Tyler Gilbert
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 32
LHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96105vR 114
ERA4.27
FIP4.36
K%21.8%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.5
Whiff%
p5626.2%
K%
p5322.8%
xwOBA vs
p490.313
SI (36%)
SL (36%)
CT-1.3 (18%)
FB-1.7 (41%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 23 | 23 | 131 | 558 | 106 | 26 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 3.98 | 4.37 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 23 | 23 | 131 | 558 | 106 | 26 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.0% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 3.98 | 3.07 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 35 | 1 | 61 | 260 | 52 | 13 | 5 | 3% | 1.7 | 15.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 2.95 | 3.71 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 35 | 1 | 61 | 260 | 52 | 13 | 5 | 3% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 1.9% | 2.95 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 69 | 281 | 69 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.6% | 5.0% | 15.6% | 2.7% | 3.25 | 3.47 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 69 | 281 | 69 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.6% | 4.6% | 19.9% | 2.5% | 3.25 | 2.98 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 36 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 2.83 | 4.00 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 36 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 16.5% | 2.1% | 2.83 | 3.14 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 16 | 92 | 376 | 75 | 32 | 8 | 80% | 4.6 | 18.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 3.31 | 3.92 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 16 | 92 | 376 | 75 | 32 | 8 | 80% | 4.6 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 3.31 | 3.64 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 78 | 352 | 46 | 33 | 19 | 89% | 4.1 | 12.2% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 6.55 | 6.53 | -1.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 78 | 352 | 46 | 33 | 19 | 89% | 4.1 | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.55 | 6.34 | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 7 | 92 | 409 | 107 | 31 | 12 | 17% | 2.2 | 23.6% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 5.28 | 3.81 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 7 | 92 | 409 | 107 | 31 | 12 | 17% | 2.2 | 26.2% | 7.6% | 18.6% | 2.9% | 5.28 | 3.48 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 3 | 60 | 266 | 69 | 16 | 4 | 7% | 1.4 | 25.1% | 6.4% | 18.6% | 1.5% | 4.50 | 2.61 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 3 | 60 | 266 | 69 | 16 | 4 | 7% | 1.4 | 25.9% | 6.0% | 19.9% | 1.5% | 4.50 | 2.47 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 5 | 57 | 246 | 56 | 26 | 6 | 10% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 4.74 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 5 | 57 | 246 | 56 | 26 | 6 | 10% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 4.74 | 3.87 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 17 | 2 | 27 | 108 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 12% | 1.6 | 21.5% | 6.1% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 5.00 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | CWS | 53 | 0 | 56 | 234 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | CWS | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 52 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 83 | 342 | 75 | 31 | 11 | — | — | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.51 | 4.30 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 59 | 250 | 75 | 31 | 11 | — | — | 30.1% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 4.6% | 6.29 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 56 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 51 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 44 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.33 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 48 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 40 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.33 | 5.53 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 277 | 19 | 357 | 1504 | 292 | 144 | 51 | 7% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.52 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 11 | 200 | 843 | 164 | 81 | 29 | 7% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 335 | 74 | 716 | 3050 | 571 | 222 | 93 | 22% | 2.1 | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.11 | +10.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 21 | 200 | 852 | 160 | 62 | 26 | 22% | 2.1 | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Gilbert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 2.8% | — | 5.19 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 162 | +0.83 | — | — | — |
| Chris Narveson L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 74 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 73 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 72 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 72 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 70 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.91 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +1.08 | 2.42 | 129 | 70 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.21 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .376 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 53 | +0.64 | 4.07 | 424 | 70 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 69 |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 69 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 69 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.51 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 241 | 69 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 68 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 68 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 67 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.92 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | .292 | 3.40 | 22.8% | 18.4% | 138 | -0.52 | 2.22 | 405 | 67 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.18 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .250 | 2.81 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.37 | 2.44 | 215 | 66 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 65 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 65 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.56 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 5.2% | .268 | 5.04 | 22.6% | 13.0% | 129 | -0.52 | 3.76 | 686 | 65 |
| Jaime García L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.76 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 540 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 55 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 1.30 | 4.81 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |