Carlos Mendoza

2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 27 L/R 5'6" / 165 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AADET	350	.279/.405/.382	5	5	99	—	.268/.362/.348
2025	25	INTLCaribes de An…	179	.294/.390/.425	2	1	132	—
2026	26	AAATOR	410	.240/.381/.350	7	7	80	—	.223/.327/.306
2026	26	INTLCaribes de An…	36	.250/.382/.393	1	0	115	—
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBTOR	25	.232/.326/.323	0	1	88	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBTOR	125	.231/.324/.323	2	2	87	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	29	MLBTOR	171	.230/.321/.321	2	3	85	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%91

Whiff%83

Chase%82

K%77

Z-Con%67

Max EV56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsGreg Garcia (age 27) · Jamie Johnson (age 27) · Bryson Brigman (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .326 / .323

PA25

HR0

K%20

BB%12

BABIP286

ISO45

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	300	240	71	6	7	0	46	28	10	25	14	296	429	379	808	83	333	9	15	370	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	90	73	21	4	1	0	14	13	3	3	0	288	422	370	792	82	350	14	16	369	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Tigers East	—	95	65	27	2	1	1	25	9	4	12	0	415	596	523	1.119	108	464	9	26	500	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	27	23	4	2	0	0	4	7	0	1	1	174	296	261	557	87	250	26	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	213	162	40	4	2	0	37	30	7	4	5	247	408	296	704	49	296	14	17	329	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	189	146	42	8	1	2	41	28	2	8	3	288	450	397	847	110	345	15	22	392	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	25	24	6	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	250	280	292	572	42	286	12	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	244	191	49	7	1	0	40	39	5	8	5	257	398	304	702	47	318	16	16	325	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	29	20	4	0	0	1	8	4	0	0	1	200	429	350	779	150	188	14	28	358	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	515	420	113	17	6	5	70	89	18	32	5	269	396	374	769	105	329	17	14	351	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	27	23	4	0	0	0	2	7	2	1	0	174	296	174	470		250	26	7	240	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	113	99	25	6	1	1	10	16	2	3	1	253	333	364	697	111	293	14	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	57	52	17	4	1	2	2	9	1	7	2	327	364	558	921	231	349	16	4	388	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	350	283	79	12	1	5	51	36	9	5	4	279	405	382	787	102	301	10	15	357	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	179	153	45	10	2	2	21	18	3	1	2	294	390	425	815	131	321	10	12	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	410	329	79	15	0	7	68	69	7	7	7	240	381	350	731	109	280	17	17	337	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	36	28	7	1	0	1	4	3	2	0	0	250	382	393	775	143	231	8	11	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	300	255	48	4	4	0	31	34	10	25	14	188	301	235	536	47	208	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	90	77	20	4	1	0	10	18	3	3	0	260	367	338	704	78	331	20	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	95	75	25	2	1	1	15	13	4	12	0	333	468	427	895	93	364	14	16	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	213	173	39	4	2	0	26	40	7	4	5	225	350	272	621	46	270	19	12	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	189	159	39	7	1	1	28	39	2	8	3	245	365	321	686	75	320	21	15	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	244	203	49	6	1	0	28	49	5	8	5	241	347	281	628	39	301	20	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	29	23	4	0	0	1	5	6	0	0	1	174	321	304	626	130	174	21	17	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	515	446	117	15	7	4	44	108	18	32	5	262	352	354	707	92	327	21	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	27	24	3	0	0	0	1	9	2	1	0	125	222	125	347		220	33	4	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	57	53	17	4	1	2	1	10	1	7	2	321	345	547	893	226	327	18	2	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	350	299	80	10	1	4	35	42	9	5	4	268	362	348	709	80	287	12	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	410	350	78	14	0	5	47	83	7	7	7	223	327	306	632	83	266	20	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	300	255	48	4	4	0	31	34	10	25	14	188	301	235	536	47	216	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	300	240	71	6	7	0	46	28	10	25	14	296	429	379	808	83	333	9	15	370	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	212	176	51	6	2	1	28	36	7	16	1	290	408	364	771	74	357	17	13	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	212	161	52	8	2	1	43	29	7	16	1	323	483	416	900	93	386	14	20	414	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	427	354	83	12	3	1	57	83	9	12	8	234	355	294	649	59	300	19	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	427	332	88	13	3	2	79	61	9	12	8	265	419	340	759	75	316	14	19	353	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	273	226	54	6	1	1	33	55	5	8	6	239	348	288	636	49	306	20	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	273	211	53	7	1	1	48	43	5	8	6	251	402	308	710	57	306	16	18	328	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	655	569	146	19	8	5	55	141	22	36	6	257	345	344	690	88	332	22	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	655	542	142	23	7	6	82	112	22	36	6	262	381	363	744	101	319	17	13	340	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	586	509	138	20	3	8	53	76	13	13	8	271	355	369	724	98	301	13	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	586	488	141	26	4	9	74	63	13	13	8	289	397	414	810	125	312	11	13	362	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	378	85	15	0	6	51	90	9	7	7	225	331	312	643	87	274	20	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	446	357	86	16	0	8	72	72	9	7	7	241	381	353	734	112	276	16	16	337	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	300	256	48	4	4	0	31	34	10	25	14	188	301	234	535	47	208	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	212	175	51	6	2	1	28	36	7	16	1	291	408	366	773	74	348	17	13	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	427	358	83	12	3	1	57	83	9	12	8	232	355	291	645	59	294	19	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	273	233	54	6	1	1	33	55	5	8	6	232	348	279	627	47	288	20	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	655	573	146	19	8	5	55	141	22	36	6	255	345	342	687	87	322	22	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	586	515	138	20	3	8	53	76	13	13	8	268	355	365	720	97	293	13	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	383	85	15	0	6	51	90	9	7	7	222	331	308	639	86	266	20	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	655	573	146	19	8	5	55	141	22	36	6	255	345	342	687	87	322	22	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	586	515	138	20	3	8	53	76	13	13	8	268	355	365	720	97	293	13	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	383	85	15	0	6	51	90	9	7	7	222	331	308	639	86	266	20	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	10%	380	331	78	13	2	5	38	77	8	9	4	231	325	322	647	90	285	20	10	298	88	-6	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	25	22	5	1	0	0	3	5	0	1	0	232	326	323	649	91	286	20	12	298	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	38%	333	291	66	11	1	4	33	68	6	7	3	230	323	321	644	91	284	20	10	296	87	-5	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	352	307	70	12	1	4	35	74	7	6	3	229	320	319	639	91	284	21	10	294	85	-6	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	363	319	72	12	1	5	35	77	6	4	3	227	316	316	632	89	282	21	10	291	83	-7	-0	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	38%	125	110	26	4	1	2	12	26	2	2	1	231	324	323	646	91	286	21	10	297	87	-2	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	171	149	35	6	1	2	17	36	3	3	2	230	321	321	641	91	285	21	10	295	85	-3	-0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	200	175	41	7	1	3	19	43	4	2	2	228	317	317	634	90	283	22	10	292	83	-4	-0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	496	434	102	17	3	7	48	105	9	7	5	235	324	336	660	101	292	21	10	294	88	-9	-1	-2	+2	+11	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	133	22	4	9	63	138	12	9	7	234	323	334	657	100	291	21	10	294	88	-12	-1	-3	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4197	3602	863	125	25	38	436	785	99	140	62	240	338	320	658	80	294	19	10	298	88	-23	-0	-4	+5	+28	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	134	19	4	6	68	122	15	22	10	240	339	321	660	81	294	19	10	298	88	-11	-0	-2	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Sogardlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,484 PA	3.7	2,484	26	46	246	312	337	+10	+22	6.0	6.6
/162	664	7	12	+2.7	+5.9	1.6	pk7: 7
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Rene Gonzales'84-'97 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	19	23	236*	311*	337*	+4	+11	1.9	2.8
/162	664	7	9	+1.6	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Joey Amalfitano'54-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,937 PA	2.9	1,937	9	19	238*	319*	333*	+7	+1	1.9	2.7
/162	664	3	7	+2.4	+0.4	0.7	pk7: 4
#6John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
/162	664	2	11	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	522	7	8	230	317	320	+2	+2	0.6	0.6
/162	664	8	10	+2.4	+2.5	0.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Mendoza (OGILVIE)	27	60	35	45	60	229/322/319	89	285	3	6	20%	10%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Greg Garcia 2017 · MLB	27	53→55	39→40	47→50	52	249/328/335	86	313	6	10	21%	9%	92	+0.7	243/338/337	94	307	7	7	21%	11%	97	+1.1	240/347/331	91	307	6	3	21%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Jamie Johnson 2014 · AAA	27	54→56	36→40	51→50	56	253/331/320	67	302	3	16	16%	10%	89	+0.5	234/305/320	86	270	5	13	14%	9%	79	-0.2	227/294/310	83	254	5	9	12%	8%	70	-0.7
✕Bryson Brigman 2022 · AAA	27	52→59	40	48→50	48	246/306/341	95	302	6	10	20%	7%	84	+0.2	237/287/331	94	300	7	11	22%	6%	75	-0.5	245/299/322	76	300	6	12	19%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Boog Powell 2019 · MLB	26	53→61	41→40	45→50	51	252/318/345	93	310	8	15	21%	9%	90	+0.6	226/300/336	110	316	10	16	29%	10%	82	-0.0	213/293/321	108	308	10	18	31%	10%	73	-0.4
✕Tim Fedroff 2014 · AAA	27	54→64	40→45	49→50	50	254/316/343	89	315	7	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	224/294/305	81	305	6	11	26%	9%	72	-0.7	206/285/264	58	292	2	6	28%	10%	58	-1.2
✕Kevin Taylor 2018 · AA	27	55→60	39→40	45→40	52	261/324/344	83	305	6	3	16%	8%	92	+0.7	239/285/313	74	281	4	5	16%	6%	70	-0.9	236/272/294	58	274	2	3	14%	4%	58	-1.4
✕Josh Johnson 2013 · AAA	27	51→50	40→45	45→50	52	241/308/335	94	287	6	14	18%	8%	84	+0.1	239/306/325	86	284	6	12	17%	9%	81	-0.1	238/308/312	74	282	5	11	16%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Jim Negrych 2012 · AAA	27	57→67	39→40	46→50	50	268/321/358	90	315	6	11	16%	7%	94	+0.9	253/307/351	98	298	8	8	17%	7%	87	+0.4	251/308/345	94	293	8	5	17%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Bengie González 2017 · AAA	27	52→57	39→40	48→50	48	245/294/344	98	294	5	12	18%	6%	80	-0.1	218/267/292	74	271	4	10	20%	6%	59	-1.7	206/255/259	53	257	2	8	19%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Alden Carrithers 2011 · AA	26	56→59	35→30	48→55	56	261/339/321	60	311	3	14	16%	10%	93	+0.8	257/323/324	67	296	2	18	13%	9%	86	+0.3	260/325/325	65	293	2	22	11%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Warren Morris 2001 · MLB	27	53→55	39→40	39→50	58	251/327/342	91	284	5	8	13%	10%	93	+0.8	245/306/352	107	270	9	9	12%	8%	87	+0.4	236/279/336	101	257	10	11	13%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Brian Dinkelman 2011 · AAA	27	50→56	41→45	45→50	46	242/296/348	106	286	7	8	18%	6%	82	+0.0	221/274/311	90	272	6	9	20%	6%	66	-1.1	210/265/292	82	257	6	9	20%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2021 · MLB	26	52→58	40	49→55	48	248/307/345	96	291	7	13	17%	7%	86	+0.3	259/308/346	87	297	7	19	15%	6%	86	+0.3	255/306/343	88	296	8	20	16%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Abraham O. Nunez 2003 · MLB	27	51→58	39→40	46→50	53	240/307/329	89	280	5	10	16%	9%	82	+0.0	245/302/343	98	285	7	9	16%	7%	83	+0.1	255/307/341	86	294	7	6	15%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Brandon Fahey 2007 · MLB	26	55→61	37→40	48→50	50	257/316/331	74	299	4	12	15%	7%	86	+0.3	228/277/306	78	277	4	11	18%	6%	65	-1.2	220/263/291	71	269	2	10	18%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Jace Peterson 2017 · MLB	27	49→57	41→50	45→55	54	235/312/338	103	281	8	11	19%	10%	86	+0.3	229/309/347	118	281	9	16	20%	10%	88	+0.4	239/315/386	147	295	14	19	23%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Jose Guadalupe Chavez 2012 · AAA	27	53→59	41→45	47→55	51	254/320/357	102	303	7	17	18%	8%	94	+0.9	253/306/355	102	308	10	14	20%	7%	88	+0.4	265/341/344	79	310	3	9	14%	10%	96	+0.6
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2022 · AAA	26	54→57	40→45	45→60	46	253/308/351	98	334	6	11	25%	8%	87	+0.4	241/302/346	105	306	8	22	22%	8%	84	+0.2	231/296/329	98	288	8	27	21%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Terrin Vavra 2024 · MLB	27	55→48	41→45	50	50	258/332/364	106	328	8	11	22%	9%	100	+1.3	232/297/324	92	313	7	10	26%	8%	78	-0.3	225/291/302	77	309	5	8	27%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Carlos Asuaje 2019 · MLB	27	50→58	40→45	44→45	51	240/308/341	101	291	6	4	19%	8%	86	+0.3	219/290/324	105	266	8	7	20%	8%	76	-0.4	209/280/301	92	251	6	8	18%	8%	64	-0.5

Carlos Mendoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps