Joe Nahas

P South Bend Cubs

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX2 levels	36	4	72	4.98	4.12	18.3%	11.8%	—	K 14.3% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.70
2024	24	MIX2 levels	31	2	69	4.02	3.59	25.9%	9.1%	—	K 21.4% · BB 9.2% · FIP 4.72
2025	25	A+CHC	13	0	19	6.27	3.85	14.1%	4.7%	—	K 10.9% · BB 5.4% · FIP 4.33
2027PROJ	27	MLBCHC	16	0	17	4.48	4.48	19.9%	8.0%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBCHC	7	0	7	4.51	4.55	20.1%	8.2%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsEdwin Quirarte (age 28) · Connor Schultz (age 25) · Coleman Huntley III (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%19.9%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%11.9%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	2	2	2	12	4	2	0	100%	0.8	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	27.00	2.40	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	2	2	2	12	4	2	0	100%	0.8	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	27.00	1.90	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	12	93	398	89	32	17	48%	3.7	17.1%	9.2%	7.8%	5.5%	4.27	5.87	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	12	93	398	89	32	17	48%	3.7	22.4%	8.0%	14.3%	4.3%	4.27	4.60	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	24	5	86	375	74	40	9	21%	3.6	15.2%	12.3%	2.9%	3.2%	4.19	5.13	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	24	5	86	375	74	40	9	21%	3.6	19.7%	10.7%	9.1%	2.4%	4.19	4.13	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	4	72	323	59	38	6	11%	2.0	14.3%	13.3%	1.0%	2.1%	4.98	4.70	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	4	72	323	59	38	6	11%	2.0	18.3%	11.8%	6.5%	1.9%	4.98	4.12	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	2	69	286	74	26	8	6%	2.2	21.4%	9.2%	12.1%	4.1%	4.02	4.72	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	2	69	286	74	26	8	6%	2.2	21.4%	9.2%	12.1%	4.1%	4.02	4.72	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	2	69	286	74	26	8	6%	2.2	25.9%	9.1%	16.8%	2.8%	4.02	3.59	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	13	0	19	85	12	4	2	0%	1.4	10.9%	5.4%	5.5%	2.7%	6.27	4.33	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	13	0	19	85	12	4	2	0%	1.4	10.9%	5.4%	5.5%	2.7%	6.27	4.33	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	13	0	19	85	12	4	2	0%	1.4	14.1%	4.7%	9.4%	2.4%	6.27	3.85	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CHC	16	0	17	72	14	6	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.0%	11.9%	3.0%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	17	7	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.2%	11.9%	3.1%	4.51	4.55	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	7	0	7	30	6	2	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.2%	11.9%	3.1%	4.51	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.2%	11.9%	3.1%	4.51	4.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	82	27	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.2%	11.9%	3.1%	4.51	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		131	25	341	1479	245	159	55	19%	2.6	16.6%	10.7%	5.9%	3.7%	4.57	5.09	0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	15	200	868	144	93	32	19%	2.6	16.6%	10.7%	5.9%	3.7%	4.57	5.09	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Nahas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	19.9%	8.0%	3.0%	—	4.55	20.1%	11.9%	20	+0.07	—	—	—
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	80
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	79
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	79
Lance Carter R 2002 · 3.63 FIP	27	SU	3.63	17.7%	5.1%	2.5%	.220	4.80	11.6%	6.3%	216	+1.17	3.63	248	78
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	77
Cristhian Martinez R 2009 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.1%	6.2%	1.8%	.294	3.46	19.8%	14.7%	177	-0.05	3.09	204	77
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	76
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	75
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	75
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	74
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	74
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	74
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	74
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	74
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	73
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	73
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	18.3%	9.0%	2.4%	.255	4.23	15.9%	2.3%	20	+0.20	4.03	254	73
DJ Baxendale R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	27	SW	3.49	18.1%	6.0%	2.1%	.355	5.71	20.0%	8.3%	49	+2.22	2.88	426	73
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	73