Nico Zeglin — OGILVIE

Nico Zeglin P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.93

FIP3.93

K%24.9%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%17.1%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	4	66	254	90	16	2	16%	2.6	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	1.1%	0.95	2.39	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	4	66	254	90	16	2	16%	2.6	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	1.1%	0.95	2.39	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	4	66	254	90	16	2	16%	2.6	35.4%	6.3%	29.1%	0.8%	0.95	1.49	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CHC	4	0	4	17	4	1	0	0%	1.0	24.9%	7.8%	17.1%	2.9%	3.93	3.93	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	56	0	58	247	61	20	7	0%	1.0	24.8%	8.1%	16.7%	2.9%	3.99	4.01	+0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	54	0	57	239	59	20	7	0%	1.1	24.5%	8.3%	16.2%	3.0%	4.07	4.12	+0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	20	0	21	89	22	7	3	0%	1.1	24.8%	8.1%	16.7%	2.9%	3.99	4.01	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	31	0	33	139	34	12	4	0%	1.1	24.5%	8.3%	16.2%	3.0%	4.07	4.12	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	230	57	19	7	0%	1.0	24.6%	8.2%	16.4%	3.0%	4.04	3.69	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	70	26	0%	1.1	24.6%	8.2%	16.4%	3.0%	4.04	3.69	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		25	4	66	254	68	19	3	16%	2.6	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	1.1%	0.95	2.39	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	12	200	770	205	56	9	16%	2.6	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	1.1%	0.95	2.39	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nico Zeglin (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.93	24.9%	7.8%	2.9%	—	4.06	24.7%	16.5%	115	+0.13	—	—	—
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	83
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	82
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	80
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	80
Jonathan Aro R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	26	SU	3.72	25.3%	6.9%	3.4%	.252	3.56	14.6%	8.1%	108	-0.16	2.57	323	80
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	79
Stephen Perakslis R 2017 · 3.07 FIP	26	SW	3.07	21.3%	8.2%	1.3%	.313	5.15	11.8%	5.9%	42	+2.08	3.07	211	79
Ryan Eades R 2018 · 3.19 FIP	26	SW	3.19	22.4%	7.4%	1.9%	.352	4.24	23.9%	15.3%	64	+1.05	3.19	451	77
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	77
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	77
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	76
Reinier Roibal R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	26	SU	3.11	19.1%	4.5%	1.9%	.262	4.37	16.9%	9.8%	35	+1.26	3.11	133	76
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	76
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	76
Michael Dimock R 2016 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	26.8%	9.8%	3.3%	.289	3.79	20.9%	11.9%	66	-0.12	3.08	166	76
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	76
Madison Younginer IV R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	26	SU	4.22	23.0%	9.8%	3.3%	.370	4.73	14.0%	-5.3%	27	+0.51	3.08	219	76
Andrew Kittredge R 2016 · 3.08 FIP	26	SU	3.08	23.1%	6.6%	2.0%	.353	2.96	25.6%	19.7%	255	-0.12	2.47	688	76
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	76
Brad Bass R 2021 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	247	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	24.7%	8.1%	1.14	4.00
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97