Jared Simpson
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 26
LHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146156vR 165
ERA6.54
FIP6.54
K%19.7%
BB%25.7%
K-BB%-6.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 9 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.7% | 10.2% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 1.46 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 9 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.7% | 10.2% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 1.42 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.22 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 41 | 0 | 52 | 248 | 64 | 57 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.9% | 26.4% | -6.6% | 1.1% | 6.23 | 5.36 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 41 | 0 | 52 | 248 | 64 | 57 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 23.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 6.23 | 4.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 32 | 3 | 38 | 167 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 9% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.13 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 58 | 76 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 25.7% | -6.1% | 2.7% | 6.54 | 6.54 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 25.7% | -6.1% | 2.7% | 6.54 | 6.54 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 108 | 463 | 102 | 104 | 11 | — | — | 22.1% | 22.5% | -0.4% | 2.4% | 4.99 | 5.93 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 19.7% | 25.7% | -6.1% | 2.7% | 6.54 | 6.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 58 | 70 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 24.1% | -4.1% | 2.7% | 6.34 | 6.36 | -1.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 57 | 65 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 23.2% | -3.0% | 2.9% | 6.25 | 6.29 | -1.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 61 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 22.7% | -2.6% | 3.0% | 6.25 | 6.32 | -1.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 24.1% | -4.1% | 2.7% | 6.34 | 6.36 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 34 | 39 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 23.2% | -3.0% | 2.9% | 6.25 | 6.29 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 38 | 43 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 22.7% | -2.6% | 3.0% | 6.25 | 6.32 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 95 | 110 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 23.2% | -3.2% | 2.9% | 6.27 | 5.94 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 196 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 23.2% | -3.2% | 2.9% | 6.27 | 5.94 | -1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 84 | 3 | 103 | 473 | 104 | 101 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 21.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 4.09 | 4.69 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 6 | 200 | 915 | 201 | 196 | 12 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 21.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 4.09 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jared Simpson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.54 | 19.7% | 25.7% | 2.7% | — | 6.32 | 20.1% | -3.3% | 200 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.20 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 4.1% | .278 | 5.25 | 17.5% | -1.3% | 22 | -0.95 | 3.71 | 105 | 80 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 4.0% | .254 | 5.12 | 24.8% | 13.6% | 23 | -0.62 | 3.14 | 167 | 80 |
| Gil Luna L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.82 | 20.6% | 28.0% | 1.7% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 113 | 77 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 77 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.63 | 22.7% | 20.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 8.93 | 19.2% | 3.7% | 31 | +3.30 | 3.86 | 189 | 77 |
| Davis Schwab L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 76 |
| Jared Beck L 2026 · 7.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 7.12 | 16.8% | 35.4% | 1.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 158 | 76 |
| Yoan Aybar L 2025 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 20.9% | 19.7% | 3.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 166 | 74 |
| Cam Booser L 2024 · 6.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.73 | 19.8% | 28.0% | 3.2% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 290 | 73 |
| Eric Torres L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.68 | 21.6% | 19.9% | 3.4% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 155 | 72 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 71 |
| Cody Beckman L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.42 | 19.3% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 189 | 71 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2024 · 6.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.50 | 13.1% | 14.9% | 4.8% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 101 | 70 |
| Luis De Paula L 2024 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 125 | 70 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.43 | 13.9% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 212 | 69 |
| John Doxakis L 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 17.0% | 19.0% | 2.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 332 | 68 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.41 | 18.9% | 16.3% | 3.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 316 | 68 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 18.7% | 23.3% | 2.3% | .196 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 234 | 67 |
| Tommy Thorpe L 2024 · 5.44 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.44 | 17.6% | 13.4% | 3.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 232 | 67 |
| Jimmy Burnette L 2026 · 6.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.26 | 20.1% | 28.5% | 2.3% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 158 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 20.0% | 24.0% | 1.09 | 6.35 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |