Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 13 | 0 | 19 | 93 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.38 | 5.65 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 13 | 0 | 19 | 93 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 8.38 | 4.70 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 36 | 147 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 14.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 2.02 | 3.90 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 36 | 147 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.7% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 1.4% | 2.02 | 3.04 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 42 | 164 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.8% | 13.7% | 1.0% | 1.51 | 2.73 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 42 | 164 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.8% | 4.9% | 22.0% | 0.6% | 1.51 | 1.88 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 0 | 60 | 275 | 55 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 2.85 | 3.45 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 0 | 60 | 275 | 55 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 2.85 | 3.32 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 73 | 2 | 66 | 297 | 73 | 36 | 9 | 3% | 0.9 | 24.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.07 | 4.03 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 73 | 2 | 66 | 297 | 73 | 36 | 9 | 3% | 0.9 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 4.29 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 47 | 228 | 62 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 6.89 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 47 | 228 | 62 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 3.5% | 6.89 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 28 | 135 | 27 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 19.0% | -1.1% | 0.0% | 5.20 | 4.00 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 28 | 135 | 27 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 17.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 5.20 | 4.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 34 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 3.23 | 3.81 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | KC | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | KC | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | KC | — | — | 48 | 209 | 50 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 23.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 1.5% | 3.41 | 3.90 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | KC | — | — | 15 | 63 | 50 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 79.6% | 35.5% | 44.2% | 4.8% | 10.87 | 3.51 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | KC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | KC | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 164 | 2 | 154 | 702 | 158 | 81 | 18 | 1% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 4.33 | 4.03 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 213 | 3 | 200 | 914 | 206 | 105 | 23 | 1% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 4.33 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 303 | 2 | 337 | 1512 | 308 | 172 | 31 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 3.96 | 3.93 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 1 | 200 | 898 | 183 | 102 | 18 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 3.96 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Cuas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.78 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 20 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 81 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 74 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 73 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 27.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .243 | 3.59 | 28.0% | 21.3% | 157 | -0.61 | 2.49 | 417 | 73 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 73 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.48 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.42 | 3.03 | 256 | 73 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.79 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .265 | 3.93 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.86 | 2.85 | 227 | 72 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 72 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 72 |
| AJ Ramos R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 25.0% | 17.0% | 3.4% | .292 | 4.88 | 27.3% | 16.6% | 53 | -0.15 | 2.55 | 266 | 72 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 71 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 70 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 70 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.88 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 114 | 70 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 69 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 69 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2024 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 104 | 69 |