Johzan Oquendo

P South Bend Cubs

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	ACHC	31	58	4.94	2.38	32.8%	13.4%	—	K 24.3% · BB 15.9% · FIP 3.62
2023	22	MIX2 levels	29	54	2.32	2.68	30.4%	17.0%	—	K 22.7% · BB 19.8% · FIP 3.69
2025	24	MIX2 levels	28	36	2.72	3.10	30.1%	14.4%	—	K 25.1% · BB 13.9% · FIP 3.69
2027PROJ	26	MLBCHC	19	20	4.56	4.56	24.1%	11.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBCHC	11	12	4.56	4.58	24.1%	11.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJesus Pirela (age 26) · Ronald Peña (age 26) · Jason Stoffel (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%24.1%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%12.2%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	18	5	41	181	49	21	2	28%	2.3	18.4%	14.5%	3.9%	1.5%	4.57	4.22	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	18	5	41	181	49	21	2	28%	2.3	27.1%	11.6%	15.5%	1.1%	4.57	2.88	—
2022	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	31	0	58	268	88	36	2	0%	1.9	24.3%	15.9%	8.4%	1.0%	4.94	3.62	—
2022	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	31	0	58	268	88	36	2	0%	1.9	32.8%	13.4%	19.4%	0.7%	4.94	2.38	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	54	230	70	39	0	0%	1.9	22.7%	19.8%	2.9%	0.0%	2.32	3.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	54	230	70	39	0	0%	1.9	30.4%	17.0%	13.5%	0.0%	2.32	2.68	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	36	153	46	22	2	0%	1.3	25.1%	13.9%	11.1%	1.7%	2.72	3.69	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	36	153	46	22	2	0%	1.3	25.1%	13.9%	11.1%	1.7%	2.72	3.69	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	36	153	46	22	2	0%	1.3	30.1%	14.4%	15.7%	1.3%	2.72	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CHC	19	0	20	84	20	10	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.9%	12.2%	2.9%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	31	0	32	136	33	16	4	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.8%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.58	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	11	0	12	51	12	6	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.8%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	12	6	1	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.8%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.20	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	17	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.8%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		106	5	190	832	189	136	8	5%	1.8	22.7%	16.3%	6.4%	1.0%	3.69	3.78	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	5	200	874	199	143	9	5%	1.8	22.7%	16.3%	6.4%	1.0%	3.69	3.78	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Johzan Oquendo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	24.1%	11.9%	2.9%	—	4.58	24.1%	12.3%	32	+0.02	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	86
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	85
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	83
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	83
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	83
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	83
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	82
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	82
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	81
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	81
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	81
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	23.2%	13.1%	2.4%	.282	4.70	18.5%	9.4%	35	+0.58	2.58	233	81
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.09	246	81
Cale Coshow R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	26	SU	4.59	23.1%	10.9%	3.8%	.300	3.68	23.0%	12.8%	63	-0.91	3.08	377	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	24.1%	11.8%	1.15	4.56
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*