Bradley Hanner — OGILVIE

Bradley Hanner P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%23.9%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

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Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	11	0	27	108	30	12	1	0%	2.4	18.9%	13.9%	5.0%	1.3%	4.39	3.98	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	11	0	27	108	30	12	1	0%	2.4	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	0.9%	4.39	2.69	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	26	1	42	208	49	33	0	4%	1.6	17.4%	18.7%	-1.3%	0.0%	7.13	4.00	—
2021	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	26	1	42	208	49	33	0	4%	1.6	23.6%	15.9%	7.7%	0.0%	7.13	3.12	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	39	1	59	250	65	27	4	3%	1.5	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	2.1%	4.60	4.14	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	39	1	59	250	65	27	4	3%	1.5	26.0%	10.8%	15.2%	1.6%	4.60	3.15	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	41	0	65	280	70	32	6	0%	1.6	20.2%	12.6%	7.7%	2.8%	2.78	4.54	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	41	0	65	280	70	32	6	0%	1.6	20.2%	12.6%	7.7%	2.8%	2.78	4.54	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	41	0	65	280	70	32	6	0%	1.6	25.0%	11.4%	13.6%	2.1%	2.78	3.63	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	56	240	66	24	4	0%	1.3	22.5%	11.1%	11.4%	1.6%	2.91	3.47	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	56	240	66	24	4	0%	1.3	22.5%	11.1%	11.4%	1.6%	2.91	3.47	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	56	240	66	24	4	0%	1.3	27.5%	10.0%	17.5%	1.7%	2.91	2.96	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	42	0	49	214	62	25	13	0%	1.2	24.0%	10.5%	13.5%	6.1%	4.74	5.76	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	42	0	49	214	62	25	13	0%	1.2	24.0%	10.5%	13.5%	6.1%	4.74	5.76	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	42	0	49	214	62	25	13	0%	1.2	29.0%	11.7%	17.3%	6.1%	4.74	5.53	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	0	5	26	7	1	4	0%	1.3	26.9%	3.8%	23.1%	15.4%	11.81	10.79	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	49	0	61	256	72	26	6	0%	1.2	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	1.0%	3.26	2.88	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	49	0	61	256	72	26	6	0%	1.2	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	1.0%	3.26	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	NYY	45	0	55	230	65	25	2	0%	1.2	28.3%	10.9%	17.4%	0.9%	2.44	2.57	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	NYY	4	0	5	26	7	1	4	0%	1.3	26.9%	3.8%	23.1%	15.4%	11.81	9.76	—
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	NYY	4	0	5	26	7	1	4	0%	1.3	26.9%	3.8%	23.1%	15.4%	11.81	9.76	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	NYY	5	0	5	23	5	2	1	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.5%	13.3%	3.6%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	NYY	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.3%	3.6%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	66	279	77	28	7	—	—	27.8%	10.2%	17.6%	2.4%	3.36	3.01	+1.3
FULL	27	MLB A+C	NYY	—	—	11	45	77	28	7	—	—	170.9%	62.7%	108.2%	15.1%	20.67	4.88	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55	0	58	244	58	25	10	0%	1.0	24.0%	10.2%	13.8%	4.2%	5.03	5.07	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	52	0	55	233	55	24	10	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	4.3%	5.07	5.14	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	52	0	55	232	56	24	10	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.2%	13.8%	4.2%	5.03	5.07	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	50	0	52	220	52	23	9	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	4.3%	5.07	5.14	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		111	0	118	501	120	50	24	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.9%	14.1%	4.8%	5.33	4.97	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	0	200	850	204	85	41	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.9%	14.1%	4.8%	5.33	4.97	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		252	2	357	1556	329	194	34	1%	1.4	21.1%	12.5%	8.6%	2.2%	4.08	4.09	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	1	200	871	184	109	19	1%	1.4	21.1%	12.5%	8.6%	2.2%	4.08	4.09	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bradley Hanner (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	23.9%	10.6%	3.7%	—	5.10	23.8%	13.6%	113	+0.28	—	—	—
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	87
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	87
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	86
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	86
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	85
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	85
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	22.2%	11.4%	4.4%	.256	4.43	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.64	2.64	315	84
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	84
Ryan Garton R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	25.2%	11.3%	2.3%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.48	3.14	307	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	83
Steve Geltz R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	27	SU	3.95	22.7%	8.6%	3.1%	.209	4.90	22.2%	12.0%	89	+0.95	3.57	157	83
Braden Zarbnisky R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	10.6%	4.6%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	5.09	142	83
Dugan Darnell R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	22.6%	9.6%	4.1%	.302	3.25	23.1%	15.4%	94	-1.39	2.50	238	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	82
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	81
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	81
Cristofer Ogando R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	27	SU	4.83	26.8%	10.9%	4.8%	.281	4.90	20.6%	9.0%	53	+0.07	3.23	179	81
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	81
Brendan McCurry R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	27	SU	4.66	24.9%	10.1%	4.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	2.53	308	81
John Gorman R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	23.4%	7.5%	3.5%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	2.08	141	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	23.9%	10.4%	1.57	4.97
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43