228/286/344	116	268	10	10	18%	6%	78	-0.3	222/286/339	117	266	10	9	20%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Justin Snyder 2010 · AA	24	45→51	39→40	45→40	48	217/277/301	83	271	6	4	22%	7%	65	-1.2	226/295/318	92	276	7	6	19%	9%	76	-0.4	237/318/324	87	281	5	3	16%	10%	84	+0.1

Johnny Ascanio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps