Amos Willingham

P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 223 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	56	0	69	3.89	3.32	24.2%	9.1%	1.0	K 20.8% · BB 8.3% · FIP 3.44
2025	26	MIX4 levels	34	3	56	5.17	4.34	25.9%	7.3%	—	K 20.9% · BB 7.6% · FIP 5.13
2026	27	AAAMIA	37	1	53	4.92	4.78	19.6%	14.6%	—	K 16.8% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.85
2027PROJ	28	MLBMIA	66	0	69	5.41	5.31	18.8%	12.4%	-0.6
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBMIA	23	0	24	5.35	5.37	18.7%	12.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBMIA	32	0	34	5.41	5.50	18.4%	12.4%	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023

FB Velo68

Whiff%22

K%10

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Brandon Cunniff (age 28) · Luis Mateo (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.41

FIP5.31

K%18.8%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%6.4%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD3030

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6895.8

Whiff%

p2221.3%

p1012.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.394

FB (65%)

CT (20%)

SL-1.2 (15%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	60	267	56	24	10	0%	2.1	15.7%	10.5%	5.1%	4.8%	4.92	5.73	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	60	267	56	24	10	0%	2.1	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.7%	4.92	4.59	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	29	0	34	145	40	7	1	0%	1.2	21.2%	5.6%	15.7%	0.8%	3.41	2.43	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	29	0	34	145	40	7	1	0%	1.2	27.6%	4.8%	22.8%	0.7%	3.41	1.76	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	60	262	51	20	9	0%	1.3	15.3%	8.0%	7.3%	4.1%	3.90	5.06	-0.4
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	60	262	51	20	9	0%	1.3	19.5%	7.6%	11.8%	3.4%	3.90	4.35	+0.1
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	27	6	0%	1.2	20.8%	8.3%	12.5%	1.9%	3.89	3.44	+0.9
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	27	6	0%	1.2	20.8%	8.3%	12.5%	1.9%	3.89	3.44	+0.9
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	27	6	0%	1.2	24.2%	9.1%	15.1%	2.0%	3.89	3.32	+1.0
2025	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	3	56	247	64	18	11	9%	1.6	20.9%	7.6%	13.4%	5.2%	5.17	5.13	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	3	56	247	64	18	11	9%	1.6	20.9%	7.6%	13.4%	5.2%	5.17	5.13	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	3	56	247	64	18	11	9%	1.6	25.9%	7.3%	18.6%	4.5%	5.17	4.34	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	37	1	53	240	47	35	6	3%	1.4	16.8%	13.1%	3.7%	2.8%	4.92	4.85	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	37	1	53	240	47	35	6	3%	1.4	16.8%	13.1%	3.7%	2.8%	4.92	4.85	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	37	1	53	240	47	35	6	3%	1.4	19.6%	14.6%	5.0%	2.5%	4.92	4.78	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			19	0	25	121	16	7	9	0%	1.3	13.2%	5.8%	7.4%	7.4%	7.11	7.28	-0.8
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIA	66	0	69	291	55	36	10	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	3.4%	5.41	5.31	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIA	63	0	66	280	52	34	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.3%	6.4%	3.5%	5.35	5.37	-0.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	MIA	59	0	62	263	48	33	10	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.4%	6.0%	3.6%	5.41	5.50	-0.7
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIA	23	0	24	101	19	12	4	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.3%	6.4%	3.5%	5.35	5.37	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	MIA	32	0	34	144	26	18	5	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.4%	6.0%	3.6%	5.41	5.50	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		75	0	84	369	62	38	18	0%	1.1	16.8%	10.2%	6.6%	4.8%	5.90	5.64	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		178	0	200	878	148	91	43	0%	1.1	16.8%	10.2%	6.6%	4.8%	5.90	5.64	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		231	4	333	1459	267	132	50	2%	1.4	18.3%	9.1%	9.2%	3.4%	4.41	4.57	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	2	200	877	160	79	30	2%	1.4	18.3%	9.1%	9.2%	3.4%	4.41	4.57	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Amos Willingham (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	18.8%	12.4%	3.4%	—	5.43	18.5%	6.2%	128	+0.12	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	78
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	78
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	78
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	78
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	78
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	77
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	77
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	76
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	76
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	76
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	76
Domingo Tapia R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	27	SU	4.77	15.2%	11.1%	2.8%	.314	3.89	18.1%	6.4%	115	-0.88	3.57	395	76
Jay Flaa R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	27	SU	4.66	19.4%	9.8%	3.6%	.300	4.86	22.8%	4.7%	36	+0.20	3.59	273	75
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	75
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	75
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	56	18.0%	11.8%	1.54	5.58
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Dave Stevens ('00)	1.3	50	14.6%	11.3%	1.76	6.02
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*