Nerwilian Cedeño

3B San Antonio Missions

Age 25 S/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	A+SD	406	.216/.303/.347	7	9	40	—	.176/.241/.276
2025	23	AASD	140	.200/.275/.312	2	4	42	—	.186/.239/.287
2025	23	A+SD	131	.273/.318/.347	1	5	49	—	.228/.264/.285
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBSD	4	.200/.254/.293	0	0	56	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBSD	81	.203/.258/.302	1	2	60	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

ISO48

Speed46

Whiff%45

BB%37

K%35

wRC+25

CompsLuis Mendez (age 25) · Jeff Dominguez (age 25) · Tyler Friis (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .254 / .293

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP262

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	210	166	32	6	1	0	40	43	2	4	1	193	356	241	597	48	256	20	19	292	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	66	54	13	8	1	2	9	20	1	2	0	241	354	537	891	296	333	30	14	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	318	270	69	13	4	6	42	79	4	18	8	256	364	400	764	144	337	25	13	344	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	44	38	9	2	1	1	5	15	0	0	1	237	326	421	747	184	348	34	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	272	241	53	12	3	7	25	75	3	6	6	220	300	382	682	162	286	28	9	303	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	17	11	3	0	0	0	6	6	0	2	0	273	529	273	802		600	35	35	406	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	357	77	14	6	7	39	107	6	9	6	216	303	347	651	132	287	26	10	293	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	140	125	25	8	0	2	12	38	1	4	1	200	275	312	587	112	267	27	9	265	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	131	121	33	6	0	1	7	22	1	5	2	273	318	347	665	74	320	17	5	297	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	210	178	22	4	1	0	28	52	2	4	1	124	250	157	407	34	165	25	13	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	58	8	5	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	138	231	310	541	172	244	44	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	318	282	56	9	3	5	30	111	4	18	8	199	285	305	590	106	298	35	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	272	249	44	8	2	6	18	94	3	6	6	177	241	297	538	120	251	35	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	9	0	2	0	154	353	154	507		482	53	24	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	370	65	11	4	6	26	138	6	9	6	176	241	276	517	100	254	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	140	129	24	7	0	2	8	44	1	4	1	186	239	287	526	101	258	31	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	131	123	28	4	0	1	5	28	1	5	2	228	264	285	548	57	274	21	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	210	178	22	4	1	0	28	52	2	4	1	124	250	157	407	34	172	25	13	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	210	166	32	6	1	0	40	43	2	4	1	193	356	241	597	48	256	20	19	292	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	58	8	5	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	138	231	310	541	172	241	44	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	66	54	13	8	1	2	9	20	1	2	0	241	354	537	891	296	333	30	14	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	321	63	10	4	5	34	126	4	18	9	196	281	299	580	103	301	35	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	362	308	78	15	5	7	47	94	4	18	9	253	359	403	762	149	338	26	13	342	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	289	263	46	8	2	6	21	103	3	8	6	175	244	289	533	114	256	36	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	289	252	56	12	3	7	31	81	3	8	6	222	314	377	691	155	295	28	11	309	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	370	65	11	4	6	26	138	6	9	6	176	241	276	517	100	260	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	357	77	14	6	7	39	107	6	9	6	216	303	347	651	132	287	26	10	293	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	271	252	53	12	0	3	13	72	2	9	3	210	255	294	548	83	278	27	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	271	246	58	14	0	3	19	60	2	9	3	236	296	329	625	93	296	22	7	281	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	210	178	22	4	1	0	28	52	2	4	1	124	250	157	407	34	165	25	13	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	59	8	5	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	136	231	305	536	169	244	44	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	321	63	10	4	5	34	126	4	18	9	196	281	299	580	103	298	35	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	289	263	46	8	2	6	21	103	3	8	6	175	244	289	533	114	265	36	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	371	65	11	4	6	26	138	6	9	6	175	241	275	516	100	254	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	271	254	53	12	0	3	13	72	2	9	3	209	255	291	546	83	266	27	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	371	65	11	4	6	26	138	6	9	6	175	241	275	516	100	254	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	271	254	53	12	0	3	13	72	2	9	3	209	255	291	546	83	266	27	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	2%	321	297	60	13	1	4	18	85	3	6	2	203	257	298	555	95	268	26	6	251	56	-17	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	254	293	546	93	262	25	0	247	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	31%	260	241	49	10	1	4	15	68	2	5	2	206	261	308	569	101	269	26	6	257	60	-12	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	31%	81	75	15	3	0	1	5	21	1	2	0	203	258	302	560	100	263	26	6	253	60	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	81	75	15	3	0	1	5	21	1	2	0	200	259	280	539	80	264	26	6	253	49	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	120	24	0	8	40	169	8	16	0	199	258	279	538	80	264	26	6	253	49	-31	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2082	1884	348	69	14	28	156	646	22	59	28	185	255	281	536	96	261	31	7	241	49	-24	+1	+0	+2	+10	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	109	22	4	9	49	202	7	18	9	185	256	282	539	97	262	31	8	241	49	-32	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nerwilian Cedeño (OGILVIE)	25	41	34	52	38	202/255/296	94	268	3	4	27%	6%	56	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Mendez 2018 · AA	25	43	37→30	47→50	45	206/268/278	72	276	5	12	26%	7%	56	-1.9	213/271/312	99	288	9	10	28%	7%	65	-1.2	202/258/285	83	268	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Jeff Dominguez 2011 · AAA	25	43→51	39→40	47→50	41	209/260/296	86	278	7	11	26%	6%	57	-1.8	224/264/323	99	288	8	14	24%	5%	65	-1.2	225/262/322	97	284	8	15	23%	4%	60	-1.2
✕Tyler Friis 2021 · AA	25	44	39→40	47→50	51	211/279/299	88	257	6	12	20%	8%	65	-1.2	224/280/312	88	292	5	17	24%	7%	68	-1.0	239/286/302	63	308	0	30	21%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2012 · AA	25	42	36→40	48→55	38	199/243/270	71	280	3	13	29%	5%	44	-2.8	205/252/278	73	273	5	11	26%	5%	50	-2.3	200/244/251	51	260	4	10	23%	4%	37	-1.7
✕Fidel Pena 2016 · A	25	45→43	41→45	50	38	218/249/320	102	278	7	12	24%	4%	58	-1.7	214/253/298	84	294	6	8	28%	5%	55	-2.0	203/238/262	59	280	5	4	28%	4%	37	-1.8
✕Reece Hampton 2021 · A	25	45	38→40	51→50	42	214/268/301	87	294	5	11	28%	6%	61	-1.5	192/260/300	108	330	9	20	41%	8%	59	-1.7	114/199/227	112	210	11	39	48%	9%	18	-1.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2018 · AA	25	44→43	38→40	45→50	43	212/263/295	83	280	5	7	26%	6%	57	-1.8	220/285/331	111	294	8	6	26%	8%	74	-0.5	213/295/355	142	265	15	2	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Frainyer Chavez 2024 · AAA	25	42→47	38→40	44→50	44	200/265/273	72	276	6	10	28%	7%	54	-2.0	218/280/300	82	291	7	15	26%	7%	66	-1.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Deiner Lopez 2019 · AAA	25	44	40	49→50	36	214/249/305	91	303	7	13	31%	4%	55	-2.0	190/230/275	85	308	6	11	38%	5%	40	-3.0	123/156/173	49	224	2	11	44%	4%	-14	-2.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Jack Winkler 2024 · AA	25	43→41	39→40	50→55	44	208/271/297	89	274	7	14	26%	7%	61	-1.5	188/250/281	93	257	9	22	29%	6%	51	-2.3	172/236/263	91	235	10	24	30%	6%	39	-2.2
✕Brett Pirtle 2016 · A	25	43→49	38→30	49→45	41	204/263/281	77	287	5	8	29%	6%	55	-1.9	222/272/289	67	278	3	9	20%	6%	60	-1.6	228/275/282	54	280	1	8	18%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Stephen Perez 2016 · AA	25	42→48	36→30	50	46	197/258/263	66	263	3	13	25%	7%	49	-2.4	205/272/272	67	276	5	14	25%	8%	57	-1.8	202/276/258	55	273	4	15	26%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Eliezer Zambrano 2012 · AA	25	42	39→30	48→40	40	205/240/286	81	255	6	6	22%	4%	47	-2.5	217/261/291	74	268	6	6	20%	5%	56	-1.9	210/239/254	45	242	4	2	15%	3%	37	-1.1
✕Rick Hague 2014 · AA	25	44→46	40	48→50	39	216/257/310	94	286	8	9	27%	5%	59	-1.7	209/248/291	82	282	5	9	26%	5%	51	-2.3	199/236/271	72	269	3	9	26%	4%	39	-1.9
✕Ronald Bueno 2017 · AA	24	46	38→40	49→50	45	215/273/296	81	290	4	11	26%	7%	62	-1.4	216/275/325	109	279	9	7	25%	7%	70	-0.9	207/267/323	116	259	10	2	23%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Myles Schroder 2013 · A	25	41→45	39→45	50	37	197/244/284	87	290	6	10	33%	5%	49	-2.4	220/263/326	106	297	9	13	28%	4%	65	-1.2	221/262/321	101	289	9	14	26%	4%	61	-1.0
✕Taber Lee 2007 · AAA	26	43	39→40	50	44	207/267/294	87	270	7	10	25%	6%	59	-1.6	217/282/293	76	273	5	15	21%	7%	65	-1.2	217/293/251	34	265	0	21	16%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Cal Conley 2024 · AA	25	42→48	40	53→55	42	206/259/296	90	272	7	22	26%	6%	57	-1.8	205/251/278	73	272	5	25	25%	5%	49	-2.4	199/245/268	69	263	4	27	25%	5%	42	-2.2
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	41	208/278/305	96	282	9	11	28%	6%	67	-1.1	205/257/313	108	286	12	10	31%	5%	61	-1.5	188/228/292	104	266	14	9	34%	3%	42	-1.7