Juan Corniel — OGILVIE

Juan CornielSS Visalia Rawhide

Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 150 lbs A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 271 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .258 / .281

PA271

HR1

K%25

BB%5

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	207	188	46	9	3	0	12	51	1	6	3	245	294	324	618	80	322	25	6	272	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	340	313	77	11	3	2	25	66	0	4	7	246	301	319	620	73	305	19	7	282	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	150	138	31	4	0	2	10	24	1	1	6	225	282	297	579	72	257	16	7	264	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	272	236	56	7	5	0	28	52	5	14	4	237	331	309	640	72	301	19	10	294	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA	Reno Aces	—	20	19	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	316	350	368	718	53	333	5	0	327	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	275	254	49	6	0	0	17	62	3	6	6	193	252	217	468	24	255	23	6	221	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	84	77	18	5	0	1	3	16	1	0	1	234	272	338	609	104	283	19	4	264	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	21	20	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	150	190	200	390	50	214	29	5	181	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	164	139	32	8	1	0	18	42	1	7	7	230	323	302	625	72	323	26	11	280	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	207	193	34	6	2	0	7	75	1	6	3	176	209	228	437	52	263	36	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	340	322	71	10	3	1	17	90	0	4	7	220	260	280	539	59	302	26	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	150	141	29	4	0	2	7	33	1	1	6	206	248	277	525	71	246	22	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	272	244	50	6	5	0	20	69	5	14	4	205	279	270	549	66	275	25	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	20	19	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	299	5	0	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	275	260	39	4	0	0	11	87	3	6	6	150	193	165	359	15	226	32	4	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	84	78	18	4	0	1	2	19	1	0	1	231	259	321	580	90	277	23	2	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	21	20	3	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	200	390	50	193	38	5	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	164	145	27	6	1	0	12	58	1	7	7	186	253	241	495	55	291	35	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	207	193	34	6	2	0	7	75	1	6	3	176	209	228	437	52	274	36	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	207	188	46	9	3	0	12	51	1	6	3	245	294	324	618	80	322	25	6	272	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	340	322	71	10	3	1	17	90	0	4	7	220	260	280	539	59	302	26	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	340	313	77	11	3	2	25	66	0	4	7	246	301	319	620	73	305	19	7	282	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	422	385	78	9	5	2	27	102	6	15	10	203	266	268	533	65	268	24	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	422	374	87	11	5	2	38	76	6	15	10	233	313	305	618	72	284	18	9	284	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	295	279	44	5	0	0	11	88	4	6	6	158	201	176	376	18	230	30	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	295	273	55	7	0	0	17	63	4	6	6	201	259	227	486	26	262	21	6	228	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	269	243	48	12	1	1	15	85	2	7	8	198	250	267	517	70	296	32	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	269	236	53	14	1	1	22	64	2	7	8	225	296	305	601	81	301	24	8	268	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	207	197	34	6	2	0	7	75	1	6	3	173	209	223	432	51	263	36	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	340	320	71	10	3	1	17	90	0	4	7	222	260	281	541	59	302	26	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	422	386	78	9	5	2	27	102	6	15	10	202	266	267	532	65	265	24	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	295	278	44	5	0	0	11	88	4	6	6	158	201	176	377	18	231	30	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	269	250	48	12	1	1	15	85	2	7	8	192	250	260	510	68	279	32	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	295	278	44	5	0	0	11	88	4	6	6	158	201	176	377	18	231	30	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	269	250	48	12	1	1	15	85	2	7	8	192	250	260	510	68	279	32	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	319	298	63	14	1	1	15	78	3	5	2	214	260	283	543	69	282	24	5	246	53	-18	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	328	306	67	14	2	3	16	80	3	5	3	218	266	301	567	83	283	24	5	256	59	-16	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	377	350	77	16	2	4	20	92	4	6	3	221	270	313	583	92	284	24	5	263	64	-16	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	396	368	82	17	2	5	21	96	4	6	3	221	272	316	587	94	284	24	5	264	65	-16	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	99	93	22	5	1	1	5	24	1	2	1	225	273	315	588	90	294	24	5	264	59	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	166	154	35	8	1	2	9	40	2	3	1	228	277	326	603	99	294	24	5	271	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	194	179	40	9	1	2	11	47	2	3	1	228	278	328	607	100	294	24	6	272	65	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	459	426	97	22	3	5	25	111	5	8	3	228	279	329	607	101	295	24	5	270	47	-20	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	137	31	4	7	35	157	7	11	4	227	277	327	604	100	294	24	5	270	47	-28	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2905	2699	555	101	18	17	147	775	27	59	45	206	254	275	529	70	279	27	5	237	47	-64	-0	+0	+15	+30	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	125	23	4	4	33	173	6	13	10	207	255	278	533	71	281	27	5	237	47	-30	-0	+0	+7	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	730	6	11	219	264	302	+8	+6	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	6	10	+7.1	+5.5	-0.6	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Corniel (OGILVIE)	24	35	20	50	45	212/258/281	69	282	1	4	25%	5%	53	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eliezer Zambrano 2011 · AA	24	41	37→30	49→40	36	199/233/267	68	270	4	7	27%	4%	40	-3.1	209/254/290	81	262	6	6	22%	5%	53	-2.1	210/239/254	45	242	4	2	15%	3%	37	-1.1
✕Luis Mendez 2017 · AA	24	45	35→30	45→50	44	213/272/271	57	280	3	12	24%	6%	56	-1.9	208/268/294	86	283	7	11	27%	7%	60	-1.6	202/258/285	83	268	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	193/248/248	54	285	2	14	32%	6%	41	-3.0	218/278/290	72	315	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/291/287	61	329	2	11	29%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2011 · AA	24	45→42	36→40	50→55	40	213/259/282	69	296	2	15	28%	5%	53	-2.1	200/245/270	70	274	4	11	27%	5%	45	-2.7	182/222/237	55	244	4	9	26%	3%	25	-1.5
✕Frainyer Chavez 2023 · AAA	24	46→47	36→40	50	45	215/279/279	64	294	3	14	26%	7%	60	-1.6	209/270/284	75	286	6	12	27%	7%	58	-1.7	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA	24	43→40	36→40	53→60	42	197/266/271	73	305	2	16	34%	8%	54	-2.0	215/283/294	79	309	3	27	29%	8%	65	-1.2	215/285/288	74	303	3	35	28%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Ronald Bueno 2017 · AA	24	46	38→40	49→50	45	215/273/296	81	290	4	11	26%	7%	62	-1.4	216/275/325	109	279	9	7	25%	7%	70	-0.9	207/267/323	116	259	10	2	23%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Delvis Morales 2015 · AAA	24	44	35→30	44→50	45	206/272/264	58	288	3	9	28%	8%	55	-2.0	210/274/276	66	313	4	11	32%	7%	58	-1.7	191/255/206	15	303	0	15	34%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Tim Arakawa 2017 · AAA	24	44→42	36→30	48→50	49	206/276/275	68	269	4	10	24%	9%	59	-1.7	214/279/294	80	299	7	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	210/277/273	63	306	8	13	32%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Engelb Vielma 2018 · AAA	24	48→52	34→30	44→50	42	226/268/275	49	292	1	11	22%	5%	54	-2.0	207/262/281	74	284	3	7	26%	6%	55	-2.0	165/241/230	64	250	0	0	31%	7%	33	-0.8
✕Kevin Vicuña 2022 · AAA	24	44→42	36→40	50	39	210/263/278	68	287	4	15	27%	5%	54	-2.0	227/279/316	89	297	6	12	24%	5%	69	-0.9	234/284/323	89	303	4	10	23%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Edgar Duran 2015 · AAA	24	45→46	37→40	43→50	40	215/256/287	73	272	5	9	23%	4%	53	-2.1	204/254/280	76	255	5	8	21%	5%	51	-2.2	188/245/239	51	240	2	0	21%	5%	36	-0.8
✕Stephen Perez 2016 · AA	25	42→48	36→30	50	46	197/258/263	66	263	3	13	25%	7%	49	-2.4	205/272/272	67	276	5	14	25%	8%	57	-1.8	202/276/258	55	273	4	15	26%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Jhon Nuñez 2019 · AA	24	48	38→40	46→50	42	228/277/306	78	295	5	10	24%	5%	65	-1.2	227/278/327	100	286	9	10	23%	5%	72	-0.7	238/279/337	100	287	11	10	21%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Jake Palomaki 2019 · A	24	43	39→30	52→50	49	209/276/292	83	254	7	11	20%	7%	63	-1.4	205/274/262	57	260	2	14	20%	8%	55	-1.9	222/293/268	46	282	1	17	20%	8%	61	-0.9
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	43	184/250/264	80	271	5	13	32%	8%	47	-2.6	201/277/290	89	292	6	20	30%	9%	63	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	39→44	37→40	51→50	46	186/263/256	70	278	4	15	32%	9%	50	-2.3	206/285/302	96	295	8	14	30%	10%	69	-0.9	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Jeff Dominguez 2010 · AA	24	45→51	38→40	49→50	42	215/263/294	79	278	5	14	24%	5%	57	-1.8	219/263/313	94	286	8	13	25%	5%	61	-1.5	219/259/316	97	282	8	13	25%	4%	58	-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2018 · AA	25	44→43	38→40	45→50	43	212/263/295	83	280	5	7	26%	6%	57	-1.8	220/285/331	111	294	8	6	26%	8%	74	-0.5	213/295/355	142	265	15	2	25%	10%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps