Nico Zeglin
P
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.17
FIP4.17
K%23.9%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%14.9%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 4 | 66 | 254 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 16% | 2.6 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 19.3% | 1.2% | 0.95 | 2.45 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 4 | 66 | 254 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 16% | 2.6 | 35.4% | 6.3% | 29.1% | 0.8% | 0.95 | 1.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 47 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 43 | 0 | 46 | 192 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 44 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 40 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 43 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.90 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 75 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 25 | 4 | 66 | 254 | 68 | 19 | 3 | 16% | 2.6 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 19.3% | 1.2% | 0.95 | 2.45 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 12 | 200 | 770 | 205 | 56 | 9 | 16% | 2.6 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 19.3% | 1.2% | 0.95 | 2.45 | +6.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nico Zeglin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.17 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.26 | 23.7% | 14.6% | 90 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.17 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .313 | 5.36 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.19 | 3.17 | 211 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 81 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 80 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 80 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .316 | 6.96 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 26 | +3.15 | 3.81 | 233 | 79 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 79 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 78 |
| Joe Navilhon R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.06 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 1.3% | .322 | 4.41 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 99 | +1.35 | 2.12 | 273 | 78 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 78 |
| Ryan Eades R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.21 | 22.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% | .352 | 4.50 | 23.9% | 15.3% | 64 | +1.29 | 3.21 | 451 | 77 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 25.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .252 | 3.60 | 14.6% | 8.1% | 108 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 323 | 77 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 77 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 77 |
| Brad Bass R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 77 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 77 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 45 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 1.14 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |