Cortland Lawson

SS Harrisburg Senators

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAWSH	114	.208/.273/.257	1	1	33	—	.204/.255/.252
2025	25	A+WSH	250	.239/.321/.311	2	5	26	—	.176/.229/.232
2026	26	AAAWSH	19	.312/.421/.688	1	1	135	—	.294/.368/.647
2026	26	AAWSH	360	.247/.345/.370	6	2	60	—	.206/.280/.302
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBWSH	5	.189/.253/.263	0	0	47	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBWSH	89	.190/.254/.266	1	1	48	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%62

Chase%62

wRC+51

wOBA45

ISO34

Whiff%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLyle Lin (age 27) · Yadiel Rivera (age 27) · Pat Cantwell (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .253 / .263

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO74

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	47	42	7	0	0	2	5	20	0	2	0	167	255	310	565	143	250	43	11	259	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	81	77	19	3	1	0	2	24	1	0	0	247	275	312	587	65	352	30	2	261	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	222	183	51	8	4	0	29	69	8	10	2	279	400	366	766	87	440	31	13	352	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	391	350	76	15	1	0	30	88	4	10	5	217	286	266	552	49	286	23	8	253	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	114	101	21	2	0	1	7	30	2	1	2	208	273	257	530	50	278	26	6	239	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	250	222	53	10	0	2	27	60	0	5	2	239	321	311	632	72	317	24	11	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	19	16	5	1	1	1	3	6	0	1	0	312	421	688	1.109	375	444	32	16	468	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	360	308	76	18	1	6	42	108	4	2	1	247	345	370	715	123	355	30	12	321	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	47	43	4	0	0	1	4	28	0	2	0	93	170	163	333	70	227	60	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	81	78	15	2	1	0	1	32	1	0	0	192	212	244	456	51	312	40	1	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	222	194	38	5	3	0	18	96	8	10	2	196	291	253	543	57	369	43	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	391	360	72	13	1	0	20	106	4	10	5	200	250	242	492	42	274	27	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	114	103	21	2	0	1	5	37	2	1	2	204	255	252	507	49	273	32	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	250	233	41	7	0	2	16	82	0	5	2	176	229	232	461	56	257	33	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	19	17	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	1	0	294	368	647	1.015	353	401	37	11	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	360	321	66	14	1	5	29	132	4	2	1	206	280	302	582	97	318	37	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	47	43	4	0	0	1	4	28	0	2	0	93	170	163	333	70	214	60	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	47	42	7	0	0	2	5	20	0	2	0	167	255	310	565	143	250	43	11	259	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	303	272	54	8	4	0	19	128	9	10	2	199	273	257	531	59	367	42	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	303	260	70	11	5	0	31	93	9	10	2	269	367	350	717	81	412	31	10	328	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	391	360	72	13	1	0	20	106	4	10	5	200	250	242	492	42	279	27	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	391	350	76	15	1	0	30	88	4	10	5	217	286	266	552	49	286	23	8	253	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	364	336	60	9	0	2	21	118	2	6	4	179	231	223	454	45	265	32	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	364	323	74	12	0	3	34	90	2	6	4	229	306	294	601	65	305	25	9	275	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	379	338	70	15	2	5	31	139	4	3	1	207	282	308	589	101	330	37	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	379	324	81	19	2	7	45	114	4	3	1	250	349	386	734	136	359	30	12	328	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	47	43	4	0	0	1	4	28	0	2	0	93	170	163	333	70	227	60	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	303	272	54	8	4	0	19	128	9	10	2	199	273	257	531	59	354	42	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	391	364	72	13	1	0	20	106	4	10	5	198	250	239	489	41	274	27	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	364	338	60	9	0	2	21	118	2	6	4	178	231	222	453	44	262	32	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	379	341	70	15	2	5	31	139	4	3	1	205	282	305	586	100	322	37	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	391	364	72	13	1	0	20	106	4	10	5	198	250	239	489	41	274	27	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	364	338	60	9	0	2	21	118	2	6	4	178	231	222	453	44	262	32	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	379	341	70	15	2	5	31	139	4	3	1	205	282	305	586	100	322	37	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	380	347	65	13	1	3	27	130	3	5	2	189	253	264	516	74	287	34	7	237	47	-24	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	189	253	263	516	74	287	40	0	237	47	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	333	304	57	11	1	3	23	113	3	3	2	190	254	266	521	76	287	34	7	239	48	-21	-0	-1	+4	+7	-1.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	89	82	15	3	0	1	6	30	1	1	0	190	254	266	520	75	287	34	7	239	48	-6	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	89	82	15	3	0	1	6	30	1	1	0	183	247	256	503	73	275	34	7	239	43	-6	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	109	22	0	7	44	219	7	7	0	182	246	254	500	72	273	34	7	239	43	-40	+1	-1	+7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2067	1882	361	65	9	13	135	718	24	37	15	192	255	257	511	65	298	35	7	232	43	-37	+0	-1	+6	+13	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	113	20	3	4	42	226	8	12	5	191	254	255	509	64	297	35	6	232	43	-41	+0	-1	+7	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cortland Lawson (OGILVIE)	27	40	25	45	45	188/251/261	74	287	2	3	34%	7%	47	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lyle Lin 2024 · AA	27	41	36→30	44→40	41	192/260/254	62	277	4	4	30%	6%	48	-2.5	217/284/293	76	277	5	7	22%	6%	66	-1.1	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→45	46→50	39	192/245/267	75	277	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	219/257/323	104	313	12	17	33%	5%	62	-1.4	225/250/332	107	324	14	23	34%	3%	58	-1.1
✕Pat Cantwell 2017 · AAA	27	43	36→30	42→40	40	206/266/271	64	280	4	7	27%	5%	54	-2.0	217/284/308	91	303	8	9	29%	6%	70	-0.9	251/336/377	127	319	13	6	24%	8%	103	+0.4
✕Tommy Whiteman 2006 · AAA	27	42→39	39→30	41→40	42	203/261/282	79	288	7	6	31%	7%	55	-2.0	195/243/284	89	300	9	8	36%	6%	48	-2.5	128/155/180	53	216	5	3	43%	3%	-12	-1.8
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	40	39→40	44→45	38	196/252/279	83	283	6	5	32%	6%	51	-2.3	181/227/257	76	292	6	7	38%	4%	36	-3.4	149/188/204	56	252	3	4	41%	3%	6	-1.6
✕Eric Yang 2024 · AAA	26	41	39→40	47→40	43	194/269/277	83	288	6	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	203/280/276	73	313	5	6	34%	8%	61	-1.5	175/267/227	52	282	5	2	36%	9%	44	-0.6
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	41→37	40	42→50	42	200/257/286	86	276	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	192/254/289	97	261	11	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	161/230/243	82	217	11	11	30%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Brian Bocock 2012 · AAA	27	42→46	38→40	44→50	43	201/254/274	73	269	6	9	27%	7%	49	-2.4	204/251/285	81	260	6	13	23%	6%	51	-2.3	200/244/272	72	254	4	12	22%	5%	43	-1.5
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	199/228/283	84	274	7	5	30%	3%	41	-3.0	178/210/253	75	248	6	4	30%	3%	28	-3.9	187/222/301	114	244	14	2	30%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕J.C. Boscan 2007 · AAA	27	42	38→40	41→30	40	203/259/278	76	288	6	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	209/275/276	67	276	4	5	24%	8%	59	-1.7	209/277/258	49	269	2	2	21%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Josh Bissonette 2023 · AAA	26	43	36→30	44→30	46	203/264/270	67	270	3	5	25%	7%	53	-2.1	210/273/292	82	277	6	7	24%	8%	61	-1.5	194/260/241	47	255	2	0	23%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	38→40	44→50	39	179/267/255	76	302	6	11	39%	7%	53	-2.1	178/274/281	103	290	9	15	38%	8%	61	-1.5	153/258/253	100	252	9	18	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA	27	42→49	38→40	46→55	44	197/265/272	75	292	5	13	32%	8%	54	-2.0	205/277/274	69	318	5	20	34%	9%	59	-1.7	197/269/244	47	303	3	26	33%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Warren Schaeffer 2012 · AAA	27	42	37→30	44→40	38	203/248/277	73	276	4	4	27%	4%	48	-2.5	193/245/266	73	267	5	7	28%	4%	45	-2.7	155/204/188	33	218	2	4	28%	3%	9	-2.2
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	48	37→30	47→45	41	227/281/297	70	310	5	9	27%	6%	65	-1.2	229/267/341	112	292	13	11	26%	5%	70	-0.8	221/226/289	68	268	14	5	24%	1%	37	-0.6
✕Gary Patchett 2006 · AAA	27	44	38→30	48→30	38	211/267/290	79	288	5	6	27%	4%	59	-1.7	207/268/262	55	283	4	5	26%	6%	53	-2.1	199/256/233	34	276	3	2	27%	6%	39	-1.2
✕Scott Burcham 2021 · AA	28	41	39→30	46→50	41	198/253/281	83	282	7	11	31%	6%	51	-2.2	205/249/297	92	329	7	8	38%	5%	53	-2.1	174/198/228	55	305	2	0	43%	3%	15	-1.1
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	39	39→30	47→45	44	190/260/273	82	274	6	8	31%	8%	53	-2.1	212/267/317	105	287	9	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	194/244/307	113	259	9	0	28%	6%	54	-0.3