Rubel Cespedes

3B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAMIN	398	.244/.315/.394	9	1	55	—	.200/.254/.314
2026	25	ALAA	21	.150/.190/.300	1	0	-12	—	.150/.190/.300
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBLAA	200	.219/.269/.333	4	2	68	-0.1
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBLAA	54	.218/.269/.332	1	0	69	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

Whiff%86

K%85

Z-Con%80

ISO71

wOBA60

wRC+49

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCasey McElroy (age 26) · Irving Lopez (age 26) · Adam Melker (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .267 / .330

PA136

HR3

K%23

BB%6

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	180	166	45	11	4	1	9	32	4	2	1	271	324	404	728	133	328	18	5	323	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	127	20	3	2	3	13	42	2	3	1	157	246	283	530	126	205	29	9	243	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	255	74	15	0	4	17	57	4	1	1	290	344	396	740	106	355	20	6	330	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	420	98	26	2	13	50	101	1	3	1	233	316	398	714	164	273	21	11	317	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	418	118	22	2	12	39	93	3	5	3	282	347	431	778	148	337	20	8	346	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	360	88	21	3	9	35	67	2	1	1	244	315	394	709	150	277	17	9	317	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	154	29	5	218	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	180	169	26	6	2	0	6	39	4	2	1	154	201	213	414	59	202	22	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	150	43	6	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	261	65	13	0	3	11	78	4	1	1	249	290	333	623	84	330	28	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	438	83	19	2	10	32	142	1	3	1	189	246	311	557	121	247	30	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	433	98	15	1	8	25	121	3	5	3	226	273	321	594	95	293	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	370	74	17	2	7	25	87	2	1	1	200	254	314	568	114	241	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	133	38	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	180	169	26	6	2	0	6	39	4	2	1	154	201	213	414	59	198	22	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	180	166	45	11	4	1	9	32	4	2	1	271	324	404	728	133	328	18	5	323	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	157	43	6	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	143	127	20	3	2	3	13	42	2	3	1	157	246	283	530	126	205	29	9	243	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	261	65	13	0	3	11	78	4	1	1	249	290	333	623	84	339	28	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	255	74	15	0	4	17	57	4	1	1	290	344	396	740	106	355	20	6	330	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	438	83	19	2	10	32	142	1	3	1	189	246	311	557	121	251	30	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	420	98	26	2	13	50	101	1	3	1	233	316	398	714	164	273	21	11	317	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	433	98	15	1	8	25	121	3	5	3	226	273	321	594	95	294	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	418	118	22	2	12	39	93	3	5	3	282	347	431	778	148	337	20	8	346	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	370	74	17	2	7	25	87	2	1	1	200	254	314	568	114	242	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	360	88	21	3	9	35	67	2	1	1	244	315	394	709	150	277	17	9	317	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	182	38	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	154	29	5	218	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	180	168	26	6	2	0	6	39	4	2	1	155	201	214	415	60	202	22	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	143	132	13	2	1	2	8	61	2	3	1	98	162	174	336	76	150	43	6	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	279	262	65	13	0	3	11	78	4	1	1	248	290	332	622	84	330	28	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	476	440	83	19	2	10	32	142	1	3	1	189	246	309	555	120	247	30	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	432	98	15	1	8	25	121	3	5	3	227	273	322	595	95	293	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	368	74	17	2	7	25	87	2	1	1	201	254	315	570	114	241	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	133	38	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	463	432	98	15	1	8	25	121	3	5	3	227	273	322	595	95	293	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	398	368	74	17	2	7	25	87	2	1	1	201	254	315	570	114	241	22	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	133	38	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	200	185	41	8	1	4	12	47	1	2	1	219	269	333	602	114	270	24	6	269	68	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	26%	209	193	42	8	1	4	13	49	1	1	1	219	271	334	604	115	271	23	6	270	69	-8	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	26%	54	51	11	2	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	218	269	332	601	114	269	24	6	269	69	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	54	51	11	2	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	216	259	314	573	98	270	24	6	269	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	614	132	24	0	12	36	156	0	0	0	215	258	313	571	98	269	24	6	269	52	-24	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2305	2142	432	85	10	38	129	617	18	17	9	202	253	304	557	102	262	27	6	246	52	-13	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	122	24	3	11	36	174	5	5	3	202	252	306	559	104	262	27	6	246	52	-24	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rubel Cespedes (OGILVIE)	26	50	45	40	40	217/267/330	113	270	3	1	23%	6%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Casey McElroy 2016 · AAA	26	46→48	41→40	39→30	46	222/282/316	94	269	9	3	20%	6%	71	-0.8	228/281/324	96	284	7	5	21%	6%	72	-0.7	237/284/321	84	295	2	0	19%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Irving Lopez 2021 · AAA	26	46→49	43→45	45→40	44	225/287/342	117	278	10	4	22%	6%	78	-0.3	211/273/307	96	272	8	6	24%	6%	65	-1.2	205/275/297	92	261	8	4	23%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Adam Melker 2014 · AA	26	47	41→40	43→50	42	228/276/323	94	293	9	9	25%	6%	69	-0.9	233/279/328	95	287	10	13	22%	5%	72	-0.7	242/284/310	68	289	8	18	19%	4%	65	-0.6
✕Bligh Madris 2022 · AAA	26	47→48	43→50	39→50	46	230/287/341	112	289	10	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3	219/283/355	136	288	14	11	27%	8%	80	-0.2	204/274/349	145	266	16	14	29%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Luke Tendler 2018 · AA	26	41→43	46→50	39→40	42	210/264/340	130	270	13	3	27%	6%	69	-0.9	206/255/319	113	274	12	4	28%	6%	61	-1.5	197/246/300	103	260	12	3	29%	5%	51	-1.6
✕Keury De La Cruz 2017 · AA	25	46→49	43→50	41→50	38	226/259/337	111	294	11	6	27%	4%	66	-1.1	217/257/306	89	287	7	13	26%	5%	58	-1.7	205/227/237	32	272	0	18	24%	3%	26	-0.9
✕Luke Maile 2017 · MLB	26	44→50	41→40	41→40	43	214/262/309	96	261	8	3	22%	5%	61	-1.5	203/259/300	97	264	9	6	25%	6%	58	-1.7	227/310/346	119	311	10	4	28%	9%	88	+0.1
✕Orlando Martinez 2024 · AAA	26	46→48	45→50	46→50	41	226/270/353	127	288	12	9	25%	5%	74	-0.5	226/283/329	103	279	8	10	21%	7%	73	-0.6	224/286/313	89	274	6	12	20%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Anthony Hatch 2010 · AA	26	47→49	45→50	43→40	46	230/281/356	126	273	11	4	20%	6%	79	-0.2	222/270/337	115	268	10	6	20%	6%	70	-0.8	202/243/307	104	237	10	2	19%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Tony Wolters 2018 · MLB	26	47→53	39→40	43→45	48	222/288/308	87	288	6	5	24%	8%	71	-0.8	218/296/301	83	268	5	4	19%	8%	72	-0.7	224/298/292	68	289	4	1	22%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2022 · AA	26	43→47	43→45	40→30	48	210/277/320	111	270	10	4	25%	8%	70	-0.9	217/277/307	90	277	7	4	23%	7%	66	-1.1	218/276/284	66	273	4	0	20%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→46	43→45	45	46	218/286/329	111	292	11	5	28%	8%	75	-0.5	215/290/317	102	295	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	154/267/206	52	209	4	0	26%	13%	39	-0.6
✕Ernie De La Trinidad 2021 · AA	25	45→53	40	39→40	45	219/284/307	88	279	8	5	24%	7%	69	-0.9	223/285/332	109	309	11	8	30%	5%	76	-0.4	221/285/327	106	308	11	5	30%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Andrew Pinckney 2008 · AA	26	46→53	46→50	43→40	41	229/272/367	137	285	13	5	24%	5%	78	-0.3	231/274/349	118	302	10	5	26%	5%	74	-0.5	238/275/351	113	312	9	2	26%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Emerson Frostad 2009 · AA	26	44→47	46→50	43→40	43	222/274/354	132	287	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	215/272/313	98	269	7	4	22%	7%	65	-1.2	208/268/294	86	255	6	2	20%	8%	58	-0.8
✕D.J. Hicks 2016 · AA	26	43→46	43→45	40→30	45	213/275/324	110	288	10	3	29%	8%	70	-0.9	215/275/303	88	303	6	5	29%	7%	64	-1.3	213/273/286	73	303	4	2	29%	7%	57	-1.5
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	43→47	45	47→50	44	216/267/338	122	259	13	10	22%	6%	70	-0.9	215/269/332	117	262	13	10	22%	6%	70	-0.9	206/262/316	110	247	12	9	22%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Aldrem Corredor 2022 · AA	26	45→54	43→45	46→40	41	221/269/328	107	292	10	4	28%	6%	68	-1.0	219/280/328	109	288	12	4	27%	7%	72	-0.7	210/275/307	97	271	13	0	27%	8%	64	-1.0
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	44→43	42→45	44→45	46	214/275/315	101	269	9	7	24%	7%	68	-1.0	224/292/349	125	276	12	7	22%	8%	82	-0.0	224/298/363	139	268	14	6	21%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Cam Gallagher 2019 · MLB	26	48	40→45	43→30	47	231/280/323	92	267	8	3	17%	6%	71	-0.8	236/296/349	113	279	11	5	19%	7%	83	+0.1	215/276/319	104	267	9	0	22%	7%	69	-0.2