Orlando Ribalta

P Washington Nationals

Age 29 RHP 6'7" / 245 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX3 levels	55	58	3.43	3.22	31.9%	13.5%	0.9	K 28.3% · BB 13.3% · FIP 3.76
2025	27	MIX3 levels	31	33	5.67	5.80	20.8%	13.6%	-0.5	K 20.8% · BB 14.2% · FIP 5.88
2026	28	MIX2 levels	54	51	3.53	3.69	23.6%	10.1%	0.5	K 23.6% · BB 10.1% · FIP 3.93
2027PROJ	29	MLBWSH	56	59	4.77	4.88	24.6%	13.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ95% MLB	30	MLBWSH	50	53	4.90	5.03	23.8%	13.2%	-0.3
2029PROJ95% MLB	31	MLBWSH	47	49	5.06	5.21	23.0%	13.2%	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo84

xwOBA vs66

Whiff%59

K%58

CompsShintaro Fujinami (age 29) · Pedro Báez (age 29) · Jake Cousins (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.77

FIP4.88

K%24.6%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%11.3%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2525

CMD3535

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8496.9

Whiff%

p5926.7%

p5823.6%

xwOBA vs

p660.296

SL+1.1 (39%)

FB (45%)

SI (16%)

CH (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	9	0	17	75	19	13	1	0%	1.9	17.2%	21.7%	-4.4%	1.9%	3.18	5.41	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	9	0	17	75	19	13	1	0%	1.9	25.3%	17.3%	8.0%	1.3%	3.18	3.92	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	11	0	17	73	17	7	1	0%	1.5	15.8%	12.0%	3.8%	1.9%	4.24	4.32	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	11	0	17	73	17	7	1	0%	1.5	23.3%	9.6%	13.7%	1.4%	4.24	3.10	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	50	215	54	27	5	0%	1.4	18.9%	14.7%	4.2%	2.8%	3.40	4.89	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	50	215	54	27	5	0%	1.4	25.1%	12.6%	12.6%	2.3%	3.40	3.85	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	5 levels	27	0	35	147	36	12	2	0%	1.3	16.7%	9.6%	7.2%	2.3%	3.89	4.18	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	5 levels	27	0	35	147	36	12	2	0%	1.3	24.5%	8.2%	16.3%	1.4%	3.89	2.81	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	0	58	251	80	34	5	0%	1.0	28.3%	13.3%	15.0%	2.5%	3.43	3.76	+0.5
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	0	58	251	80	34	5	0%	1.0	28.3%	13.3%	15.0%	2.5%	3.43	3.76	+0.5
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	0	58	251	80	34	5	0%	1.0	31.9%	13.5%	18.3%	2.0%	3.43	3.22	+0.9
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	33	154	32	21	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.2%	6.7%	5.0%	5.67	5.88	-0.5
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	33	154	32	21	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.2%	6.7%	5.0%	5.67	5.88	-0.5
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	33	154	32	21	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.6%	7.1%	4.5%	5.67	5.80	-0.5
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	51	208	49	21	5	0%	0.9	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	2.8%	3.53	3.93	+0.4
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	51	208	49	21	5	0%	0.9	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	2.8%	3.53	3.93	+0.4
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	51	208	49	21	5	0%	0.9	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	2.4%	3.53	3.69	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			71	0	71	321	70	37	11	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.5%	10.3%	3.4%	5.35	4.71	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	WSH	56	0	59	249	61	33	8	0%	1.1	24.6%	13.3%	11.3%	3.3%	4.77	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	WSH	53	0	55	234	56	31	8	0%	1.0	23.8%	13.2%	10.6%	3.4%	4.90	5.03	-0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	WSH	49	0	52	218	50	29	8	0%	1.1	23.0%	13.2%	9.8%	3.6%	5.06	5.21	-0.4
2028	30	MLB CTX	WSH	50	0	53	224	53	29	8	0%	1.1	23.8%	13.2%	10.6%	3.4%	4.90	5.03	-0.3
2029	31	MLB CTX	WSH	47	0	49	207	48	27	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	13.2%	9.8%	3.6%	5.06	5.21	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		168	0	172	751	171	94	26	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.5%	10.2%	3.5%	5.13	4.68	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	0	200	871	198	109	30	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.5%	10.2%	3.5%	5.13	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		223	0	261	1123	242	147	32	0%	1.2	21.5%	13.1%	8.5%	2.8%	3.83	4.50	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	861	185	113	24	0%	1.2	21.5%	13.1%	8.5%	2.8%	3.83	4.50	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Orlando Ribalta (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	24.6%	13.3%	3.3%	—	5.12	23.4%	10.2%	107	+0.24	—	—	—
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.49	22.0%	0.2%	51	+0.40	4.09	130	82
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	356	76
Jake Cousins R 2023 · 4.38 FIP	29	SU	4.38	27.3%	11.4%	3.9%	.379	3.42	34.2%	21.9%	38	-0.96	1.11	160	74
Jose Veras R 2010 · 4.10 FIP	29	SU	4.10	26.9%	14.4%	2.6%	.239	3.42	25.3%	14.8%	201	-0.68	3.37	422	74
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	73
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	73
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	73
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	71
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	71
Jacob Barnes R 2019 · 5.09 FIP	29	SU	5.09	21.9%	10.0%	4.7%	.303	3.54	23.1%	15.1%	101	-1.55	1.84	551	70
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	70
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	70
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	70
Ray Black R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	29	SU	4.89	30.8%	13.2%	5.0%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	150	70
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	70
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	69
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	69
Hunter Strickland R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	18.4%	9.5%	2.7%	.271	4.48	22.0%	13.3%	83	+0.26	2.30	523	69
Jose Cuas R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	24.3%	12.0%	2.9%	.309	3.75	21.7%	9.4%	133	-0.38	2.71	345	69
José Ramírez R 2017 · 4.56 FIP	27	SU	4.56	21.7%	10.9%	3.5%	.218	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	206	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	23.2%	12.7%	1.33	5.04
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Amir Garrett ('24)	1.7	55	26.7%	13.3%	1.52	4.95
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*