Anthony Veneziano

P Round Rock Express

Age 29 LHP 6'5" / 205 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	43	14	103	4.62	4.30	20.0%	10.0%	0.3	K 17.6% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.33
2025	27	MIX2 levels	48	2	50	4.89	5.07	18.5%	13.4%	-0.3	K 17.4% · BB 12.5% · FIP 5.13
2026	28	AAATEX	10	6	37	3.86	3.85	20.0%	5.6%	—	K 17.2% · BB 5.1% · FIP 4.18
2027PROJ	29	MLBTEX	26	26	154	4.69	4.76	19.0%	8.5%	0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBTEX	9	9	53	4.80	4.91	18.6%	8.7%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBTEX	12	12	75	4.96	5.09	18.1%	9.0%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

K%45

FB Velo43

Whiff%43

xwOBA vs12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDanny Wirchansky (age 27) · Chris Michalak (age 30) · John Anderson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.69

FIP4.76

K%19.0%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP154

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 154 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p4324.3%

p4521.4%

xwOBA vs

p120.357

FB+0.8 (42%)

SI (11%)

CH-1.5 (7%)

SL-3.8 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	94	393	127	37	11	100%	4.3	24.9%	10.8%	14.1%	3.5%	3.75	4.27	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	94	393	127	37	11	100%	4.3	32.3%	9.4%	22.9%	2.8%	3.75	3.10	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	26	25	123	566	129	66	24	96%	4.7	18.5%	12.8%	5.6%	5.6%	5.72	6.25	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	26	25	123	566	129	66	24	96%	4.7	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	4.2%	5.72	5.15	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	19.4%	8.0%	11.3%	3.2%	3.48	4.21	+1.1
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	2.5%	3.48	3.67	+2.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	17.6%	9.0%	8.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.33	+0.3
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	17.6%	9.0%	8.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.33	+0.3
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.30	+0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	17.4%	12.5%	4.9%	3.5%	4.89	5.13	-0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	17.4%	12.5%	4.9%	3.5%	4.89	5.13	-0.3
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.0%	4.89	5.07	-0.3
2026	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	10	6	37	160	32	9	5	60%	3.7	17.2%	5.1%	12.1%	3.4%	3.86	4.18	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	10	6	37	160	32	9	5	60%	3.7	17.2%	5.1%	12.1%	3.4%	3.86	4.18	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	10	6	37	160	32	9	5	60%	3.7	20.0%	5.6%	14.4%	3.1%	3.86	3.85	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	1	41	187	40	16	5	2%	1.0	21.4%	8.6%	12.8%	2.7%	3.98	3.91	+0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TEX	26	26	154	650	123	55	21	100%	5.9	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.3%	4.69	4.76	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	24	24	145	612	114	53	21	100%	6.0	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.5%	4.80	4.91	-0.0
2029	31	MLB MLE	TEX	23	23	135	571	103	51	21	100%	5.9	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	3.7%	4.96	5.09	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	9	9	53	224	42	19	8	100%	5.9	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.5%	4.80	4.91	-0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	TEX	12	12	75	317	57	28	12	100%	6.2	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	3.7%	4.96	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	22	169	727	139	64	24	36%	2.8	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	3.3%	4.67	4.43	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		73	26	200	863	165	76	28	36%	2.7	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	3.3%	4.67	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		177	94	541	2366	459	238	90	53%	3.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.8%	4.41	4.82	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	35	200	875	170	88	33	53%	3.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.8%	4.41	4.82	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Veneziano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	19.0%	8.5%	3.3%	—	5.00	18.4%	9.5%	280	+0.24	—	—	—
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	75
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	71
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	69
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	66
Scott Downs L 2005 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP-	4.22	18.4%	8.4%	2.9%	.283	3.29	20.5%	12.9%	206	-0.93	2.68	748	63
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	63
Mike Montgomery L 2018 · 3.64 FIP	29	SP-	3.64	16.1%	6.6%	1.9%	.300	5.22	17.4%	8.6%	108	+1.58	3.43	764	62
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	61
Yohan Flande L 2015 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP-	4.68	12.9%	5.5%	3.6%	.289	3.27	15.1%	8.4%	172	-1.41	3.18	394	60
Tommy Shirley L 2016 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	13.0%	8.8%	3.3%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	147	60
Aaron Rozek L 2024 · 3.68 FIP	28	SP-	3.68	16.2%	5.8%	2.2%	.304	4.68	16.9%	9.0%	234	+1.00	3.68	579	59
Kyle Hart L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	29	SW	5.24	17.4%	9.9%	4.3%	.286	4.29	18.4%	9.5%	196	-0.95	3.60	886	59
Darrell May L 2002 · 5.40 FIP	30	SP-	5.40	16.4%	8.1%	4.8%	.284	5.02	13.5%	7.2%	462	-0.38	4.24	657	59
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	58
Chris O'Grady L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP-	4.33	21.4%	9.0%	3.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	232	58
Jordan Carr L 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SW	4.42	13.1%	8.8%	2.4%	.295	6.61	11.8%	-1.7%	47	+2.19	3.49	269	58
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	58
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2024 · 5.19 FIP	27	SP-	5.19	12.4%	7.9%	3.9%	.290	3.85	16.3%	7.3%	118	-1.34	2.95	313	57
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	57
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	56

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	119	18.8%	8.7%	1.31	4.74
Chris Narveson ('16)	2.2	109	19.4%	8.6%	1.20	4.71
Jackie Brown ('70-'77, 1 WAR*)	4.5	128	19.7%*	8.9%*	1.21*	4.93*
Rubby De La Rosa ('17)	2.1	105	19.6%	8.6%	1.32	4.49
Carl Willey ('58-'65, 4 WAR*)	4.4	109	18.0%*	9.0%*	1.35*	4.51*
Bob Sadowski ('63-'66, 2 WAR*)	2.2	110	17.7%*	8.0%*	1.20*	4.73*
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61