Peter Van Loon

P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	AABowie Baysox	18	11	54	6.04	4.68	29.0%	9.5%	—	K 23.5% · BB 10.5% · FIP 5.16
2024	25	MIX3 levels	16	15	59	3.19	2.63	30.3%	9.6%	—	K 25.5% · BB 11.9% · FIP 3.27
2025	26	MIX3 levels	33	1	54	4.64	3.62	25.6%	10.1%	—	K 21.0% · BB 10.1% · FIP 4.20
2027PROJ	28	MLBBAL	66	0	69	4.55	4.55	21.8%	9.8%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBBAL	20	0	21	4.61	4.66	21.7%	9.9%	-0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBBAL	30	0	32	4.72	4.81	21.5%	10.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command55

CompsColeman Huntley III (age 28) · Sam Lewis (age 27) · Edwin Quirarte (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%21.8%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%12.1%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	2	13	53	16	0	1	33%	2.2	22.3%	0.0%	22.3%	2.4%	3.46	2.51	—
2021	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	2	13	53	16	0	1	33%	2.2	30.2%	0.0%	30.2%	1.9%	3.46	1.64	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	24	14	89	374	97	32	7	58%	3.7	20.0%	9.8%	10.1%	2.3%	3.25	3.91	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	24	14	89	374	97	32	7	58%	3.7	25.9%	8.6%	17.4%	1.9%	3.25	3.02	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	18	11	54	241	70	23	12	61%	3.0	23.5%	10.5%	13.0%	4.9%	6.04	5.16	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	18	11	54	241	70	23	12	61%	3.0	29.0%	9.5%	19.5%	5.0%	6.04	4.68	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	15	59	251	76	24	4	94%	3.7	25.5%	11.9%	13.6%	1.5%	3.19	3.27	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	15	59	251	76	24	4	94%	3.7	25.5%	11.9%	13.6%	1.5%	3.19	3.27	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	15	59	251	76	24	4	94%	3.7	30.3%	9.6%	20.7%	1.6%	3.19	2.63	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	54	238	61	24	6	3%	1.6	21.0%	10.1%	10.9%	2.9%	4.64	4.20	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	54	238	61	24	6	3%	1.6	21.0%	10.1%	10.9%	2.9%	4.64	4.20	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	1	54	238	61	24	6	3%	1.6	25.6%	10.1%	15.5%	2.5%	4.64	3.62	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BAL	66	0	69	291	64	28	9	0%	1.0	21.8%	9.8%	12.1%	3.1%	4.55	4.55	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BAL	63	0	66	280	61	28	9	0%	1.1	21.7%	9.9%	11.8%	3.2%	4.61	4.66	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	BAL	59	0	62	263	56	27	9	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.2%	11.3%	3.4%	4.72	4.81	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	BAL	20	0	21	89	19	9	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	9.9%	11.8%	3.2%	4.61	4.66	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	32	135	29	14	5	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.2%	11.3%	3.4%	4.72	4.81	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	222	48	22	7	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.1%	11.5%	3.3%	4.68	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	84	27	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.1%	11.5%	3.3%	4.68	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		97	43	269	1157	257	116	32	44%	2.8	22.2%	10.0%	12.2%	2.8%	4.08	4.03	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	32	200	860	191	86	24	44%	2.8	22.2%	10.0%	12.2%	2.8%	4.08	4.03	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peter Van Loon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	21.8%	9.8%	3.1%	—	4.73	21.6%	11.6%	128	+0.18	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	77
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	76
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	76
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	75
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	75
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	74
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	74
Asher Wojciechowski R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SW	3.99	23.4%	6.5%	3.7%	.299	5.06	21.5%	13.1%	323	+1.07	3.15	678	74
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	73
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	73
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	73
Noah Davis R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	27	SW	3.88	18.5%	8.4%	2.3%	.368	5.10	18.3%	7.9%	183	+1.22	3.76	596	73
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	73
Kolton Mahoney R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	19.4%	8.8%	1.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	302	72
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	72
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	242	72
Jesse Scholtens R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	22.4%	8.4%	3.5%	.303	4.35	18.8%	11.9%	193	+0.17	3.34	883	72
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	72
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	72
Mitch Neunborn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	27	SP-	4.25	19.0%	12.0%	2.2%	.285	5.80	16.4%	6.5%	114	+1.55	3.65	248	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	21.7%	9.9%	1.24	4.62
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
John Johnstone ('00)	1.4	56	19.4%	9.5%	1.23	4.01
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*