Andrew Morones

P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+KC	8	0	10	0.90	4.50	18.4%	13.2%	—	K 18.4% · BB 13.2% · FIP 4.66
2025	24	MIX2 levels	29	1	44	5.52	2.26	29.3%	11.1%	—	K 21.4% · BB 14.0% · FIP 3.47
2026	25	AANorthwest Ark…	19	0	22	5.40	5.55	28.1%	14.6%	—	K 22.8% · BB 16.0% · FIP 6.64
2027PROJ	26	MLBKC	15	0	16	5.08	5.08	22.6%	13.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBKC	14	0	15	5.03	5.04	22.6%	13.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBrandon Cunniff (age 26) · Esmerling Vasquez (age 26) · Ronald Peña (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%22.6%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	0	10	38	7	5	1	0%	1.2	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.90	4.66	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	0	10	38	7	5	1	0%	1.2	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.90	4.66	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	0	10	38	7	5	1	0%	1.2	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.90	4.50	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	44	198	58	22	1	3%	1.5	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	0.7%	5.52	3.47	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	44	198	58	22	1	3%	1.5	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	0.7%	5.52	3.47	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	1	44	198	58	22	1	3%	1.5	29.3%	11.1%	18.2%	0.5%	5.52	2.26	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	19	0	22	96	27	14	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.0%	6.7%	6.2%	5.40	6.64	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	19	0	22	96	27	14	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.0%	6.7%	6.2%	5.40	6.64	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	19	0	22	96	27	14	5	0%	1.1	28.1%	14.6%	13.5%	5.2%	5.40	5.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	KC	15	0	16	68	15	9	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.8%	8.7%	3.2%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	37	0	39	165	37	22	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.5%	9.2%	3.2%	5.03	5.04	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	14	0	15	63	14	9	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.5%	9.2%	3.2%	5.03	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	14	8	2	0%	1.0	22.6%	13.5%	9.2%	3.2%	5.03	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.5%	9.2%	3.2%	5.03	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		56	1	76	332	71	48	8	2%	1.4	21.4%	14.5%	7.0%	2.5%	4.88	4.52	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	3	200	878	188	127	22	2%	1.4	21.4%	14.5%	7.0%	2.5%	4.88	4.52	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Morones (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	22.6%	13.8%	3.2%	—	5.04	22.6%	9.2%	39	-0.04	—	—	—
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	88
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	84
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	84
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Manny Acosta R 2007 · 4.05 FIP	26	SU	4.05	23.7%	14.0%	2.1%	.196	4.23	19.0%	9.1%	130	+0.18	3.08	350	84
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	83
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	83
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	83
Todd Wellemeyer R 2005 · 5.70 FIP	26	SU	5.70	21.9%	14.4%	4.8%	.291	4.47	16.5%	6.8%	349	-1.23	3.35	615	82
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	82
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	23.2%	13.1%	2.4%	.282	4.70	18.5%	9.4%	35	+0.58	2.58	233	82
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	82
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	82
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	82
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	82
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	82
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	22.6%	13.6%	1.24	5.04
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35