Nate Savino

P Hillsboro Hops

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	20	18	45	7.15	4.82	23.4%	15.6%	—	K 16.8% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.85
2025	23	MIX3 levels	37	0	73	4.93	3.80	19.5%	12.9%	—	K 15.1% · BB 14.5% · FIP 4.26
2026	24	MIX2 levels	31	0	57	5.97	4.74	18.7%	9.5%	—	K 14.6% · BB 10.8% · FIP 5.56
2027PROJ	25	MLBARI	41	0	43	5.44	5.44	15.6%	12.5%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBARI	27	0	28	5.27	5.23	17.4%	12.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBARI	39	0	41	5.20	5.20	17.8%	11.9%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWill Lamb (age 25) · Chris Reed (age 25) · Kyle Hunter (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.44

FIP5.44

K%15.6%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%3.1%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	45	218	51	34	6	90%	2.3	16.8%	18.8%	-2.0%	3.2%	7.15	5.85	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	45	218	51	34	6	90%	2.3	16.8%	18.8%	-2.0%	3.2%	7.15	5.85	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	18	45	218	51	34	6	90%	2.3	23.4%	15.6%	7.8%	2.8%	7.15	4.82	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	73	333	65	43	4	0%	2.0	15.1%	14.5%	0.6%	1.1%	4.93	4.26	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	73	333	65	43	4	0%	2.0	15.1%	14.5%	0.6%	1.1%	4.93	4.26	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	0	73	333	65	43	4	0%	2.0	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	1.2%	4.93	3.80	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	57	262	49	25	9	0%	1.8	14.6%	10.8%	3.8%	4.2%	5.97	5.56	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	57	262	49	25	9	0%	1.8	14.6%	10.8%	3.8%	4.2%	5.97	5.56	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	57	262	49	25	9	0%	1.8	18.7%	9.5%	9.2%	3.4%	5.97	4.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	41	0	43	182	28	23	6	0%	1.0	15.6%	12.5%	3.1%	3.1%	5.44	5.44	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	277	48	34	9	0%	1.0	17.4%	12.1%	5.3%	3.1%	5.27	5.23	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	62	0	65	273	49	33	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	3.1%	5.20	5.20	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	27	0	28	118	21	14	4	0%	1.0	17.4%	12.1%	5.3%	3.1%	5.27	5.23	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	39	0	41	173	31	21	5	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	3.1%	5.20	5.20	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	291	51	35	9	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	3.1%	5.23	4.83	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	101	26	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	3.1%	5.23	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		88	18	176	813	125	118	22	20%	2.0	15.4%	14.5%	0.9%	2.7%	5.84	5.10	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	20	200	926	142	134	25	20%	2.0	15.4%	14.5%	0.9%	2.7%	5.84	5.10	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nate Savino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.44	15.6%	12.5%	3.1%	—	5.22	17.6%	5.6%	130	-0.22	—	—	—
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	83
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	83
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	83
Cody Stull L 2017 · 4.73 FIP	25	SU	4.73	11.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.310	3.16	16.7%	8.1%	81	-1.57	2.57	264	81
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	81
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	80
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	80
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	80
Fred Schlichtholz L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	25	SU	4.63	15.5%	13.4%	2.1%	.343	3.49	22.3%	16.4%	35	-1.14	3.49	175	80
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	79
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	79
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	79
T.J. Sikkema L 2023 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	16.1%	13.2%	4.8%	.245	3.86	17.2%	9.6%	159	-2.18	3.57	300	79
Justin Thomas L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	13.1%	10.4%	1.7%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	105	79
Bryan Harper L 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.236	4.38	17.1%	5.3%	92	-0.52	4.13	133	78
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	78
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	78
Estevan Gonzalez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SU	5.21	12.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	195	78
Kumar Nambiar L 2023 · 4.94 FIP	25	SU	4.94	14.0%	13.0%	2.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	221	78
Jason Kershner L 2002 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	16.8%	12.1%	2.8%	.233	4.04	14.5%	8.1%	76	-0.72	3.87	100	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	17.1%	12.1%	1.20	5.29
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*