Yorlin Calderon

P Midland RockHounds

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 155 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	MIX2 levels	39	5	81	3.10	2.45	27.7%	7.3%	—	K 21.2% · BB 8.6% · FIP 3.43
2024	22	MIX3 levels	35	1	59	2.15	3.29	22.9%	9.9%	—	K 18.8% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.81
2025	23	AAOAK	45	1	62	5.37	5.23	17.6%	10.4%	—	K 14.3% · BB 11.5% · FIP 5.85
2027PROJ	25	MLBOAK	67	0	70	5.67	5.67	14.0%	12.9%	-0.9
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBOAK	30	0	31	5.50	5.47	15.7%	12.5%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBOAK	42	0	44	5.42	5.42	16.3%	12.3%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control40Command35

CompsStephen Johnson (age 25) · Juan Paniagua (age 25) · Clate Schmidt (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.67

FIP5.67

K%14.0%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	8	2	16	75	17	5	2	25%	2.0	15.4%	8.3%	7.1%	3.7%	6.61	4.90	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	8	2	16	75	17	5	2	25%	2.0	22.7%	6.7%	16.0%	2.7%	6.61	3.53	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	3	30	149	35	8	8	30%	3.0	18.3%	5.8%	12.5%	6.5%	9.49	5.87	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	3	30	149	35	8	8	30%	3.0	23.5%	5.4%	18.1%	5.4%	9.49	5.01	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	6	58	247	75	16	8	43%	4.1	21.2%	7.9%	13.3%	4.2%	3.88	4.63	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	6	58	247	75	16	8	43%	4.1	30.4%	6.5%	23.9%	3.2%	3.88	3.13	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	5	81	354	98	26	5	13%	2.1	21.2%	8.6%	12.7%	1.9%	3.10	3.43	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	5	81	354	98	26	5	13%	2.1	27.7%	7.3%	20.3%	1.4%	3.10	2.45	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	1	59	253	58	25	4	3%	1.7	18.8%	11.1%	7.7%	1.6%	2.15	3.81	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	1	59	253	58	25	4	3%	1.7	18.8%	11.1%	7.7%	1.6%	2.15	3.81	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	1	59	253	58	25	4	3%	1.7	22.9%	9.9%	13.0%	1.6%	2.15	3.29	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	45	1	62	278	49	29	11	2%	1.4	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	4.6%	5.37	5.85	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	45	1	62	278	49	29	11	2%	1.4	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	4.6%	5.37	5.85	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	45	1	62	278	49	29	11	2%	1.4	17.6%	10.4%	7.2%	4.0%	5.37	5.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	OAK	67	0	70	296	41	38	9	0%	1.0	14.0%	12.9%	1.1%	3.2%	5.67	5.67	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	67	0	70	296	46	37	9	0%	1.0	15.7%	12.5%	3.2%	3.2%	5.50	5.47	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	66	0	69	291	47	36	9	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.3%	3.9%	3.2%	5.42	5.42	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	64	0	67	282	47	35	9	0%	1.0	16.5%	12.3%	4.2%	3.3%	5.42	5.45	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	61	0	64	270	44	34	9	0%	1.0	16.4%	12.5%	4.0%	3.4%	5.49	5.55	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	30	0	31	131	21	16	4	0%	1.0	15.7%	12.5%	3.2%	3.2%	5.50	5.47	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	42	0	44	186	30	23	6	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.3%	3.9%	3.2%	5.42	5.42	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	49	0	51	215	36	27	7	0%	1.0	16.5%	12.3%	4.2%	3.3%	5.42	5.45	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	52	220	36	27	8	0%	1.0	16.4%	12.5%	4.0%	3.4%	5.49	5.55	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	122	93	25	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	3.3%	5.45	5.10	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	138	105	28	0%	1.1	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	3.3%	5.45	5.10	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		151	18	307	1356	253	125	46	12%	2.0	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	3.4%	4.34	4.56	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	12	200	884	165	81	30	12%	2.0	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	3.4%	4.34	4.56	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yorlin Calderon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.67	14.0%	12.9%	3.2%	—	5.45	16.2%	3.8%	206	-0.22	—	—	—
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	88
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	87
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	86
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	85
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	84
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	84
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	83
Ian Villers R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.311	4.23	15.6%	5.2%	59	-0.32	4.23	107	83
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	83
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	83
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	83
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	83
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	83
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	82
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	82
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	82
Justin Camp R 2018 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	140	82
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	15.8%	12.5%	1.26	5.50
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*