Brad Cumbest — OGILVIE

Brad CumbestOF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 26 R/R 6'6" / 235 lbs A H +10%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .252 / .299

PA118

HR2

K%35

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

33→33

SPD

42→42

EYE

37→37

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-3M		$-26M	-$23M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$23M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	20	18	1	0	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	.056	.150	.056	.206	.000	.167	60	10	.089	-74	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.4
2024	24	A	2 teams	260	239	26	7	2	2	11	132	7	0	0	.109	.171	.180	.351	.071	.222	51	4	.163	-17	-34	+0	+0	-2	+7	-2.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	COL	118	108	21	4	1	2	8	41	1	2	0	.194	.256	.306	.562	.111	.278	35	7	.251	51	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 10%	COL	134	122	24	4	1	3	10	46	1	2	0	.197	.263	.320	.583	.123	.280	34	7	.259	56	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	28	MLB 20%	COL	223	203	40	7	1	5	16	74	2	3	1	.197	.262	.315	.578	.118	.281	33	7	.263	59	-10	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.6
2029	29	MLB 33%	COL	277	251	50	9	2	6	21	92	3	4	1	.199	.269	.323	.592	.124	.281	33	8	.264	60	-13	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.8
2030	30	MLB 47%	COL	313	284	56	10	2	7	23	104	3	4	1	.197	.265	.320	.585	.123	.279	33	7	.262	59	-15	+0	-2	-2	+9	-1.0
2031	31	MLB 61%	COL	322	292	57	10	2	7	24	108	3	3	0	.195	.263	.315	.578	.120	.278	34	7	.258	56	-16	+1	-3	-2	+9	-1.1
2032	32	MLB 78%	COL	318	288	55	10	2	6	24	108	3	3	0	.191	.260	.302	.562	.111	.276	34	8	.254	52	-17	+1	-4	-2	+9	-1.3
2033	33	MLB	COL	298	271	49	9	1	5	22	104	3	3	0	.181	.250	.277	.527	.096	.274	35	7	.248	48	-17	+1	-4	-2	+8	-1.5
2034	34	MLB	COL	262	239	43	8	1	4	19	93	2	3	0	.180	.246	.272	.518	.092	.273	35	7	.242	43	-17	+1	-5	-2	+7	-1.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2545	2315	422	78	15	47	180	914	28	27	3	.182	.250	.290	.540	.108	.274	36	7	.245	46	-156	+4	-20	-15	+72	-11.7
/ 162G	—			650	591	108	20	4	12	46	233	7	7	1	.183	.250	.291	.541	.108	.274	36	7	.245	46	-40	+1	-5	-4	+18	-3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	20	17	1	0	0	0	3	8	0	.059	.200	.059	.259	.000	.111	40	15	.150	-27	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	185	171	24	8	2	2	10	72	2	.140	.197	.246	.442	.105	.222	39	5	.200	11	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2024	24	ROK	ACL Rockies	75	61	18	4	3	1	8	25	5	.295	.419	.508	.927	.213	.472	33	11	.405	168	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brad Cumbest (OGILVIE)	26	20	33	42	37	.188/.252/.299	.112	.278	2	2	35%	7%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	37→36	41→45	40	43	.186/.254/.276	.090	.256	9	2	30%	7%	45	-2.1	.209/.273/.344	.135	.289	16	4	32%	7%	70	-0.3	.196/.255/.367	.171	.257	24	2	34%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→29	43→45	46→40	35	.184/.232/.292	.108	.283	11	5	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.203/.251/.317	.114	.300	13	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	.191/.237/.292	.101	.273	13	0	34%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	40→41	45→50	44→50	38	.204/.257/.326	.122	.289	13	9	33%	6%	59	-1.1	.196/.253/.340	.144	.300	19	10	39%	6%	62	-0.9	.165/.222/.300	.135	.246	20	14	41%	7%	37	-1.6
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→32	43→40	46→50	37	.201/.264/.310	.109	.312	11	11	37%	6%	58	-1.2	.206/.279/.294	.088	.335	7	14	38%	7%	60	-1.0	.202/.285/.272	.070	.341	4	17	38%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→39	45	45→50	39	.191/.258/.315	.124	.278	12	11	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.189/.266/.294	.105	.293	8	13	36%	8%	56	-1.3	.164/.257/.268	.103	.258	7	16	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	37→31	46→50	42→45	34	.189/.245/.322	.133	.287	14	4	38%	5%	53	-1.5	.201/.250/.327	.126	.292	14	6	35%	5%	56	-1.3	.196/.243/.318	.122	.278	14	5	34%	4%	46	-0.9
✕Jon Townsend 2011 · A	26	43	41→40	45→50	38	.207/.266/.302	.095	.305	10	9	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.223/.277/.321	.098	.328	9	10	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.238/.287/.327	.089	.340	8	9	31%	6%	69	-0.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	42→55	45→50	35	.173/.235/.271	.098	.281	10	6	40%	6%	36	-2.7	.198/.254/.317	.119	.290	12	10	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.201/.254/.332	.131	.279	12	11	31%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Austin Wilson 2017 · A	25	41→40	45	44→45	36	.198/.273/.316	.118	.317	13	6	39%	6%	65	-0.7	.189/.256/.275	.086	.326	9	7	42%	6%	46	-2.0	.131/.184/.131	—	.240	0	0	43%	5%	-26	-1.5
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	38→36	43→45	40	36	.193/.240/.301	.108	.284	11	4	35%	5%	44	-2.1	.186/.257/.293	.107	.306	10	9	39%	8%	50	-1.7	.161/.248/.260	.099	.271	8	9	40%	9%	36	-1.4
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	40→33	44→45	45	34	.200/.249/.312	.112	.290	12	9	34%	4%	52	-1.6	.191/.245/.289	.098	.290	10	6	36%	5%	44	-2.1	.159/.213/.222	.063	.242	8	0	36%	5%	10	-1.9
✕Jon Mark Owings 2011 · A	26	40→43	44→50	45	36	.202/.247/.325	.122	.288	12	8	33%	5%	54	-1.4	.221/.275/.357	.136	.296	14	7	29%	6%	74	-0.1	.221/.275/.373	.153	.283	17	4	28%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	47→50	39	.184/.244/.304	.120	.244	14	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	.203/.249/.336	.133	.277	16	10	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.254/.334	.129	.270	15	10	29%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→43	44→45	48→50	36	.203/.250/.319	.116	.288	12	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.216/.261/.332	.116	.297	11	10	30%	5%	62	-0.9	.216/.262/.331	.115	.289	11	10	28%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	33	42→40	49→45	41	.172/.233/.267	.095	.245	10	6	33%	7%	33	-2.9	.188/.255/.278	.090	.259	8	8	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.175/.250/.252	.077	.233	6	7	26%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Marcus Chiu 2022 · A	25	38→27	45	43→45	36	.181/.266/.304	.123	.322	14	5	44%	7%	59	-1.1	.202/.270/.326	.124	.305	14	5	37%	6%	66	-0.6	.184/.254/.305	.121	.274	15	3	37%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	36→37	38→40	42→45	43	.176/.254/.250	.074	.253	6	8	31%	8%	39	-2.5	.189/.253/.265	.076	.287	5	7	34%	7%	41	-2.3	.166/.232/.219	.053	.259	3	3	35%	6%	18	-2.1
✕Anthony Garibaldi 2007 · A	26	38	42→40	45	37	.191/.253/.291	.100	.273	11	9	33%	5%	49	-1.8	.192/.254/.292	.100	.304	10	8	38%	6%	49	-1.8	.150/.217/.234	.084	.266	8	5	44%	6%	15	-1.1
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	38→37	45	45	41	.194/.248/.319	.124	.243	13	8	26%	5%	53	-1.5	.206/.253/.325	.119	.279	13	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	.187/.224/.312	.125	.250	16	17	32%	5%	37	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)