Tyler Gilbert — OGILVIE

Tyler Gilbert P Charlotte Knights

Age 32 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 92100vR 108

ERA3.91

FIP4.00

K%21.1%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.5

Whiff%

p5626.2%

p5322.8%

xwOBA vs

p490.313

SI (40%)

SL (37%)

CT-1.3 (13%)

FB-1.7 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	23	23	131	558	106	26	10	100%	5.7	14.1%	5.5%	8.6%	2.7%	3.98	4.09	—
2016	22	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	23	23	131	558	106	26	10	100%	5.7	19.0%	4.7%	14.3%	1.8%	3.98	3.07	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	35	1	61	260	52	13	5	3%	1.7	15.4%	5.8%	9.7%	2.3%	2.95	3.77	—
2017	23	A+ RAW	Clearwater Threshers	35	1	61	260	52	13	5	3%	1.7	20.0%	5.0%	15.0%	1.9%	2.95	3.10	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	69	281	69	13	7	0%	1.4	20.6%	5.0%	15.6%	2.7%	3.25	3.50	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	69	281	69	13	7	0%	1.4	24.6%	4.6%	19.9%	2.5%	3.25	2.98	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	36	0	48	194	46	14	4	0%	1.3	20.9%	7.6%	13.3%	2.6%	2.83	3.74	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	36	0	48	194	46	14	4	0%	1.3	23.7%	7.2%	16.5%	2.1%	2.83	3.14	—
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	16	92	376	75	32	8	80%	4.6	18.4%	8.8%	9.6%	2.3%	3.31	3.95	+1.0
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	16	92	376	75	32	8	80%	4.6	19.9%	8.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.31	3.64	+1.4
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	78	352	46	33	19	89%	4.1	12.2%	9.7%	2.5%	6.0%	6.55	6.58	-1.4
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	17	78	352	46	33	19	89%	4.1	13.1%	9.4%	3.7%	5.4%	6.55	6.34	-1.2
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	92	409	107	31	12	17%	2.2	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	3.2%	5.28	3.82	+0.8
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	92	409	107	31	12	17%	2.2	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	3.2%	5.28	3.82	+0.8
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	7	92	409	107	31	12	17%	2.2	26.2%	7.6%	18.6%	2.9%	5.28	3.48	+1.2
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	3	60	266	69	16	4	7%	1.4	23.7%	5.5%	18.1%	1.5%	4.50	2.61	+1.4
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	3	60	266	69	16	4	7%	1.4	23.7%	5.5%	18.1%	1.5%	4.50	2.61	+1.4
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	3	60	266	69	16	4	7%	1.4	25.9%	6.0%	19.9%	1.5%	4.50	2.47	+1.5
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	5	57	246	56	26	6	10%	1.1	22.8%	9.8%	13.0%	2.3%	4.74	3.67	+0.6
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	5	57	246	56	26	6	10%	1.1	22.8%	9.8%	13.0%	2.3%	4.74	3.67	+0.6
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	5	57	246	56	26	6	10%	1.1	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	2.4%	4.74	3.87	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			85	19	157	660	121	54	22	22%	1.8	18.3%	8.2%	10.2%	3.3%	4.41	4.41	+0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	27	5	39	167	35	16	8	19%	1.5	19.1%	8.0%	11.1%	4.9%	6.41	5.19	—
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	27	5	39	167	35	16	8	19%	1.5	19.1%	8.0%	11.1%	4.9%	6.41	5.19	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	CWS	22	4	33	135	31	12	6	18%	1.5	23.0%	8.9%	14.1%	4.4%	5.40	4.73	—
2026	32	MLB RAW	CWS	5	1	6	32	4	4	2	20%	1.2	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	6.2%	12.00	7.06	—
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	CWS	5	1	6	32	4	4	2	20%	1.2	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	6.2%	12.00	7.06	—
ROS	32	MLB MLE	CWS	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.1%	12.1%	2.8%	3.91	4.00	+0.0
ROS	32	MLB CTX	CWS	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.1%	12.1%	2.8%	3.91	4.00	+0.0
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	45	192	40	18	9	—	—	21.0%	9.5%	11.5%	4.5%	6.08	5.03	-0.2
FULL	32	MLB A+C	CWS	—	—	12	50	40	18	9	—	—	80.4%	36.5%	43.9%	17.4%	23.19	10.46	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	CWS	56	0	59	250	49	25	8	0%	1.1	19.7%	9.9%	9.8%	3.3%	4.71	4.86	-0.2
2028	34	MLB MLE	CWS	51	0	54	228	43	24	8	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.4%	8.4%	3.6%	4.98	5.16	-0.4
2027	33	MLB CTX	CWS	53	0	56	236	47	23	8	0%	1.1	19.7%	9.9%	9.8%	3.3%	4.71	4.86	-0.2
2028	34	MLB CTX	CWS	47	0	49	207	39	21	7	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.4%	8.4%	3.6%	4.98	5.16	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		191	19	268	1128	212	101	38	10%	1.4	18.8%	9.0%	9.8%	3.3%	4.57	4.49	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		142	14	200	842	158	75	28	10%	1.4	18.8%	9.0%	9.8%	3.3%	4.57	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		345	77	728	3109	572	222	94	22%	2.1	18.4%	7.1%	11.2%	3.0%	4.34	4.12	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	21	200	854	157	61	26	22%	2.1	18.4%	7.1%	11.2%	3.0%	4.34	4.12	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Gilbert (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.36	21.4%	9.2%	2.8%	—	5.00	19.3%	9.1%	113	+0.64	—	—	—
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	73
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	73
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	72
Dana Eveland L 2016 · 3.84 FIP	32	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.7%	1.8%	.272	4.67	14.7%	10.0%	21	+0.83	2.42	129	72
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	71
Vidal Nuño L 2019 · 4.40 FIP	32	SU	4.40	20.2%	8.7%	3.5%	.376	4.88	16.0%	11.1%	53	+0.48	4.00	424	71
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	70
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	70
Jeremy Bleich L 2019 · 4.41 FIP	32	SW	4.41	20.1%	7.0%	3.9%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	241	70
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	69
Dan Jennings L 2018 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	16.6%	8.1%	2.1%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	244	69
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	69
Colt Hynes L 2017 · 3.75 FIP	32	SW	3.75	14.1%	4.6%	2.3%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	152	68
Tony Watson L 2017 · 3.76 FIP	32	SU	3.76	18.2%	4.5%	3.0%	.292	3.39	22.8%	18.4%	138	-0.37	2.21	405	68
Mike Dunn L 2017 · 4.29 FIP	32	SU	4.29	25.9%	12.7%	3.2%	.276	5.11	17.3%	2.6%	35	+0.82	3.71	181	67
Dan Runzler L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	32	SU	4.20	17.5%	11.0%	2.1%	.325	4.84	16.0%	3.0%	27	+0.64	3.78	127	66
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	66
Zach Duke L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	32	SU	4.21	25.9%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	2.85	22.9%	14.7%	131	-1.36	2.44	215	64
Clayton Richard L 2016 · 3.83 FIP	32	SW	3.83	13.4%	9.2%	1.3%	.330	4.28	16.1%	8.6%	401	+0.45	3.56	574	64
David Huff L 2016 · 4.06 FIP	31	SW	4.06	19.5%	4.9%	3.6%	.384	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	158	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	20.0%	9.8%	1.23	4.63
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19