Mason Fluharty
P
Toronto Blue Jays
Age 24
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7786vR 95
ERA3.62
FIP3.75
K%26.0%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%16.1%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
Whiff%
p6928.2%
K%
p7526.9%
xwOBA vs
p900.273
SL (41%)
CT (49%)
CH (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 10 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 3.52 | 4.90 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 10 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 32.3% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 3.1% | 3.52 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 58 | 251 | 75 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 3.28 | 3.91 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 58 | 251 | 75 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.9% | 7.6% | 22.3% | 2.8% | 3.28 | 3.07 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 56 | 0 | 67 | 277 | 76 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 3.63 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 56 | 0 | 67 | 277 | 76 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.4% | 8.7% | 18.8% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 64 | 267 | 71 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 2.2% | 4.24 | 3.44 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 64 | 267 | 71 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 4.24 | 3.37 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 50 | 3 | 38 | 167 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 6% | 0.8 | 26.9% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 3.61 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TOR | 32 | 0 | 33 | 140 | 36 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 3.62 | 3.75 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TOR | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 36 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 3.62 | 3.75 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 71 | 307 | 81 | 29 | 9 | — | — | 26.5% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 3.67 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 71 | 299 | 81 | 29 | 9 | — | — | 27.2% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 3.69 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 68 | 0 | 72 | 303 | 79 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.05 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 68 | 0 | 72 | 303 | 79 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 67 | 0 | 71 | 299 | 77 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 75 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.05 | 4.07 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 75 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.07 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 73 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 331 | 3 | 327 | 1382 | 360 | 130 | 40 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 3.68 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 202 | 2 | 200 | 845 | 220 | 79 | 24 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 3.68 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 230 | 3 | 241 | 1027 | 257 | 97 | 31 | 1% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 3.84 | 3.82 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 2 | 200 | 851 | 213 | 80 | 26 | 1% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 3.84 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Fluharty (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.09 | 25.9% | 16.5% | 214 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Steven Okert L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .331 | 3.38 | 23.0% | 16.9% | 145 | -0.82 | 2.47 | 584 | 82 |
| Jake Palisch L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .304 | 4.85 | 11.5% | 3.4% | 236 | +0.68 | 4.17 | 278 | 81 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 80 |
| Sammy Peralta L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.51 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .300 | 3.90 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 236 | +0.39 | 3.51 | 419 | 78 |
| Ian Krol L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .293 | 3.56 | 22.2% | 13.9% | 169 | -0.10 | 2.72 | 344 | 78 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 77 |
| Alberto Baldonado L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.23 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 84 | +0.03 | 2.48 | 386 | 77 |
| Josh Osich L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 21.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .241 | 4.69 | 18.1% | 7.1% | 137 | +1.22 | 3.47 | 315 | 74 |
| Tyler Webb L 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.07 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | .324 | 3.36 | 24.3% | 17.3% | 185 | -0.71 | 3.10 | 337 | 73 |
| Dylan Lee L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 19.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 2.62 | 29.0% | 25.0% | 113 | -1.84 | 1.15 | 527 | 73 |
| Kolton Ingram L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 26.7% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .306 | 3.99 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 173 | +0.06 | 3.31 | 239 | 72 |
| Kyle Nelson L 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 27.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | .241 | 3.35 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 63 | -1.06 | 0.90 | 214 | 72 |
| Brandon Eisert L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 27.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .311 | 4.19 | 24.2% | 16.0% | 192 | +0.44 | 3.75 | 383 | 71 |
| Luis Avilán L 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.55 | 22.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .276 | 2.75 | 26.1% | 17.6% | 145 | -0.80 | 2.68 | 256 | 71 |
| Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.14 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .322 | 4.21 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 77 | +1.07 | 2.87 | 186 | 70 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 70 |
| Darien Núñez L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 69 |
| Tyler Gilbert L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.47 | 20.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | .245 | 3.95 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 140 | +0.48 | 2.61 | 698 | 69 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2029 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.06 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.80 | 3.06 | 145 | 69 |
| Hayden Harris L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.23 | 29.1% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.21 | 30.2% | 16.2% | 129 | -0.02 | 1.86 | 180 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 71 | 25.7% | 9.6% | 1.13 | 4.08 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |