Ross Carver — OGILVIE

Ross Carver P Akron RubberDucks

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%17.3%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	8	0	22	99	33	11	0	0%	2.8	24.7%	13.1%	11.6%	0.0%	4.09	2.68	—
2021	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	8	0	22	99	33	11	0	0%	2.8	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	4.09	1.60	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	117	505	128	42	23	100%	4.9	19.8%	9.4%	10.3%	5.6%	5.06	5.69	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	117	505	128	42	23	100%	4.9	25.3%	8.3%	17.0%	4.6%	5.06	4.54	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	75	343	88	37	10	81%	3.6	20.4%	11.6%	8.8%	3.7%	6.57	4.88	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	17	75	343	88	37	10	81%	3.6	25.7%	10.8%	14.9%	2.9%	6.57	3.96	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	35	2	56	233	59	22	4	6%	1.6	20.5%	10.4%	10.1%	2.1%	4.34	3.85	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	35	2	56	233	59	22	4	6%	1.6	20.5%	10.4%	10.1%	2.1%	4.34	3.85	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	35	2	56	233	59	22	4	6%	1.6	25.3%	9.4%	15.9%	1.7%	4.34	3.10	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	56	259	57	32	9	3%	1.6	17.0%	13.8%	3.2%	2.3%	4.63	4.68	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	56	259	57	32	9	3%	1.6	17.0%	13.8%	3.2%	2.3%	4.63	4.68	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	56	259	57	32	9	3%	1.6	22.0%	12.4%	9.7%	3.5%	4.63	4.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CLE	67	0	70	296	51	42	9	0%	1.0	17.3%	14.3%	3.0%	2.9%	5.41	5.41	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	65	0	68	287	51	40	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	14.0%	3.9%	3.0%	5.35	5.39	-0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	CLE	62	0	65	274	49	38	9	0%	1.0	18.0%	13.8%	4.2%	3.1%	5.37	5.44	-0.6
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	25	0	26	110	20	15	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	14.0%	3.9%	3.0%	5.35	5.39	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	CLE	34	0	36	152	27	21	5	0%	1.1	18.0%	13.8%	4.2%	3.1%	5.37	5.44	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	260	47	36	8	0%	1.0	17.9%	13.9%	4.0%	3.1%	5.36	5.04	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	117	26	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.9%	4.0%	3.1%	5.36	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		123	44	327	1439	286	160	52	36%	2.7	19.9%	11.1%	8.7%	3.6%	5.15	4.81	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	27	200	880	175	98	32	36%	2.7	19.9%	11.1%	8.7%	3.6%	5.15	4.81	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ross Carver (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	17.3%	14.3%	2.9%	—	5.41	17.9%	4.0%	133	+0.00	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	83
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	82
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	81
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	77
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	77
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	77
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	76
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	76
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	76
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	75
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	75
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	74
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	74
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	74
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	345	73
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	73
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	17.7%	14.0%	1.16	5.38
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37