Moises Rodriguez
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%20.1%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 123 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Tigers West | 9 | 0 | 12 | 67 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 9.1% | 20.5% | -11.4% | 2.6% | 5.84 | 6.34 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Tigers West | 9 | 0 | 12 | 67 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.4% | 16.4% | -3.0% | 1.5% | 5.84 | 5.37 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 13 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 9.2% | 21.1% | -11.9% | 1.6% | 4.22 | 5.86 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 13 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 16.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 4.22 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 180 | 38 | 18 | 0 | 92% | 3.6 | 14.4% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 1.90 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 180 | 38 | 18 | 0 | 92% | 3.6 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 1.90 | 2.58 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 25 | 120 | 26 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.2% | 18.2% | -4.0% | 4.2% | 8.64 | 6.52 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 25 | 120 | 26 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.7% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 8.64 | 4.62 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 63 | 258 | 63 | 16 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.48 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 63 | 258 | 63 | 16 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.4% | 6.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 1.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 22 | 0 | 33 | 130 | 25 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.16 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 76 | 34 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 123 | 510 | 101 | 48 | 12 | — | — | 19.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 3.74 | 4.32 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 82 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | DET | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 84 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.16 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | DET | 85 | 0 | 90 | 379 | 83 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | DET | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 80 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.29 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 36 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | DET | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 56 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 65 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | DET | 70 | 0 | 73 | 308 | 67 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.29 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 0 | 246 | 1037 | 225 | 90 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.23 | 3.84 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 73 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.23 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 120 | 11 | 198 | 844 | 125 | 111 | 11 | 9% | 1.6 | 14.8% | 13.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.59 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 11 | 200 | 853 | 126 | 112 | 11 | 9% | 1.6 | 14.8% | 13.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.59 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Moises Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 20.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.19 | 21.6% | 13.0% | 272 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 89 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.33 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .293 | 4.70 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 115 | +1.37 | 3.33 | 258 | 88 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 88 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.44 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | .264 | 3.56 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.88 | 3.56 | 155 | 88 |
| Alex Phillips R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 87 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 87 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.94 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .330 | 2.55 | 21.2% | 16.0% | 33 | -1.39 | 1.88 | 136 | 87 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 86 |
| Colton Murray R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 20.5% | 10.4% | 1.4% | .251 | 4.10 | 21.4% | 12.3% | 109 | +0.67 | 3.43 | 187 | 86 |
| Tyler Joyner R 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.67 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 1.9% | .250 | 5.82 | 16.1% | 5.2% | 37 | +2.15 | 3.67 | 114 | 86 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 85 |
| Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 20.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.38 | 15.5% | 5.5% | 20 | +0.10 | 4.28 | 195 | 85 |
| Randall Delgado R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 85 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 85 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.17 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.68 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 95 | +0.51 | 3.17 | 153 | 85 |
| Stephen Villines R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 16.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .280 | 3.05 | 20.6% | 14.7% | 40 | -0.94 | 2.16 | 156 | 85 |
| J.R. Graham R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 85 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 85 |
| Mick VanVossen R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 141 | 85 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.95 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +1.22 | 2.65 | 304 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 90 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.03 | 4.25 |
| Tyler Skaggs ('19) | 4 | 85 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 1.09 | 4.24 |
| Kyle Wright ('23) | 3 | 83 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.12 | 3.97 |
| Jimmy Nelson ('21) | 5 | 117 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 0.97 | 4.08 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Spencer Turnbull ('24) | 5 | 68 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 0.77 | 4.18 |
| Brandon McCarthy ('18) | 4 | 59 | 21.3% | 7.9% | 1.19 | 4.65 |