Anthony Arguelles

Anthony Arguelles P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 RHP 5'10" / 195 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%19.8%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%3.8%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	0	1	5	1	0	0	0%	0.7	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.41	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	0	1	5	1	0	0	0%	0.7	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	35	140	45	15	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	14.0%	8.9%	1.0%	2.55	3.47	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	35	140	45	15	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	14.0%	8.9%	1.0%	2.55	3.47	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	35	140	45	15	1	0%	1.1	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	0.7%	2.55	2.19	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	38	0	57	236	59	32	2	0%	1.5	19.2%	15.6%	3.7%	1.1%	3.34	4.05	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	38	0	57	236	59	32	2	0%	1.5	19.2%	15.6%	3.7%	1.1%	3.34	4.05	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	38	0	57	236	59	32	2	0%	1.5	25.0%	13.6%	11.4%	0.8%	3.34	3.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	WSH	67	0	70	296	58	47	8	0%	1.0	19.8%	16.0%	3.8%	2.8%	5.37	5.37	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	66	0	69	291	59	45	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.29	5.30	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	WSH	64	0	67	282	57	42	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	15.0%	5.2%	3.0%	5.28	5.31	-0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	WSH	61	0	64	270	54	40	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	15.0%	5.2%	3.1%	5.33	5.40	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	24	0	25	106	21	16	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.29	5.30	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	WSH	37	0	39	165	33	25	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	15.0%	5.2%	3.0%	5.28	5.31	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	WSH	43	0	45	190	38	28	6	0%	1.0	20.2%	15.0%	5.2%	3.1%	5.33	5.40	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		104	0	110	463	93	70	14	0%	1.1	20.2%	15.1%	5.1%	3.0%	5.30	4.96	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	128	26	0%	1.1	20.2%	15.1%	5.1%	3.0%	5.30	4.96	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		71	0	93	381	78	56	4	0%	1.3	20.6%	14.8%	5.8%	1.0%	2.99	3.80	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	0	200	816	168	121	8	0%	1.3	20.6%	14.8%	5.8%	1.0%	2.99	3.80	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Arguelles (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	19.8%	16.0%	2.8%	—	5.34	20.2%	5.0%	200	-0.03	—	—	—
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	87
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	87
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	86
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	86
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	85
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	85
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	84
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	84
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Holt Jones R 2024 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	19.0%	15.0%	1.8%	.326	4.32	22.4%	8.3%	123	-0.04	4.21	254	83
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	83
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	83
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	83
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	82
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	82
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	82
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	20.1%	15.3%	1.14	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68