Joe Naranjo

1B Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 L/L 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AACLE	128	.211/.312/.266	1	2	43	—	.195/.272/.248
2024	23	A+WSH	221	.206/.303/.304	2	1	22	—	.156/.217/.234
2025	24	AAWSH	418	.227/.347/.299	3	2	70	—	.217/.308/.277
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBWSH	5	.192/.277/.259	0	0	55	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBWSH	72	.193/.278/.263	1	1	57	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

Chase%97

BB%88

Z-Con%69

Whiff%67

wRC+54

K%54

CompsMatt Winaker (age 26) · Ian Parmley (age 26) · Andrew Moritz (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .277 / .259

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO77

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Red	—	200	177	47	5	2	1	22	44	0	1	0	266	347	333	680	68	346	22	11	312	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	426	374	88	13	1	6	44	115	6	7	1	235	325	324	649	88	322	27	10	299	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	514	425	100	16	3	18	82	131	5	6	0	235	365	414	779	179	295	25	16	352	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	288	58	13	0	3	45	84	7	0	0	201	324	278	601	76	270	24	13	284	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	128	109	23	3	0	1	16	34	0	2	0	211	312	266	578	55	286	27	12	268	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	221	194	40	13	0	2	26	64	1	1	0	206	303	304	607	98	297	29	12	282	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	348	79	14	1	3	61	98	3	2	0	227	347	299	646	72	303	23	15	301	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Red	—	200	185	34	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	184	241	227	468	43	270	32	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	426	387	75	11	1	4	31	151	6	7	1	194	264	258	523	65	299	35	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	514	447	87	13	3	13	60	164	5	6	0	195	297	324	621	130	266	32	12	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	300	58	12	0	3	33	105	7	0	0	193	288	263	552	70	277	31	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	128	113	22	3	0	1	12	42	0	2	0	195	272	248	520	53	273	33	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	221	205	32	10	0	2	15	86	1	1	0	156	217	234	451	78	255	39	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	364	79	14	1	2	45	120	3	2	0	217	308	277	586	60	309	29	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Red	—	200	185	34	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	184	241	227	468	43	270	32	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians Red	—	200	177	47	5	2	1	22	44	0	1	0	266	347	333	680	68	346	22	11	312	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	426	387	75	11	1	4	31	151	6	7	1	194	264	258	523	65	303	35	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	426	374	88	13	1	6	44	115	6	7	1	235	325	324	649	88	322	27	10	299	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	514	447	87	13	3	13	60	164	5	6	0	195	297	324	621	130	272	32	12	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	514	425	100	16	3	18	82	131	5	6	0	235	365	414	779	179	295	25	16	352	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	300	58	12	0	3	33	105	7	0	0	193	288	263	552	70	282	31	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	288	58	13	0	3	45	84	7	0	0	201	324	278	601	76	270	24	13	284	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	349	318	53	13	0	2	27	128	1	3	0	167	234	226	461	60	267	37	8	212	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	349	303	63	16	0	3	42	98	1	3	0	208	306	290	597	83	293	28	12	277	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	364	79	14	1	2	45	120	3	2	0	217	308	277	586	60	313	29	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	348	79	14	1	3	61	98	3	2	0	227	347	299	646	72	303	23	15	301	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Red	—	200	184	34	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	185	241	228	469	43	270	32	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	426	386	75	11	1	4	31	151	6	7	1	194	264	259	523	65	299	35	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	514	444	87	13	3	13	60	164	5	6	0	196	297	327	623	131	266	32	12	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	300	58	12	0	3	33	105	7	0	0	193	288	263	552	70	277	31	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	349	318	53	13	0	2	27	128	1	3	0	167	234	226	461	60	262	37	8	212	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	367	79	14	1	2	45	120	3	2	0	215	308	275	583	60	309	29	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	349	318	53	13	0	2	27	128	1	3	0	167	234	226	461	60	262	37	8	212	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	367	79	14	1	2	45	120	3	2	0	215	308	275	583	60	309	29	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	380	338	65	13	1	3	37	110	2	4	1	192	277	259	536	67	273	29	10	250	55	-20	+0	+0	-7	+8	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	192	277	259	536	67	273	20	0	250	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	269	239	46	9	1	2	26	77	2	3	0	193	278	264	542	70	273	29	10	252	57	-14	+1	+0	-5	+6	-1.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	72	65	13	3	0	1	7	21	0	1	0	193	278	263	541	70	273	29	10	252	57	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	65	13	3	0	1	7	21	0	1	0	200	278	292	570	92	279	29	10	252	54	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	117	27	0	9	63	190	0	9	0	199	277	291	568	92	278	29	10	252	54	-34	+2	+0	-12	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2769	2462	476	84	8	29	261	880	25	24	1	193	277	269	547	76	285	32	9	249	54	-27	+1	+0	-9	+11	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	112	20	2	7	61	207	6	6	0	194	278	272	549	78	285	32	9	249	54	-34	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Naranjo (OGILVIE)	26	40	30	45	60	190/275/257	67	273	2	2	29%	10%	55	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→39	38→45	45	47	206/296/287	81	283	5	6	27%	8%	70	-0.8	196/285/287	91	266	7	7	27%	8%	66	-1.1	139/244/213	74	186	6	4	27%	9%	35	-1.4
✕Ian Parmley 2016 · AA	26	43	35→30	51→50	46	204/264/258	53	274	3	13	25%	8%	49	-2.4	231/273/296	65	327	3	15	28%	5%	61	-1.5	244/278/304	60	346	2	17	29%	4%	61	-0.6
✕Andrew Moritz 2023 · AA	26	51	36→30	47→50	45	237/292/303	66	311	4	10	24%	7%	70	-0.8	223/284/310	87	300	6	11	26%	7%	70	-0.9	190/258/265	74	259	4	10	26%	7%	47	-0.6
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40	44→45	42	188/257/280	92	287	8	6	35%	8%	53	-2.1	216/270/329	113	305	11	6	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/278/357	129	302	14	2	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Casey Grayson 2017 · A	25	47→48	36→30	45→40	56	219/310/286	67	293	3	3	24%	12%	75	-0.5	217/293/289	72	315	5	5	29%	9%	68	-1.0	208/280/270	61	310	5	2	32%	9%	56	-1.1
✕Evan Marzilli 2017 · AAA	26	42→46	37→40	49→50	46	199/276/277	79	285	3	14	29%	9%	59	-1.6	202/280/288	86	296	6	13	31%	9%	63	-1.3	203/282/290	87	286	6	14	29%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Preston Palmeiro 2021 · AA	26	41→47	41→45	45→40	39	205/247/300	95	274	9	4	28%	5%	53	-2.1	214/263/327	113	273	11	5	25%	6%	65	-1.2	206/260/318	111	260	10	3	24%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Chase Calabuig 2022 · AA	26	42→52	39→40	44→45	49	205/274/284	79	258	7	6	23%	8%	60	-1.6	247/306/361	114	288	9	5	17%	7%	89	+0.5	272/331/396	124	311	9	3	15%	7%	102	+0.7
✕Ryan Goetz 2014 · AAA	26	44→48	36→30	49→40	45	206/258/273	67	268	3	6	24%	6%	51	-2.3	203/254/260	57	286	2	5	28%	6%	47	-2.6	195/245/229	34	279	0	2	28%	6%	34	-2.6
✕Thomas Spitz 2018 · AA	26	45→46	39→40	46→50	45	214/277/295	81	288	6	11	27%	8%	63	-1.3	218/278/321	103	323	8	9	32%	7%	70	-0.8	212/270/349	138	343	10	4	38%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Kyle Kasser 2022 · A	26	46	35→30	46→50	46	218/264/280	62	266	3	9	19%	6%	54	-2.0	222/281/290	68	271	4	13	18%	8%	63	-1.3	226/291/277	51	269	3	17	16%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Ethan Chapman 2017 · AA	27	45→47	38→30	47→55	44	216/271/292	75	289	6	12	26%	7%	60	-1.6	229/282/319	90	317	9	21	29%	6%	71	-0.8	230/283/297	67	321	7	29	29%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Ryan Rieger 2015 · AA	24	43	39→40	47→40	46	207/271/295	88	278	6	5	27%	8%	61	-1.5	212/266/312	100	286	4	6	26%	6%	63	-1.4	206/256/319	113	277	2	3	24%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Sean McCraw 2011 · AA	25	42	36→30	43→30	46	200/271/268	69	278	3	4	28%	8%	55	-1.9	201/265/296	95	277	8	6	28%	7%	59	-1.6	155/222/245	91	207	8	0	29%	8%	29	-1.1
✕Bryant Flete 2019 · AAA	26	45	38→40	40→50	42	214/269/294	79	286	5	6	26%	6%	60	-1.6	220/293/309	89	307	8	7	29%	7%	73	-0.6	206/301/269	63	293	9	0	30%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Alex Perez 2018 · AA	25	47	33→30	41→40	48	217/290/262	45	303	1	4	27%	9%	61	-1.5	213/274/269	56	296	2	5	26%	7%	56	-1.9	201/259/240	39	278	0	2	26%	7%	41	-1.9
✕Levi Hyams 2016 · AA	26	46→47	39→40	47→45	45	218/278/311	93	290	5	7	26%	7%	67	-1.1	205/247/292	87	282	7	5	28%	5%	51	-2.3	189/213/280	91	260	8	0	30%	3%	33	-1.5
✕Tim Smalling 2014 · AA	26	44→43	37→40	42→45	43	210/262/287	77	276	4	6	25%	6%	55	-1.9	209/257/288	79	266	6	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	204/248/272	68	253	6	8	21%	5%	44	-1.5