Andrew Jenkins1B Erie SeaWolves
Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 217 lbs AA HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .265 / .312
PA320
HR6
K%33
BB%6
MLB%2%
BAT: -16.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.30-1.3WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4545
PWR
4040
SPD
4040
EYE
4035
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.9peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Arb-1$0.8M
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2034Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $-13M $-37M -$24M
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$24M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 A2 teams 9179 14410 7265 20 .177.286.253.539 .076.264 298 .246 47 -5 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.4
202322 A3 teams 374343 91922 231395 41 .265.321.321.641 .055.434 376 .283 75 -11 +0 +0 -7 +11 -0.7
202423 A2 teams 173162 31802 8632 00 .191.238.278.516 .086.296 365 .231 35 -13 +0 +0 -3 +5 -1.1
202524 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 398363 781439 2112412 00 .215.280.344.625 .129.297 315 .270 65 -16 +0 +0 -7 +11 -1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202625 AAErie SeaWolves 6656 9211 6282 00 .161.266.286.551 .125.276 429 .233 37 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.4
ROS25 MLBDET 254231 47825 16885 20 .203.270.320.590 .117.293 356 .261 58 -12 +0 +0 -5 +7 -0.9
TOT25 MLBDET 320287 561036 221167 20 .195.269.314.583 .118.298 367 .255 54 -17 +0 +0 -6 +9 -1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202726 MLB 11%DET 356320 661227 261007 31 .206.280.322.602 .116.273 287 .273 67 -13 +0 +0 -6 +10 -0.9
202827 MLB 26%DET 382344 721328 281067 31 .209.282.328.611 .119.275 287 .277 70 -13 +0 +0 -7 +11 -0.9
202928 MLB 38%DET 396356 751329 301107 31 .211.285.334.619 .124.275 288 .279 71 -13 +0 -1 -7 +11 -0.9
203029 MLB 47%DET 398358 751329 301117 30 .209.284.332.616 .123.275 288 .278 71 -13 +1 -1 -7 +11 -1.0
203130 MLB 56%DET 397357 731328 301127 30 .204.279.319.599 .115.273 288 .275 68 -14 +1 -2 -7 +11 -1.2
203231 MLB 73%DET 385346 701228 291107 20 .202.277.318.595 .116.272 298 .271 65 -15 +0 -3 -7 +11 -1.4
203332 MLB 91%DET 369332 671227 281086 10 .202.276.313.589 .111.270 298 .266 62 -16 +0 -4 -7 +10 -1.6
203433 MLBDET 341306 601026 261026 10 .196.272.301.573 .105.268 308 .261 58 -16 +0 -4 -6 +10 -1.7
203534 MLBDET 298269 51915 22915 10 .190.264.286.550 .097.267 317 .255 53 -16 +0 -5 -5 +8 -1.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 46124166 8701502585 324139088 284 .209.280.318.598 .109.289 307 .269 64 -186 +4 -20 -82 +131 -15.6
/ 162G 650587 12321412 4619612 41 .210.280.320.600 .111.291 307 .269 64 -26 +0 -3 -12 +18 -2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 ALakeland Flying Tigers 5144 10300 5122 20 .227.333.295.629 .068.312 2410 .297 85 -1 +0 +1 0.1
202221 ROKFCL Tigers 4032 8210 563 00 .250.400.375.775 .125.308 1512 .360 134 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202322 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 123113 33201 8351 00 .292.341.336.678 .044.416 287 .310 95 -1 +0 +3 0.3
202322 ALakeland Flying Tigers 234204 62731 23624 31 .304.385.382.768 .078.424 2610 .346 123 +6 +0 +7 1.3
202322 ROKFCL Tigers 1714 9200 330 10 .643.706.7861.492 .143.818 1818 .647 353 +5 +0 +0 0.6
202423 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 5549 14301 6140 00 .286.364.408.772 .122.382 2511 .349 125 +2 +0 +2 0.3
202423 ALakeland Flying Tigers 118109 26802 6322 00 .239.291.367.658 .128.316 275 .293 82 -2 +0 +3 0.1
202524 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 398351 9217310 339312 00 .262.346.413.759 .151.328 238 .340 119 +8 +0 +11 2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Andrew Jenkins (OGILVIE) 25 45 40 40 35 .204/.265/.312 .109.296 62 33% 6% 60 -0.6
Chris Errecart
2010 · AA
25 43→46 45→50 40 37 .212/.268/.336 .124.297 124 32% 5% 66 -0.6 .212/.260/.341 .129.293 126 31% 4% 64 -0.8 .201/.231/.367.165.25815328%2%56-0.4
Jim Murphy
2011 · A
25 43 43→50 43→30 37 .204/.273/.317 .113.321 103 37% 6% 64 -0.8 .209/.271/.354 .145.293 162 33% 6% 72 -0.2 .211/.271/.365.154.27818130%6%75-0.0
Max Pentecost
2018 · A
25 47 45→50 44→40 40 .230/.277/.355 .125.307 135 29% 6% 74 -0.1 .227/.264/.351 .124.307 134 29% 4% 68 -0.5 .225/.253/.353.127.30015130%3%62-0.6
Johermyn Chavez
2014 · AA
25 39→47 45→50 39→45 42 .199/.267/.320 .121.267 136 30% 7% 62 -0.9 .218/.280/.331 .113.303 127 31% 6% 70 -0.3 .204/.266/.293.089.28612032%5%54-0.3
Cody Overbeck
2011 · AA
25 43→46 48→50 43→30 38 .215/.268/.355 .141.309 152 35% 6% 71 -0.3 .224/.269/.368 .144.302 182 31% 5% 75 -0.0 .219/.260/.364.145.28819131%4%68-0.4
John Norwood
2018 · AA
25 45→48 44→45 45→50 41 .218/.276/.333 .114.309 1210 32% 7% 69 -0.4 .220/.272/.331 .111.325 1111 33% 6% 66 -0.6 .207/.253/.305.097.31081434%6%46-1.4
Daniel Carte
2009 · AA
25 45→48 45 38→45 33 .222/.260/.343 .121.313 136 33% 4% 64 -0.8 .214/.260/.317 .103.304 117 32% 4% 57 -1.2 .185/.237/.270.085.2609531%4%33-1.4
Dustin Geiger
2017 · AA
25 40→47 45→50 47→40 41 .202/.259/.325 .123.279 136 32% 7% 59 -1.1 .193/.254/.316 .123.290 145 36% 6% 56 -1.3 .167/.233/.287.119.25314138%7%37-1.2
Tristin English
2022 · A
25 38→48 44→50 45→40 38 .193/.258/.304 .111.279 139 34% 6% 54 -1.4 .213/.276/.337 .124.283 155 29% 6% 70 -0.3 .227/.282/.364.137.28416226%5%76+0.0
Trey Vavra
2017 · A
25 45→38 41→40 43→45 43 .220/.284/.318 .098.283 95 25% 6% 68 -0.5 .195/.268/.281 .086.273 86 30% 6% 53 -1.5 .096/.196/.130.034.1534037%6%-15-1.3
Quincy Latimore
2014 · AA
25 40→42 46→50 43→50 39 .205/.258/.334 .128.275 148 30% 6% 61 -1.0 .218/.270/.353 .135.288 1510 29% 6% 71 -0.3 .208/.262/.346.138.27516830%6%63-0.6
Austin Wilson
2017 · A
25 41→40 45 44→45 36 .198/.273/.316 .118.317 136 39% 6% 65 -0.7 .189/.256/.275 .086.326 97 42% 6% 46 -2.0 .131/.184/.131.2400043%5%-26-1.5
Hunter Cole
2018 · AA
25 47→51 45→50 44→40 40 .230/.275/.362 .132.302 125 28% 5% 75 -0.0 .236/.285/.373 .137.333 164 32% 6% 82 +0.5 .243/.292/.377.135.35118134%6%84+0.3
Evan Bigley
2012 · AA
25 48→52 41→45 38→40 38 .230/.269/.333 .103.307 74 27% 4% 65 -0.7 .218/.256/.339 .121.293 125 29% 4% 61 -1.0 .211/.247/.339.128.28214330%4%54-1.0
Armani Smith
2023 · AA
25 45 43→50 46→45 40 .215/.278/.323 .108.329 117 36% 7% 66 -0.6 .210/.274/.308 .098.330 99 36% 8% 61 -1.0 .166/.233/.228.062.2708939%7%21-0.6
Nick Longhi
2021 · AAA
25 45→51 44→45 45→30 37 .221/.261/.337 .116.296 114 29% 4% 63 -0.8 .210/.271/.318 .108.310 116 33% 7% 63 -0.9 .180/.254/.255.076.2788035%7%37-1.1
Clint Coulter
2018 · AA
25 41→43 43→50 42→40 40 .204/.264/.319 .115.264 114 26% 5% 60 -1.0 .205/.261/.338 .133.302 135 35% 5% 64 -0.8 .205/.273/.359.153.24919425%5%71-0.1
Josh Petersen
2008 · A
25 45 42→45 45→40 36 .222/.258/.326 .103.291 95 27% 3% 59 -1.1 .244/.286/.338 .094.314 75 24% 5% 72 -0.2 .262/.306/.347.085.3326422%5%80+0.2
Logan Taylor
2019 · AA
25 45→49 45 42→40 39 .217/.276/.343 .126.327 125 36% 7% 71 -0.3 .202/.249/.309 .107.317 116 38% 5% 51 -1.7 .174/.216/.262.089.27311439%4%23-2.5
Jeremy Cruz
2012 · A
25 46→44 42→45 45 41 .224/.269/.329 .105.290 97 26% 5% 64 -0.8 .224/.269/.338 .114.301 117 28% 5% 66 -0.6 .225/.256/.365.140.31015032%2%63-0.2