Matt Rudick

OF Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 29 L/L 5'7" / 170 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	27	A+NYM	15	.167/.333/.333	0	0	24	—	.154/.267/.308
2026	28	AAANYM	69	.255/.406/.327	1	4	76	—	.224/.348/.293
2026	28	AANYM	215	.175/.311/.299	4	8	36	—	.145/.250/.237
2027PROJ2% MLB	29	MLBNYM	5	.202/.295/.301	0	0	76	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	30	MLBNYM	63	.201/.292/.299	1	1	75	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Chase%96

K%83

BB%82

Speed79

Whiff%70

Z-Con%51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBrian Bogusevic (age 29) · Bubba Crosby (age 29) · Sherman Johnson (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .295 / .301

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP259

ISO110

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	ROK	FCL Mets	—	89	76	23	2	3	1	12	11	1	6	0	303	404	447	852	145	344	12	13	382	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	18	15	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	133	278	200	478	67	167	17	11	240	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	366	300	73	18	4	3	45	58	16	17	5	243	371	360	731	117	287	16	12	334	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	266	214	58	11	0	9	46	42	6	12	1	271	414	449	862	178	301	16	17	390	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	ROK	FCL Mets	—	19	17	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	235	316	353	669	118	267	11	11	304	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	415	99	27	1	8	64	106	10	12	7	239	354	366	720	128	300	22	13	330	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	12	2	0	1	0	3	5	0	0	0	167	333	333	667	167	286	33	20	308	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	69	55	14	1	0	1	10	10	4	4	0	255	406	327	733	73	295	14	14	350	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	215	177	31	10	0	4	29	47	6	8	1	175	311	299	611	124	211	22	13	285	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	89	80	16	1	2	1	8	16	1	6	0	200	281	300	581	100	242	18	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	125	222	188	410	62	161	22	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	366	319	60	14	3	3	26	76	16	17	5	188	283	279	562	91	226	21	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	266	229	54	9	0	8	31	51	6	12	1	236	342	380	722	144	267	19	12	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	19	18	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	158	167	325	56	194	16	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	435	91	23	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	209	297	322	618	113	268	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	227	40	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	69	58	13	1	0	1	7	12	4	4	0	224	348	293	641	69	255	17	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	215	186	27	8	0	3	20	57	6	8	1	145	250	237	487	91	179	27	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	89	80	16	1	2	1	8	16	1	6	0	200	281	300	581	100	238	18	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	89	76	23	2	3	1	12	11	1	6	0	303	404	447	852	145	344	12	13	382	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	335	61	14	3	3	27	80	17	17	5	182	277	269	546	87	226	21	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	384	315	75	19	4	3	47	61	17	17	5	238	367	352	719	114	281	16	12	330	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	285	247	56	10	0	8	32	54	6	12	1	227	330	364	694	138	259	19	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	285	231	62	13	0	9	48	44	6	12	1	268	407	442	849	173	298	15	17	384	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	435	91	23	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	209	297	322	618	113	272	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	415	99	27	1	8	64	106	10	12	7	239	354	366	720	128	300	22	13	330	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	286	40	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	12	2	0	1	0	3	5	0	0	0	167	333	333	667	167	286	33	20	308	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	284	245	39	9	0	4	26	69	10	12	1	159	267	245	512	86	201	24	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	284	232	45	11	0	5	39	57	10	12	1	194	335	306	641	112	233	20	14	300	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	89	80	16	1	2	1	8	16	1	6	0	200	281	300	581	100	242	18	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	337	61	14	3	3	27	80	17	17	5	181	277	267	544	86	223	21	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	285	245	56	10	0	8	32	54	6	12	1	229	330	367	697	139	262	19	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	434	91	23	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	210	297	323	619	113	268	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	227	40	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	284	246	39	9	0	4	26	69	10	12	1	159	267	244	511	85	197	24	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	434	91	23	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	210	297	323	619	113	268	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	227	40	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	284	246	39	9	0	4	26	69	10	12	1	159	267	244	511	85	197	24	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYM	2%	294	258	53	12	1	4	27	72	7	7	2	208	300	311	611	103	268	24	9	281	76	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYM	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	202	295	301	596	100	259	20	0	275	76	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYM	23%	276	243	50	11	1	4	25	68	6	6	1	207	298	308	606	101	268	25	9	279	75	-8	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYM	23%	63	56	11	2	0	1	6	15	1	1	0	201	292	299	591	98	259	24	10	273	75	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	63	56	11	2	0	1	6	15	1	1	0	196	286	286	571	89	250	24	10	273	68	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	114	21	0	10	62	155	10	10	0	197	286	285	572	88	252	24	10	273	68	-20	+2	-5	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2074	1817	361	78	9	32	187	478	56	71	16	199	293	304	598	106	250	23	9	269	68	-15	+2	-2	-3	+11	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	113	24	3	10	59	150	18	22	5	199	294	304	598	105	250	23	9	269	68	-19	+2	-3	-4	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Rudick (OGILVIE)	29	46	37	56	54	206/298/308	102	268	4	6	24%	9%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→54	43→45	56→55	49	227/302/341	114	290	10	22	24%	9%	84	+0.1	244/308/373	129	307	13	18	23%	8%	93	+0.8	252/309/379	126	316	13	19	23%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	221/271/328	107	252	12	13	18%	5%	69	-0.9	214/277/332	118	259	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.7	203/269/310	107	247	8	28	21%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Sherman Johnson 2019 · AAA	29	43→49	41→45	51→50	48	207/281/310	103	276	8	12	27%	9%	69	-0.9	201/275/303	102	282	9	9	29%	9%	65	-1.2	171/260/258	86	241	8	7	30%	10%	47	-1.1
✕J.C. Escarra 2024 · AAA	29	44→45	44→45	52→45	45	216/287/331	115	279	11	11	26%	7%	76	-0.4	224/292/345	121	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	-0.1	220/289/338	117	255	10	3	17%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2015 · MLB	29	45→49	43→45	55	39	220/272/336	116	297	10	18	29%	5%	71	-0.8	212/265/320	108	278	10	16	26%	5%	65	-1.2	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Charles Thomas 2007 · MLB	28	46→49	42→45	46→50	46	227/290/323	97	279	10	13	22%	7%	75	-0.5	216/271/307	91	281	9	13	25%	6%	63	-1.3	193/240/253	60	258	5	14	26%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Brad Coon 2012 · AAA	29	48→58	37→40	52→60	49	227/292/305	78	287	4	16	21%	8%	71	-0.8	213/284/295	82	274	5	16	22%	9%	66	-1.1	194/271/250	57	249	3	18	21%	9%	48	-1.4
✕Clay Dungan 2024 · AAA	28	45→53	40→45	55	47	218/288/308	90	278	7	20	23%	8%	71	-0.8	215/288/329	114	296	9	21	28%	8%	76	-0.4	208/282/325	117	289	9	21	29%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB	29	47	41→45	51→55	46	227/284/324	97	281	8	18	22%	6%	73	-0.6	216/285/355	139	279	16	15	27%	8%	81	-0.1	204/276/354	151	260	19	17	29%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	42→45	53→50	53	218/303/322	104	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	-0.1	228/308/345	117	295	11	12	25%	10%	87	+0.4	218/301/316	98	287	9	12	25%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Nate Spears 2014 · AAA	29	42→52	43→45	50	48	206/277/314	108	263	10	10	25%	8%	68	-1.0	226/282/339	113	308	10	12	28%	7%	75	-0.5	245/281/350	105	348	7	13	30%	5%	76	-0.1
✕Jeff Duncan 2006 · MLB	27	44→45	41→45	53→60	46	216/277/316	101	280	8	15	25%	7%	68	-1.0	230/296/316	86	298	8	21	24%	7%	75	-0.5	236/305/295	59	304	6	28	23%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Sebastián Elizalde 2021 · AAA	29	48→54	43→45	47→45	47	235/289/346	112	270	10	13	18%	6%	80	-0.2	218/281/322	104	260	9	18	19%	8%	72	-0.7	178/245/234	56	208	3	29	15%	8%	34	-0.7
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	41→45	43→40	51→50	52	201/291/317	117	273	9	12	28%	11%	75	-0.5	204/293/328	124	297	12	10	32%	10%	78	-0.3	121/234/204	83	189	10	0	38%	11%	28	-0.9
✕Mitch Canham 2014 · AAA	29	46→49	38→40	49→45	48	216/280/304	88	276	4	12	22%	8%	66	-1.1	216/272/311	95	273	7	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	179/219/223	45	218	4	12	20%	5%	23	-0.8
✕Jermaine Clark 2006 · MLB	29	44→42	42→45	51→60	54	213/288/321	108	240	9	20	16%	9%	74	-0.6	213/275/304	91	263	8	28	21%	8%	65	-1.2	199/260/263	65	250	5	39	22%	7%	49	-1.7
✕Wilmer Difo 2021 · MLB	29	47→56	42→45	50→55	48	226/287/327	102	281	9	14	22%	8%	74	-0.5	229/284/330	101	283	10	11	22%	7%	74	-0.6	216/273/305	88	267	8	15	21%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB	29	48→53	40→45	53→50	48	229/304/329	100	281	7	15	20%	7%	82	+0.0	224/312/335	111	273	10	14	21%	8%	87	+0.4	210/310/310	100	251	11	11	20%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Pete Orr 2008 · MLB	29	48→45	39→45	52→55	42	230/268/319	89	289	5	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	225/268/335	110	278	7	20	21%	4%	69	-0.9	221/264/336	115	269	8	23	20%	4%	65	-1.0
✕Jack Reinheimer 2021 · MLB	29	44→52	40	51→55	44	213/269/306	93	275	8	16	25%	7%	63	-1.4	205/257/288	83	287	7	20	29%	6%	54	-2.0	184/232/243	59	253	4	22	28%	5%	33	-1.5