Bradley Hanner
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%24.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 11 | 0 | 27 | 108 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 18.9% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 4.39 | 3.98 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 11 | 0 | 27 | 108 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.9% | 4.39 | 2.69 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 26 | 1 | 42 | 208 | 49 | 33 | 0 | 4% | 1.6 | 17.4% | 18.7% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 7.13 | 4.00 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 26 | 1 | 42 | 208 | 49 | 33 | 0 | 4% | 1.6 | 23.6% | 15.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.13 | 3.12 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 39 | 1 | 59 | 250 | 65 | 27 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 4.60 | 4.21 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 39 | 1 | 59 | 250 | 65 | 27 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 26.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 1.6% | 4.60 | 3.15 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 41 | 0 | 65 | 280 | 70 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.2% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 2.78 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 41 | 0 | 65 | 280 | 70 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 2.1% | 2.78 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 66 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 1.6% | 2.91 | 3.50 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 66 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.5% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 2.91 | 2.96 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 42 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 62 | 25 | 13 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 4.74 | 5.60 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 42 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 62 | 25 | 13 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.0% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 6.1% | 4.74 | 5.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 32 | 0 | 41 | 169 | 50 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 0.7% | 1.99 | 2.52 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 62 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 100 | 420 | 112 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 26.8% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 3.65 | 3.87 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 24.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 60 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 4.80 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 56 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 52 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 4.97 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 4.80 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 4.97 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 95 | 0 | 99 | 420 | 102 | 48 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 4.88 | 4.57 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 205 | 97 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 4.88 | 4.57 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 235 | 2 | 337 | 1469 | 316 | 190 | 33 | 1% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 3.98 | 4.15 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 1 | 200 | 871 | 187 | 113 | 19 | 1% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 3.98 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bradley Hanner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 24.9% | 11.5% | 3.6% | — | 4.94 | 24.3% | 12.7% | 165 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 86 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 85 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 85 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 85 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 84 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 84 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 84 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 83 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 83 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 2.7% | 45 | +0.84 | 3.74 | 163 | 83 |
| Braden Zarbnisky R 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.04 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 82 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 82 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.33 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% | .256 | 4.63 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.70 | 2.69 | 315 | 82 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 81 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 81 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .209 | 4.89 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.89 | 3.58 | 157 | 81 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 81 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 56 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 1.43 | 4.85 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |