Tucker Mitchell

1B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAATEX	22	.050/.095/.050	0	0	-70	—	.050/.095/.050
2025	24	AATEX	170	.218/.241/.261	1	3	15	—	.187/.206/.223
2026	25	AATEX	34	.387/.441/.516	0	0	133	—	.333/.353/.424
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBTEX	3	.191/.226/.258	0	0	34	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBTEX	70	.193/.230/.263	1	1	37	-0.5

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

Whiff%41

K%28

Speed25

Z-Con%24

wOBA9

ISO9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLyle Lin (age 26) · Anderson De La Rosa (age 26) · Chandler Seagle (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .226 / .258

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%3

BABIP267

ISO68

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	50	10	2	1	1	5	13	2	1	0	200	298	340	638	140	250	23	9	292	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	163	135	25	4	1	4	20	52	8	8	2	185	325	319	644	133	266	32	12	303	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	26	24	5	1	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	208	269	375	644	167	286	35	4	289	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	213	182	47	4	1	9	24	52	4	2	0	258	357	440	797	181	306	24	11	352	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	100	80	27	6	0	2	12	23	7	3	1	338	465	487	952	150	446	23	12	426	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	24	23	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	217	250	217	467		227	4	4	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	78	70	7	1	1	0	7	16	1	0	0	100	192	143	335	43	130	21	9	167	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	117	104	20	3	0	3	12	27	1	1	0	192	282	308	590	115	230	23	10	272	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	47	41	16	2	0	4	4	8	2	1	0	390	468	732	1.200	341	414	17	9	515	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	50	95	50	145		83	41	5	73	-70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	170	165	36	4	0	1	2	49	3	3	0	218	241	261	502	42	304	29	1	229	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	34	31	12	4	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	387	441	516	957	129	414	6	9	426	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	7	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	135	211	250	461	115	193	33	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	163	141	20	3	1	3	14	70	8	8	2	142	258	241	499	99	242	43	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	26	24	4	1	0	1	1	13	1	0	0	167	231	333	564	167	216	50	4	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	213	193	40	3	1	8	13	70	4	2	0	207	271	358	629	150	261	33	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	100	84	23	5	0	1	8	31	7	3	1	274	384	369	753	95	406	31	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	78	72	7	1	1	0	5	19	1	0	0	97	167	139	306	42	118	24	6	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	117	109	16	2	0	2	7	36	1	1	0	147	205	220	425	73	200	31	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	47	43	11	1	0	3	2	12	2	1	0	256	319	488	808	233	305	26	4	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	50	95	50	145		77	45	5	65	-70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	170	166	31	3	0	1	1	62	3	3	0	187	206	223	429	36	296	36	1	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	34	33	11	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	333	353	424	777	91	369	6	3	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	7	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	135	211	250	461	115	188	33	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	57	50	10	2	1	1	5	13	2	1	0	200	298	340	638	140	250	23	9	292	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	189	166	23	3	1	4	14	83	9	8	2	139	243	241	484	102	241	44	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	189	159	30	5	1	5	21	61	9	8	2	189	317	327	645	138	269	32	11	301	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	337	298	68	9	1	10	24	108	11	5	1	228	309	366	675	138	315	32	7	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	337	285	79	10	1	11	37	76	11	5	1	277	381	435	816	158	337	23	11	364	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	242	224	35	5	1	5	14	67	4	2	0	156	219	254	473	98	197	28	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	242	215	43	6	1	7	23	51	4	2	0	200	289	335	624	135	229	21	10	286	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	192	186	32	3	0	1	2	71	3	3	0	172	194	204	398	32	270	37	1	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	192	185	37	4	0	1	3	58	3	3	0	200	225	238	463	38	283	30	2	211	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	34	33	11	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	333	353	424	777	91	355	6	3	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	34	31	12	4	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	387	441	516	957	129	414	6	9	426	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	7	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	135	211	250	461	115	193	33	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	189	164	23	3	1	4	14	83	9	8	2	140	243	244	487	104	238	44	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	337	299	68	9	1	10	24	108	11	5	1	227	309	365	674	137	307	32	7	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	242	222	35	5	1	5	14	67	4	2	0	158	219	257	476	99	194	28	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	192	185	32	3	0	1	2	71	3	3	0	173	194	205	399	32	271	37	1	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	34	33	11	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	333	353	424	777	91	369	6	3	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	242	222	35	5	1	5	14	67	4	2	0	158	219	257	476	99	194	28	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	192	185	32	3	0	1	2	71	3	3	0	173	194	205	399	32	271	37	1	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	34	33	11	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	333	353	424	777	91	369	6	3	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	200	190	36	7	1	1	6	59	2	3	1	192	226	259	485	67	268	30	3	219	34	-16	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	191	226	258	484	67	267	33	0	219	34	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	27%	262	248	48	10	1	2	9	77	3	4	1	193	230	263	493	70	269	29	3	223	37	-20	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.9
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	27%	70	67	13	2	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	193	230	263	493	70	268	30	3	223	37	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	67	13	2	0	1	2	21	1	1	0	194	229	269	497	75	267	30	3	223	44	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	622	121	19	0	9	19	195	9	9	0	195	229	268	498	74	268	30	3	223	44	-49	+2	+0	-12	+14	-4.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1483	1368	255	40	6	24	72	477	34	26	6	186	245	277	522	91	264	32	5	233	44	-33	+1	+0	-8	+9	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	113	18	3	11	32	209	15	11	3	188	248	283	531	95	266	32	5	233	44	-50	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tucker Mitchell (OGILVIE)	26	35	25	45	20	190/224/256	66	268	1	3	30%	3%	34	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	41	190/249/248	58	270	3	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	210/277/282	72	282	5	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Anderson De La Rosa 2011 · AAA	26	38	37→40	42→40	35	186/225/261	75	257	5	5	29%	3%	36	-3.4	199/234/290	91	267	7	4	28%	4%	46	-2.6	198/229/289	90	263	8	2	27%	3%	41	-1.2
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	192/246/276	84	282	5	5	32%	4%	48	-2.5	189/239/268	79	291	6	6	35%	5%	43	-2.8	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Travis Tartamella 2014 · AAA	26	38	38→30	43→30	36	186/228/257	71	273	6	4	34%	5%	36	-3.4	182/222/244	62	269	5	5	33%	5%	30	-3.8	147/182/178	30	221	1	0	33%	4%	-2	-1.9
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Warren Schaeffer 2011 · AAA	26	44	38→30	43→40	37	212/253/289	76	283	5	4	26%	4%	53	-2.1	193/241/260	67	267	4	5	28%	4%	41	-3.0	159/209/202	43	227	1	3	29%	4%	13	-1.8
✕Nate Esposito 2019 · AA	26	40	35→30	48→50	39	190/239/243	53	253	3	5	25%	4%	37	-3.3	187/245/260	73	269	5	7	31%	5%	44	-2.8	134/184/181	47	187	3	3	29%	4%	1	-1.4
✕Chad Noble 2013 · AA	25	37	35→30	43→30	39	181/223/236	55	250	2	4	28%	5%	29	-3.8	198/242/268	70	261	4	6	24%	5%	43	-2.8	190/227/244	54	241	2	2	21%	4%	30	-1.4
✕Greg Paiml 2011 · AA	26	43	37→40	46→50	33	203/240/273	70	305	4	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	200/242/266	66	302	3	15	33%	4%	42	-2.9	189/231/244	54	289	2	19	33%	4%	32	-2.0
✕Jose Gonzalez 2013 · AA	26	41	36→30	40	39	199/246/255	57	272	4	5	28%	5%	42	-2.9	188/248/260	72	280	5	6	32%	6%	45	-2.7	141/209/196	55	218	5	3	36%	6%	14	-1.5
✕Scott Burcham 2019 · AA	26	45	37→30	44→50	39	215/259/288	73	299	5	12	29%	5%	54	-2.0	194/244/271	77	290	6	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	160/208/218	58	248	4	6	35%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	185/228/263	78	252	7	15	29%	5%	37	-3.3	204/242/303	99	290	8	11	31%	4%	52	-2.2	197/221/298	101	278	7	9	31%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Jake Oester 2012 · AA	26	38	37→40	43→30	34	184/232/257	73	284	4	4	35%	4%	38	-3.2	201/261/281	80	316	5	6	35%	6%	54	-2.0	186/256/250	64	304	2	3	36%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Santiago Chávez 2022 · AAA	26	36	38→30	48→30	34	176/230/246	70	278	6	6	38%	5%	35	-3.4	178/238/256	78	268	7	5	34%	6%	40	-3.0	145/206/199	54	219	4	0	34%	6%	13	-1.6
✕Pat Cantwell 2016 · AAA	26	42	37→30	42→40	41	201/265/272	71	259	4	4	23%	5%	54	-2.0	211/273/287	76	292	6	8	28%	6%	61	-1.5	232/299/302	71	324	6	8	28%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Michael Rockett 2012 · AA	25	41→35	38→40	43→45	33	201/225/281	81	278	6	6	30%	3%	40	-3.1	211/237/311	100	310	8	7	33%	3%	51	-2.2	205/219/320	114	305	8	5	35%	1%	42	-1.3
✕Tim Gradoville 2006 · AAA	26	42	37→30	45→30	35	200/241/269	69	302	6	6	35%	5%	43	-2.8	199/244/266	67	299	5	7	33%	5%	44	-2.8	177/222/219	42	269	2	6	33%	4%	23	-1.0
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	199/228/283	84	274	7	5	30%	3%	41	-3.0	178/210/253	75	248	6	4	30%	3%	28	-3.9	187/222/301	114	244	14	2	30%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Trey Martin 2018 · AA	25	40→39	38→40	48→55	34	197/232/271	75	287	6	14	33%	4%	40	-3.0	201/249/300	99	314	9	15	37%	6%	54	-2.0	180/233/274	94	291	8	19	39%	6%	42	-2.0