Listher Sosa

P Hillsboro Hops

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 208 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	20	MIX2 levels	38	0	73	3.56	3.39	22.6%	9.1%	—	K 16.2% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.50
2023	21	MIX2 levels	39	1	74	5.13	4.32	20.4%	8.2%	—	K 15.7% · BB 8.7% · FIP 4.77
2024	22	MIX3 levels	41	1	61	3.39	3.12	25.1%	8.1%	—	K 19.1% · BB 8.8% · FIP 3.51
2027PROJ	25	MLBARI	38	0	40	4.39	4.39	21.9%	9.0%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBARI	16	0	17	4.37	4.36	22.3%	9.0%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsBarrett Loseke (age 25) · Chris Jefferson (age 25) · Austin Ross (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 100

ERA4.39

FIP4.39

K%21.9%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%12.9%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	11	11	53	210	51	15	3	100%	4.8	16.5%	8.9%	7.6%	2.0%	2.72	3.93	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 1	11	11	53	210	51	15	3	100%	4.8	24.3%	7.1%	17.1%	1.4%	2.72	2.76	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	11	2	31	132	33	5	3	18%	2.8	17.0%	4.7%	12.3%	3.3%	4.31	4.05	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Black	11	2	31	132	33	5	3	18%	2.8	25.0%	3.8%	21.2%	2.3%	4.31	2.72	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	73	319	72	29	6	0%	1.9	16.2%	11.2%	5.1%	2.5%	3.56	4.50	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	73	319	72	29	6	0%	1.9	22.6%	9.1%	13.5%	1.9%	3.56	3.39	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	1	74	328	67	27	11	3%	1.9	15.7%	8.7%	7.0%	3.4%	5.13	4.77	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	1	74	328	67	27	11	3%	1.9	20.4%	8.2%	12.2%	3.4%	5.13	4.32	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	1	61	247	62	20	5	2%	1.5	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	1.7%	3.39	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	1	61	247	62	20	5	2%	1.5	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	1.7%	3.39	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	1	61	247	62	20	5	2%	1.5	25.1%	8.1%	17.0%	2.0%	3.39	3.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	38	0	40	169	37	15	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.0%	12.9%	3.0%	4.39	4.39	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	38	0	40	168	38	15	5	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.0%	4.37	4.36	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	16	0	17	72	16	6	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.0%	4.37	4.36	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	72	16	7	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.0%	4.37	3.98	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	82	23	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.0%	4.37	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		140	15	292	1236	208	111	32	11%	2.1	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	2.6%	3.85	4.23	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	10	200	846	142	76	22	11%	2.1	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	2.6%	3.85	4.23	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Listher Sosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.39	21.9%	9.0%	3.0%	—	4.36	22.3%	13.3%	40	-0.03	—	—	—
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	88
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	86
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	86
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	84
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	84
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	84
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	84
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	84
Adam Warren R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	19.3%	8.5%	2.8%	.306	3.43	20.5%	13.1%	275	-0.66	2.65	548	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	84
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	84
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	83
Garrett McMillan R 2024 · 3.30 FIP	23	SU	3.30	21.2%	8.2%	1.7%	.324	3.53	18.9%	14.6%	48	+0.23	3.30	118	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	83
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	83
Alex Phillips R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	24	SU	3.26	22.0%	8.0%	1.8%	.263	4.62	23.2%	14.6%	72	+1.36	3.26	139	83
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	83
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	22.1%	9.0%	1.14	4.38
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*