William Lugo

SS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	A+NYM	346	.186/.335/.339	8	5	34	—	.133/.239/.233
2025	23	AANYM	427	.205/.286/.292	6	5	42	—	.192/.255/.267
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBNYM	5	.178/.250/.261	0	0	49	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBNYM	87	.182/.255/.272	1	1	54	-0.2
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBNYM	140	.184/.257/.276	2	1	55	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

Chase%67

BB%43

K%38

ISO32

Whiff%29

wRC+28

CompsAnthony Mulrine (age 25) · Chris Givin (age 25) · Olivier Basabe (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .250 / .261

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO86

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Mets	—	176	146	23	6	0	1	21	46	5	1	4	158	285	219	504	62	216	26	12	242	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	183	156	34	6	0	6	23	52	3	5	1	218	330	372	701	154	283	28	13	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	121	105	28	7	0	4	13	27	1	0	0	267	353	448	801	181	316	22	11	351	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	357	314	82	18	2	10	37	90	5	0	0	261	348	427	775	166	335	25	10	346	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	384	91	18	3	11	40	92	7	7	4	237	320	385	706	148	279	21	9	314	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	280	52	15	2	8	57	95	6	5	1	186	335	339	675	154	244	27	16	311	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	380	78	15	0	6	39	113	4	5	1	205	286	292	578	87	272	26	9	266	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	176	153	17	4	0	1	14	66	5	1	4	111	209	157	366	46	168	38	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	183	164	24	4	0	4	15	75	3	5	1	146	231	244	475	98	221	41	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	121	110	25	6	0	4	8	36	1	0	0	227	286	391	677	164	274	30	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	357	327	64	13	2	8	24	128	5	0	0	196	261	321	582	125	289	36	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	399	75	13	2	9	25	118	7	7	4	188	248	298	547	110	232	27	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	301	40	11	2	5	36	126	6	5	1	133	239	233	472	100	199	36	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	390	75	14	0	5	29	136	4	5	1	192	255	267	522	74	267	32	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	176	153	17	4	0	1	14	66	5	1	4	111	209	157	366	46	180	38	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	—	176	146	23	6	0	1	21	46	5	1	4	158	285	219	504	62	216	26	12	242	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	183	164	24	4	0	4	15	75	3	5	1	146	231	244	475	98	233	41	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	183	156	34	6	0	6	23	52	3	5	1	218	330	372	701	154	283	28	13	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	478	437	89	19	2	12	32	163	6	0	0	204	267	339	606	135	291	34	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	478	419	110	25	2	14	50	117	6	0	0	263	349	432	781	169	330	24	10	348	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	399	75	13	2	9	25	118	7	7	4	188	248	298	547	110	237	27	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	384	91	18	3	11	40	92	7	7	4	237	320	385	706	148	279	21	9	314	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	301	40	11	2	5	36	126	6	5	1	133	239	233	472	100	202	36	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	280	52	15	2	8	57	95	6	5	1	186	335	339	675	154	244	27	16	311	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	390	75	14	0	5	29	136	4	5	1	192	255	267	522	74	277	32	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	380	78	15	0	6	39	113	4	5	1	205	286	292	578	87	272	26	9	266	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	176	155	17	4	0	1	14	66	5	1	4	110	209	155	364	45	168	38	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	183	163	24	4	0	4	15	75	3	5	1	147	231	245	476	98	221	41	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	478	437	89	19	2	12	32	163	6	0	0	204	267	339	606	135	285	34	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	437	402	75	13	2	9	25	118	7	7	4	187	248	296	544	109	232	27	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	301	40	11	2	5	36	126	6	5	1	133	239	233	472	100	199	36	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	391	75	14	0	5	29	136	4	5	1	192	255	266	521	74	267	32	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	346	301	40	11	2	5	36	126	6	5	1	133	239	233	472	100	199	36	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	427	391	75	14	0	5	29	136	4	5	1	192	255	266	521	74	267	32	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYM	2%	380	344	63	13	1	5	29	116	4	4	1	184	256	269	524	85	258	31	8	241	49	-23	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYM	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	178	250	261	511	82	250	40	0	236	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	31%	282	255	48	10	1	4	22	85	3	3	1	188	260	280	540	93	260	30	8	248	54	-16	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYM	42%	333	301	58	12	1	5	26	99	3	3	1	190	262	284	546	95	261	30	8	250	55	-18	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	31%	87	79	14	3	0	1	7	26	1	1	0	182	255	272	527	90	252	30	8	242	54	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYM	42%	140	127	23	5	0	2	11	42	1	1	0	184	257	276	533	92	253	30	8	245	55	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	227	206	37	8	0	3	18	68	2	2	0	180	252	262	514	83	250	30	8	244	46	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	106	23	0	9	52	195	6	6	0	180	253	264	518	85	249	30	8	244	46	-35	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2920	2633	469	96	9	48	219	947	40	32	14	178	252	276	528	98	253	32	8	236	46	-49	+1	+0	+9	+19	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	104	21	2	11	49	211	9	7	3	177	252	276	528	99	252	32	8	236	46	-36	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	233	3	2	190	259	284	+2	+3	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	10	6	+7.1	+8.6	-0.9	pk7: 0
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
William Lugo (OGILVIE)	25	35	35	45	40	182/253/266	84	258	3	3	30%	8%	49	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	196/253/290	94	252	9	7	26%	6%	54	-2.0	209/269/304	95	283	10	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/273	76	269	9	10	29%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	39	39→40	47→40	44	188/270/273	85	279	6	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	199/274/274	75	301	5	6	33%	8%	59	-1.7	179/263/233	55	281	4	1	35%	9%	43	-0.6
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	39	40	40	41	191/267/285	94	278	7	4	32%	7%	59	-1.7	196/266/289	93	304	8	7	35%	7%	59	-1.7	129/206/190	61	210	4	0	38%	8%	11	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	42→40	45	36	193/248/293	101	285	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	215/265/301	86	311	6	8	31%	5%	60	-1.6	217/266/289	72	312	5	8	30%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→40	45→40	37	186/239/266	80	266	5	4	31%	5%	42	-2.9	206/259/284	78	285	7	4	29%	6%	54	-2.0	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jesse Hodges 2019 · AA	25	40→44	41→40	42→40	37	199/246/296	97	288	8	4	33%	5%	52	-2.2	198/250/295	97	288	8	6	32%	5%	53	-2.1	155/210/235	80	222	6	0	32%	3%	24	-0.9
✕Josh Adams 2014 · A	25	40→41	41→40	44→45	41	198/247/290	92	260	9	4	27%	6%	51	-2.2	192/242/284	92	266	8	6	29%	6%	47	-2.5	116/157/182	65	162	4	0	31%	5%	-11	-1.3
✕Matt Jones 2017 · AA	25	41	38→45	44→30	43	195/247/278	83	259	4	5	26%	6%	48	-2.5	198/259/301	103	270	11	3	30%	7%	59	-1.7	185/250/285	100	246	14	0	30%	7%	50	-1.0
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	36→37	40→45	40	42	179/238/262	82	236	8	3	27%	6%	42	-2.9	200/266/314	114	276	12	3	30%	7%	64	-1.3	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Stuart Turner 2017 · AA	25	43	39→40	46→45	45	206/268/293	87	265	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.6	190/244/265	75	265	6	6	29%	6%	45	-2.7	151/197/193	42	219	4	1	32%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5

William Lugo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps