Marc Davis

P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	AWSH	9	0	23	3.97	3.98	28.0%	11.8%	—	K 20.7% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.26
2024	24	MIX2 levels	21	19	76	2.96	3.28	25.3%	12.8%	—	K 19.2% · BB 14.4% · FIP 4.02
2025	25	A+WSH	14	0	20	10.07	7.57	12.5%	24.0%	—	K 9.6% · BB 27.6% · FIP 7.83
2027PROJ	27	MLBWSH	18	0	19	5.78	5.78	18.3%	17.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBWSH	7	0	7	5.69	5.72	18.7%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJeremy Guthrie (age 27) · Ben Gross (age 25) · Paul Clemens (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%18.3%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%0.9%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	5	1	10	48	12	9	0	20%	1.9	25.0%	18.8%	6.2%	0.0%	3.72	3.36	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	5	1	10	48	12	9	0	20%	1.9	25.0%	18.8%	6.2%	0.0%	3.72	3.41	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	9	0	23	93	26	11	3	0%	2.5	20.7%	14.0%	6.7%	3.9%	3.97	5.26	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	9	0	23	93	26	11	3	0%	2.5	28.0%	11.8%	16.1%	3.2%	3.97	3.98	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	76	312	79	40	4	90%	3.6	19.2%	14.4%	4.7%	1.3%	2.96	4.02	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	76	312	79	40	4	90%	3.6	19.2%	14.4%	4.7%	1.3%	2.96	4.02	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	19	76	312	79	40	4	90%	3.6	25.3%	12.8%	12.5%	1.3%	2.96	3.28	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	0	20	104	13	25	3	0%	1.4	9.6%	27.6%	-18.0%	3.7%	10.07	7.83	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	0	20	104	13	25	3	0%	1.4	9.6%	27.6%	-18.0%	3.7%	10.07	7.83	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	0	20	104	13	25	3	0%	1.4	12.5%	24.0%	-11.5%	2.9%	10.07	7.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	WSH	18	0	19	80	15	14	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	17.4%	0.9%	3.0%	5.78	5.78	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	16	14	3	0%	1.1	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	3.1%	5.69	5.72	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	7	0	7	30	6	5	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	3.1%	5.69	5.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	5	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	3.1%	5.69	5.34	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	136	27	0%	1.1	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	3.1%	5.69	5.34	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		49	20	128	557	101	96	12	41%	2.6	18.1%	17.2%	0.9%	2.1%	4.29	4.89	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	31	200	870	158	150	18	41%	2.6	18.1%	17.2%	0.9%	2.1%	4.29	4.89	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marc Davis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	18.3%	17.4%	3.0%	—	5.72	18.7%	1.9%	20	-0.06	—	—	—
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	73
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	72
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	345	71
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	71
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	70
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	70
Ariel Peña R 2016 · 6.26 FIP	27	SW	6.26	16.2%	17.7%	4.2%	.379	4.57	21.8%	6.0%	75	-1.69	3.74	223	70
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	68
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	68
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	67
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	67
Juan Paniagua R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	27	SW	4.75	12.9%	13.9%	1.8%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	151	67
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	66
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	66
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	66
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	66
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	66
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	66
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	66
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	65