Patrick Monteverde
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128137vR 146
ERA5.66
FIP5.66
K%18.0%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 138 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH+0.7 (10%)
SI (13%)
CU (14%)
FB (28%)
SL-0.5 (3%)
CT-1.2 (45%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 7 | 1 | 15 | 62 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 14% | 2.1 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 3.07 | 3.88 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 7 | 1 | 15 | 62 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 14% | 2.1 | 25.8% | 6.5% | 19.4% | 1.6% | 3.07 | 2.62 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 110 | 454 | 122 | 32 | 13 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 3.20 | 4.58 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 110 | 454 | 122 | 32 | 13 | 100% | 5.2 | 26.9% | 7.0% | 19.8% | 2.9% | 3.20 | 3.29 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 513 | 121 | 52 | 17 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 513 | 121 | 52 | 17 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 4.18 | 4.20 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 22 | 113 | 486 | 102 | 40 | 26 | 96% | 4.9 | 17.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.50 | 5.97 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 22 | 113 | 486 | 102 | 40 | 26 | 96% | 4.9 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 5.50 | 5.35 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 15 | 98 | 417 | 89 | 33 | 19 | 58% | 3.8 | 18.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.85 | 6.17 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 15 | 98 | 417 | 89 | 33 | 19 | 58% | 3.8 | 21.3% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 4.85 | 4.81 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 19 | 12 | 68 | 296 | 54 | 24 | 12 | 63% | 3.6 | 16.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.80 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 70 | 294 | 53 | 25 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 5.66 | 5.66 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 5.66 | 5.66 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 138 | 590 | 107 | 49 | 26 | — | — | 18.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 5.73 | 5.47 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 5.66 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 66 | 281 | 51 | 24 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 5.60 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 62 | 264 | 48 | 24 | 13 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 5.64 | 5.73 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 58 | 246 | 45 | 23 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.75 | 5.86 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 5.60 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 5.64 | 5.73 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.75 | 5.86 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 18 | 109 | 465 | 85 | 41 | 22 | 95% | 5.7 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 5.81 | 5.23 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 32 | 200 | 853 | 156 | 75 | 40 | 95% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 5.81 | 5.23 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 119 | 94 | 527 | 2228 | 420 | 197 | 105 | 79% | 4.4 | 18.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 4.56 | 5.20 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 36 | 200 | 846 | 160 | 75 | 40 | 79% | 4.4 | 18.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 4.56 | 5.20 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Monteverde (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.66 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 4.8% | — | 5.74 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 187 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .330 | 3.78 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.72 | 2.42 | 807 | 64 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 63 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 63 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.19 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 311 | 62 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.62 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 61 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 61 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 61 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 60 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.55 | 14.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | .301 | 3.76 | 19.2% | 11.0% | 142 | -1.79 | 3.19 | 564 | 59 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.91 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 242 | 59 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 57 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.84 | 18.7% | 12.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 2.92 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 72 | -2.92 | 2.92 | 486 | 56 |
| John Lamb L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.76 | 22.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 390 | 55 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 55 |
| Alex Wood L 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.93 | 19.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | .291 | 3.40 | 24.8% | 18.8% | 282 | -2.53 | 3.05 | 1,009 | 54 |
| Nate Fisher L 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.34 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 229 | 54 |
| Nick Additon L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.12 | 12.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | .303 | 3.06 | 19.3% | 10.2% | 26 | -2.06 | 3.06 | 217 | 54 |
| Nick Lodolo L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.58 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 3.2% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.56 | 516 | 54 |
| Tyler Gilbert L 2026 · 6.53 FIP | 28 | SP | 6.53 | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | .272 | 3.45 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 195 | -3.08 | 2.61 | 698 | 53 |
| Misael Siverio L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.52 | 17.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 185 | 53 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 18.2% | 8.9% | 1.87 | 5.66 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Chris Young ('17) | 3 | 81 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 1.90 | 4.76 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |