Patrick Monteverde
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AAA
ERA5.42
FIP5.42
xFIP4.71
SIERA3.90
K%19.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%10.9%
IP99
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†4550
CH+0.7 (10%)
SI (13%)
CU (14%)
FB (28%)
SL-0.5 (3%)
CT-1.2 (45%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 7 | 1 | 15 | 62 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 3.07 | 3.88 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 21 | 21 | 110 | 454 | 122 | 32 | 13 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.20 | 4.43 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 23 | 23 | 123 | 513 | 121 | 52 | 17 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.18 | 4.48 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 23 | 22 | 113 | 486 | 102 | 40 | 26 | 17.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.50 | 5.85 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 26 | 15 | 98 | 417 | 89 | 33 | 19 | 18.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.85 | 5.84 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 4 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14.0% | 15.0% | 1.7% | 4.40 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 18 | 99 | 420 | 80 | 36 | 19 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 114 | 483 | 90 | 45 | 20 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 5.31 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 18 | 97 | 410 | 79 | 35 | 18 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 5.35 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 94 | 398 | 77 | 34 | 17 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 5.31 | 5.34 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 91 | 384 | 74 | 33 | 17 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 5.32 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 16 | 87 | 369 | 70 | 32 | 16 | 19.0% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 5.37 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 15 | 15 | 84 | 353 | 66 | 31 | 16 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 5.46 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 79 | 335 | 68 | 28 | 15 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.40 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 75 | 315 | 63 | 27 | 15 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 5.45 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 57 | 26 | 14 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.55 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 85 | 473 | 1995 | 382 | 181 | 89 | 19.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 4.38 | 5.08 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 77 | 38 | 19.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 4.38 | 5.08 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Monteverde (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% | — | 5.36 | 19.2% | 10.7% | 282 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.80 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 311 | 63 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.82 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 61 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.86 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.63 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.23 | 3.76 | 686 | 60 |
| Adam Conley L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | .272 | 4.46 | 20.4% | 10.5% | 111 | +0.10 | 3.56 | 674 | 60 |
| Danny Coulombe L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.40 | 23.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .326 | 3.70 | 28.3% | 21.6% | 91 | -0.70 | 2.48 | 461 | 58 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .341 | 4.37 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.07 | 3.37 | 393 | 57 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.44 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | .289 | 5.28 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | -0.16 | 5.28 | 128 | 57 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.85 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 491 | 55 |
| Reid VanScoter L 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.39 | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 331 | 55 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.70 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 137 | 54 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.38 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | .367 | 4.09 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 128 | -0.29 | 3.98 | 280 | 54 |
| Nate Fisher L 2025 · 5.74 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.74 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.7% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 229 | 53 |
| Cam Vieaux L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.46 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .233 | 4.63 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 72 | +0.17 | 4.20 | 620 | 53 |
| Sean Gilmartin L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.66 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .274 | 4.25 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 66 | -0.41 | 2.33 | 386 | 53 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.58 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.36 | 2.22 | 286 | 53 |
| Matt Dermody L 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.90 | 17.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | .294 | 4.18 | 19.8% | 16.7% | 23 | -0.72 | 2.38 | 348 | 53 |
| Nick Additon L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.52 | 12.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .303 | 3.12 | 19.3% | 10.2% | 26 | -1.40 | 3.12 | 217 | 53 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 52 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.45 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .356 | 4.80 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.65 | 3.45 | 512 | 52 |
| David Hurlbut L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.84 | 13.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 478 | 52 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.