Nelson Beltran

SS ACL Athletics

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AOAK	342	.206/.330/.276	3	11	31	—	.160/.257/.210
2025	23	ROKOAK	143	.217/.415/.274	1	4	37	—	.145/.296/.188
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBOAK	200	.209/.286/.314	3	3	71	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBOAK	39	.218/.295/.336	1	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBOAK	91	.219/.295/.338	2	1	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%84

Chase%64

wOBA55

wRC+55

ISO24

K%22

CompsSam Praytor (age 25) · JJ Schwarz (age 25) · Sean Jamieson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .284 / .311

PA76

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	147	126	21	1	0	0	13	38	6	10	1	167	276	175	450	8	236	26	9	224	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	136	114	30	6	2	0	14	41	7	13	1	263	378	351	729	88	405	30	10	336	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	144	119	32	7	2	3	16	43	9	7	2	269	396	437	833	168	397	30	11	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	130	112	13	6	0	0	16	55	2	0	2	116	238	170	408	54	228	42	12	205	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	84	67	20	2	1	1	13	15	3	6	1	299	434	403	837	104	365	18	15	381	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	342	286	59	7	2	3	42	107	11	11	3	206	330	276	607	70	315	31	12	288	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	143	106	23	3	0	1	27	40	9	4	2	217	415	274	689	57	333	28	19	340	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	147	130	14	1	0	0	9	46	6	10	1	108	200	115	315	8	153	31	6	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	118	18	3	1	0	10	50	7	13	1	153	259	195	454	42	258	37	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	144	125	23	5	1	2	10	62	9	7	2	184	292	288	580	104	321	43	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	130	117	9	4	0	0	11	75	2	0	2	77	169	111	280	34	211	58	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	84	72	16	1	1	1	8	21	3	6	1	222	325	306	631	83	284	25	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	300	48	5	2	2	28	143	11	11	3	160	257	210	467	50	282	42	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	117	17	2	0	1	16	59	9	4	2	145	296	188	484	43	249	41	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	147	130	14	1	0	0	9	46	6	10	1	108	200	115	315	8	165	31	6	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	147	126	21	1	0	0	13	38	6	10	1	167	276	175	450	8	236	26	9	224	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	118	18	3	1	0	10	50	7	13	1	153	259	195	454	42	261	37	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	136	114	30	6	2	0	14	41	7	13	1	263	378	351	729	88	405	30	10	336	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	144	125	23	5	1	2	10	62	9	7	2	184	292	288	580	104	344	43	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	144	119	32	7	2	3	16	43	9	7	2	269	396	437	833	168	397	30	11	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	214	189	25	5	1	1	19	96	5	6	3	132	230	185	415	53	258	45	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	214	179	33	8	1	1	29	70	5	6	3	184	315	257	572	73	294	33	14	274	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	300	48	5	2	2	28	143	11	11	3	160	257	210	467	50	293	42	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	342	286	59	7	2	3	42	107	11	11	3	206	330	276	607	70	315	31	12	288	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	117	17	2	0	1	16	59	9	4	2	145	296	188	484	43	276	41	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	143	106	23	3	0	1	27	40	9	4	2	217	415	274	689	57	333	28	19	340	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	147	131	14	1	0	0	9	46	6	10	1	107	200	115	315	8	153	31	6	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	118	18	3	1	0	10	50	7	13	1	153	259	195	454	42	258	37	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	144	124	23	5	1	2	10	62	9	7	2	185	292	290	582	105	321	43	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	214	188	25	5	1	1	19	96	5	6	3	133	230	186	416	53	240	45	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	300	48	5	2	2	28	143	11	11	3	160	257	210	467	50	282	42	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	117	17	2	0	1	16	59	9	4	2	145	296	188	484	43	249	41	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	300	48	5	2	2	28	143	11	11	3	160	257	210	467	50	282	42	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	117	17	2	0	1	16	59	9	4	2	145	296	188	484	43	249	41	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	200	179	37	7	1	3	16	57	3	3	1	209	286	314	600	105	283	28	8	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	129	115	25	5	1	2	11	36	2	2	0	212	289	326	615	114	284	28	9	279	75	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	42%	220	197	42	8	1	4	18	62	3	3	1	213	290	328	618	115	284	28	8	280	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	283	254	53	10	1	5	23	79	4	3	1	213	290	327	617	115	284	28	8	280	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	49%	319	285	61	11	2	6	26	89	5	4	1	212	288	325	614	113	283	28	8	279	75	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	OAK	50%	342	306	65	12	2	6	28	96	5	4	2	211	287	322	609	111	282	28	8	276	73	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	39	35	8	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	218	295	336	631	118	293	28	8	285	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	42%	91	83	19	4	1	2	7	26	1	1	0	219	295	338	633	119	294	29	8	286	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	135	121	27	5	1	3	11	38	2	2	1	219	295	337	632	118	293	28	8	286	76	-4	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	49%	157	141	31	6	1	3	13	44	2	2	1	218	294	335	629	117	292	28	8	285	75	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	OAK	50%	172	154	34	7	1	3	14	48	2	2	1	217	292	332	624	115	291	28	8	283	73	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	594	534	119	24	4	12	48	167	8	8	3	223	297	350	647	127	299	28	8	285	53	-18	+0	-2	+6	+13	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	129	26	4	13	53	183	9	9	3	221	296	346	642	125	297	28	8	285	53	-20	+0	-2	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2495	2205	405	70	12	30	204	840	67	68	17	184	273	267	540	83	278	34	8	246	53	-42	+1	-4	+15	+30	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	105	18	3	8	53	219	17	18	4	183	271	267	538	84	277	34	8	246	53	-20	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Tim Bogar'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,710 PA	2.6	1,710	24	13	217*	284*	324*	+11	+37	2.1	2.9
/162	664	9	5	+4.2	+14.4	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.0	670	12	8	213	286	325	+7	+9	0.4	0.4
/162	664	12	8	+7.1	+8.9	0.4	pk7: 0
#6David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Beltran (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	207/284/311	104	283	1	1	29%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→44	43→45	50	44	210/276/328	118	277	10	12	27%	7%	71	-0.8	229/287/331	102	310	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	232/290/322	90	317	6	7	27%	6%	71	-0.4
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→47	42→45	52→45	43	191/259/289	98	263	10	12	30%	7%	56	-1.9	208/278/306	98	280	7	8	26%	8%	67	-1.1	205/279/304	99	274	6	6	25%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	43→50	49→40	42	196/257/301	105	263	10	6	29%	6%	58	-1.7	188/241/296	108	254	12	4	30%	5%	51	-2.3	176/228/279	103	235	12	2	30%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Ryan McCarty 2024 · A	25	41→38	43→45	47→50	43	198/274/311	113	289	9	8	33%	8%	67	-1.1	196/265/293	97	275	9	11	30%	7%	59	-1.6	187/259/272	85	258	9	12	29%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Jeferson Morales 2024 · A	25	40→47	45	51→50	45	202/283/328	127	268	13	10	28%	8%	75	-0.5	225/294/348	123	279	11	8	22%	7%	82	+0.0	227/297/352	126	275	11	7	21%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	213/301/309	96	285	6	10	25%	9%	77	-0.3	204/305/297	93	275	5	10	24%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Harrison Spohn 2024 · A	25	39	45	45	45	202/266/321	119	264	14	8	29%	8%	66	-1.1	175/236/260	85	299	8	8	41%	7%	40	-3.0	141/204/204	63	260	5	7	45%	7%	13	-2.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Seth Bynum 2006 · A	25	44→43	43→50	50	44	214/273/330	116	281	9	9	27%	7%	70	-0.8	210/263/308	98	288	9	8	28%	6%	61	-1.5	213/254/351	138	280	17	5	30%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→39	43→45	49→45	43	205/275/315	110	292	11	10	32%	8%	68	-1.0	216/270/360	144	301	17	7	33%	6%	76	-0.4	210/258/376	166	280	22	3	33%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→44	45→50	47→50	44	213/281/336	123	294	13	11	31%	8%	75	-0.5	208/270/323	115	312	12	9	35%	7%	68	-1.0	194/252/293	99	303	10	7	37%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Jason Leblebijian 2016 · A	25	39→49	41→45	47→45	41	195/251/295	100	263	8	9	28%	6%	54	-2.0	213/268/324	111	314	11	8	34%	6%	67	-1.1	212/269/321	110	316	12	7	35%	6%	64	-0.9

Nelson Beltran

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps