Yehizon Sanchez

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+OAK	37	51	6.18	3.73	18.0%	11.0%	—	K 13.8% · BB 12.7% · FIP 4.51
2025	24	A+OAK	39	41	4.14	3.85	21.0%	12.5%	—	K 16.2% · BB 14.4% · FIP 4.82
2026	25	MIX2 levels	40	63	5.12	3.38	24.7%	14.1%	—	K 19.8% · BB 14.5% · FIP 4.06
2027PROJ	26	MLBMIN	67	70	5.48	5.48	17.5%	15.9%	-0.7
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBMIN	24	25	5.39	5.40	18.1%	15.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBMIN	37	39	5.37	5.40	18.3%	15.0%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control35Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Julian Arballo (age 27) · Jake Gilbert (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%17.5%

BB%15.9%

K-BB%1.6%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	7	4	21	83	15	7	0	57%	3.0	12.3%	10.5%	1.7%	0.0%	0.43	3.40	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	7	4	21	83	15	7	0	57%	3.0	18.1%	8.4%	9.6%	0.0%	0.43	2.67	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	3	26	122	30	18	3	33%	2.9	18.1%	16.7%	1.5%	4.0%	7.62	5.88	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	3	26	122	30	18	3	33%	2.9	24.6%	14.8%	9.8%	2.5%	7.62	4.37	—
2022	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	22	16	92	418	77	37	22	73%	4.2	13.6%	10.4%	3.2%	6.8%	5.75	7.02	—
2022	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	22	16	92	418	77	37	22	73%	4.2	18.4%	8.9%	9.6%	5.3%	5.75	5.73	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	10	74	375	67	39	14	38%	2.8	12.9%	12.6%	0.3%	4.9%	9.61	6.29	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	10	74	375	67	39	14	38%	2.8	17.9%	10.4%	7.5%	3.7%	9.61	5.33	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	37	0	51	245	44	27	3	0%	1.4	13.8%	12.7%	1.2%	1.8%	6.18	4.51	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	37	0	51	245	44	27	3	0%	1.4	13.8%	12.7%	1.2%	1.8%	6.18	4.51	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	37	0	51	245	44	27	3	0%	1.4	18.0%	11.0%	6.9%	1.2%	6.18	3.73	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	41	176	37	22	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.4%	1.8%	2.3%	4.14	4.82	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	41	176	37	22	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.4%	1.8%	2.3%	4.14	4.82	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	41	176	37	22	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	1.7%	4.14	3.85	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	63	291	72	41	3	0%	1.6	19.8%	14.5%	5.2%	1.4%	5.12	4.06	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	63	291	72	41	3	0%	1.6	19.8%	14.5%	5.2%	1.4%	5.12	4.06	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	63	291	72	41	3	0%	1.6	24.7%	14.1%	10.7%	1.0%	5.12	3.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	MIN	67	0	70	296	52	47	8	0%	1.0	17.5%	15.9%	1.6%	2.7%	5.48	5.48	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	66	0	69	291	53	45	8	0%	1.0	18.1%	15.3%	2.8%	2.8%	5.39	5.40	-0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIN	64	0	67	282	52	42	8	0%	1.0	18.3%	15.0%	3.4%	2.9%	5.37	5.40	-0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIN	61	0	64	270	50	40	8	0%	1.0	18.4%	14.9%	3.4%	3.0%	5.42	5.48	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	24	0	25	106	19	16	3	0%	1.0	18.1%	15.3%	2.8%	2.8%	5.39	5.40	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIN	37	0	39	165	30	25	5	0%	1.1	18.3%	15.0%	3.4%	2.9%	5.37	5.40	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIN	43	0	45	190	35	28	6	0%	1.0	18.4%	14.9%	3.4%	3.0%	5.42	5.48	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		104	0	110	463	85	70	13	0%	1.1	18.3%	15.0%	3.2%	2.9%	5.40	5.06	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	128	24	0%	1.1	18.3%	15.0%	3.2%	2.9%	5.40	5.06	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		180	33	369	1710	257	219	64	18%	2.0	15.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.8%	6.12	5.51	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	18	200	927	140	118	35	18%	2.0	15.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.8%	6.12	5.51	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yehizon Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	17.5%	15.9%	2.7%	—	5.43	18.3%	3.2%	200	-0.05	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	88
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	83
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	83
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	83
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	81
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	81
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	81
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	80
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	80
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	80
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	79
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	79
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	79
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	79
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	79
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	79
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	79
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	78
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	18.1%	15.3%	1.09	5.42
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*