Andrew Jenkins — OGILVIE

Andrew Jenkins1B Erie SeaWolves

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 217 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION317 act + 211 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .277 / .346

PA211

HR4

K%31

BB%5

BABIP322

ISO117

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	91	79	14	4	1	0	7	27	5	2	0	177	286	253	539	76	269	30	8	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	91	76	18	5	1	0	10	18	5	2	0	237	363	329	692	92	310	20	11	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	3 teams	—	374	344	90	8	2	2	22	144	5	4	1	262	315	314	629	52	438	39	6	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	3 teams	—	374	331	104	11	3	2	34	100	5	4	1	314	385	384	769	69	440	27	9	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	173	163	30	7	0	2	7	64	2	0	0	184	227	264	491	80	286	37	4	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	173	158	40	11	0	3	12	46	2	0	0	253	314	380	694	127	336	27	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	398	364	76	14	3	11	20	137	12	0	0	209	273	354	627	146	298	34	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	398	351	92	17	3	10	33	93	12	0	0	262	346	413	759	151	328	23	8	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	DET	—	317	294	71	14	2	7	15	94	3	2	1	241	285	374	659	133	323	30	5	287	78	-8	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.5
YTD	25	AA	DET	—	317	287	80	17	2	8	22	73	3	2	1	279	337	436	772	157	341	23	7	338	117	+6	+0	+0	-6	+9	1.0
ROS	25	AA	DET	2%	211	196	45	9	1	4	10	66	3	1	0	229	277	346	623	117	318	31	5	281	73	-6	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.4
ROS	25	MLB	DET	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		313	25	0	266	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	DET	—	321	298	72	14	2	7	15	95	3	2	1	242	285	372	657	131	323	30	5	287	78	-8	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.5
TOT	25	AA	DET	—	528	490	116	23	3	11	25	160	6	3	1	237	282	363	645	126	323	30	5	285	76	-14	+0	+0	-9	+15	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	DET	31%	529	489	113	21	3	12	28	161	7	3	1	231	282	360	642	129	315	30	5	286	77	-14	+0	+0	-9	+15	-0.8
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	543	500	117	22	3	13	31	162	7	3	1	234	288	368	656	134	313	30	6	289	79	-13	+0	+0	-10	+15	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	DET	48%	548	503	117	22	3	13	33	163	7	2	1	233	289	366	655	133	311	30	6	289	80	-13	+0	-1	-10	+16	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	DET	31%	164	152	35	6	1	4	9	50	2	1	0	230	282	362	644	132	310	30	5	272	66	-6	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	228	210	48	9	1	5	13	68	3	1	0	229	283	352	636	124	308	30	6	275	68	-8	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.6
2029	28	MLB	DET	48%	262	241	54	10	1	6	16	78	3	1	0	224	281	349	629	124	306	30	6	275	69	-9	+0	-0	-5	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	658	607	138	25	3	15	38	197	8	3	0	227	282	353	634	125	309	30	6	274	68	-24	+1	-0	-12	+19	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	137	25	3	15	38	195	8	3	0	228	284	355	639	127	310	30	6	274	68	-24	+1	-0	-12	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	2867	2638	602	107	16	57	158	924	48	15	4	228	284	346	630	117	326	32	6	279	71	-93	+1	-1	-51	+81	-6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	137	24	4	13	36	209	11	3	1	229	286	348	634	119	326	32	6	279	71	-21	+0	-0	-12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	51	44	10	3	0	0	5	12	2	2	0	227	333	295	629	68	312	24	10	297	85	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	40	32	8	2	1	0	5	6	3	0	0	250	400	375	775	125	308	15	12	360	134	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	123	113	33	2	0	1	8	35	1	0	0	292	341	336	678	44	416	28	7	310	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	234	204	62	7	3	1	23	62	4	3	1	304	385	382	768	78	424	26	10	346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.3
2023	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	17	14	9	2	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	643	706	786	1.492	143	818	18	18	647	353	+5	+0	—	—	+0	0.6
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	49	14	3	0	1	6	14	0	0	0	286	364	408	772	122	382	25	11	349	125	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	118	109	26	8	0	2	6	32	2	0	0	239	291	367	658	128	316	27	5	293	82	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	398	351	92	17	3	10	33	93	12	0	0	262	346	413	759	151	328	23	8	340	119	+8	+0	—	—	+11	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	9	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
	/162	664	14	3	262	328	388	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Yonder Alonsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,744 PA	9	3,744	100	22	260	333	405	-66	-62	1.3	2.0
	/162	664	18	4	260	333	405	-11.7	-11.0	0.2	pk7: 3
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	661	15	3	232	283	363	-12	-2	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	15	3	232	283	363	-11.9	-1.5	-0.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Jenkins (OGILVIE)	25	45	40	40	35	237/282/363	126	323	11	3	30%	5%	76	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Errecart 2010 · AA	25	42→46	45→50	40	37	210/266/333	123	296	12	4	32%	5%	65	-0.7	213/262/340	127	293	11	7	30%	5%	65	-0.7	205/235/369	164	263	13	3	27%	2%	58	-0.3
✕Cody Overbeck 2011 · AA	25	43→46	46→50	42→30	38	212/266/343	131	312	13	2	35%	6%	67	-0.5	224/267/364	140	301	17	2	30%	5%	73	-0.1	221/261/367	146	288	19	1	30%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Max Pentecost 2018 · A	25	46	44→50	44→40	39	226/270/345	119	308	11	4	30%	5%	69	-0.4	227/264/353	126	305	13	5	29%	4%	68	-0.5	226/254/362	136	297	16	1	29%	3%	65	-0.4
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A	25	44→39	42→40	43→45	43	217/282/317	100	279	10	5	25%	6%	67	-0.5	195/267/283	88	278	8	7	31%	6%	53	-1.5	93/185/125	33	153	4	0	39%	5%	-22	-1.4
✕Armani Smith 2023 · AA	25	45	42→45	45	41	211/276/313	102	323	10	6	36%	8%	63	-0.8	210/275/307	97	328	9	9	36%	8%	61	-1.0	170/238/229	59	275	7	9	38%	7%	24	-0.6
✕Gordon Gronkowski 2008 · A	25	49	42→45	47→45	40	232/287/338	106	337	10	3	32%	6%	74	-0.1	205/259/300	95	319	6	5	35%	6%	52	-1.6	165/218/259	94	266	4	4	37%	6%	20	-1.4
✕Rebel Ridling 2011 · A	25	45→51	45→50	38→40	40	227/266/349	122	284	13	3	25%	5%	68	-0.5	221/266/356	135	275	16	5	25%	6%	70	-0.3	213/261/354	141	258	18	4	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Josh Petersen 2008 · A	25	46	42→45	45→40	36	224/260/328	104	292	9	5	27%	3%	59	-1.1	243/286/337	94	311	7	5	23%	5%	72	-0.2	258/301/343	86	326	6	4	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Clint Coulter 2018 · AA	25	41→42	42→50	42→40	39	204/262/312	109	268	10	4	27%	5%	58	-1.2	203/259/326	123	314	12	6	37%	5%	59	-1.1	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕Hunter Cole 2018 · AA	25	45→52	47→50	44→40	39	225/269/366	141	297	14	4	29%	5%	74	-0.1	237/287/377	140	340	16	4	33%	6%	84	+0.6	246/295/382	135	360	17	1	35%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Daniel Carte 2009 · AA	25	46→49	45	38→45	33	227/264/346	119	324	13	5	33%	4%	66	-0.6	217/264/321	104	307	11	7	32%	5%	60	-1.0	190/241/277	87	266	9	5	31%	4%	36	-1.3
✕Jamie Romak 2011 · AA	25	41→48	46→55	38→45	38	209/264/334	125	285	14	3	31%	5%	65	-0.7	211/269/357	146	259	18	6	26%	6%	72	-0.2	200/257/371	171	274	21	5	34%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Jim Murphy 2011 · A	25	44	42→50	44→30	37	202/273/310	108	329	8	3	38%	6%	63	-0.9	211/273/357	146	298	16	2	33%	6%	74	-0.1	209/270/362	152	281	17	1	31%	6%	73	-0.1
●Kody Hinze 2011 · A	24	42→44	45→50	38→30	42	208/274/329	120	297	12	2	33%	8%	66	-0.6	218/285/371	153	294	20	3	31%	8%	83	+0.6	212/284/375	164	271	24	1	31%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Nicholas Torres 2018 · AAA	25	48→50	44→50	42→45	35	237/269/351	115	322	11	6	30%	3%	69	-0.4	233/282/359	126	325	14	6	31%	5%	78	+0.2	222/280/338	116	313	13	6	32%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Sean Halton 2011 · A	24	48→52	43→50	41→40	38	236/279/348	112	309	11	4	27%	4%	73	-0.1	232/279/361	129	297	13	4	25%	5%	76	+0.1	224/276/361	138	285	14	4	26%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Steffan Wilson 2011 · AA	25	43→47	45→50	46→45	42	216/271/337	121	293	13	8	30%	7%	67	-0.5	204/251/295	91	271	9	7	27%	6%	47	-1.9	193/234/263	70	249	7	4	25%	5%	29	-2.4
✕John Norwood 2018 · AA	25	45→48	43→45	44→50	41	219/280/330	111	316	11	9	33%	7%	69	-0.4	222/271/333	111	321	10	11	32%	6%	66	-0.6	217/258/323	106	312	8	14	32%	5%	53	-1.1
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Alex Burg 2013 · A	25	44→40	49→50	40	43	223/285/382	160	298	16	3	30%	7%	85	+0.7	220/287/352	132	307	14	4	31%	8%	79	+0.3	215/290/355	140	293	17	2	31%	8%	78	+0.1