Cade Doughty
2B New Hampshire Fisher Cats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AA/ATOR | 143 | .229/.284/.336 | 2 | 0 | 42 | — | .213/.256/.315 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A/INTL2 orgs | 426 | .231/.288/.319 | 5 | 10 | 39 | — | .189/.233/.248 |
| 2026 | 25 | AA/A+/ROK2 orgs | 206 | .243/.314/.378 | 4 | 2 | 51 | — | .206/.260/.321 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBTOR | 2 | .201/.244/.284 | 0 | 0 | 47 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBTOR | 37 | .202/.247/.288 | 0 | 0 | 49 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 119 | 103 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 370 | 495 | 865 | 223 | 324 | 24 | 8 | 384 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 424 | 375 | 99 | 19 | 0 | 18 | 35 | 126 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 264 | 344 | 459 | 803 | 195 | 346 | 30 | 8 | 355 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 114 | 108 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 213 | 248 | 287 | 535 | 74 | 289 | 27 | 4 | 240 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 29 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 429 | 565 | 994 | 261 | 333 | 17 | 14 | 418 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 373 | 342 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 83 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 237 | 283 | 322 | 605 | 85 | 296 | 22 | 5 | 268 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 31 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 80 | 258 | 80 | 338 | 105 | 19 | 19 | 193 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 22 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 316 | 409 | 579 | 988 | 263 | 312 | 9 | 14 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 126 | 112 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 323 | 366 | 689 | 116 | 338 | 28 | 9 | 307 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 64 | 58 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 281 | 345 | 626 | 138 | 297 | 31 | 9 | 283 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 16 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 375 | 600 | 975 | 267 | 333 | 12 | 6 | 424 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 119 | 106 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 311 | 406 | 717 | 179 | 290 | 33 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 424 | 385 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 165 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 197 | 266 | 322 | 588 | 125 | 300 | 39 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 114 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 193 | 221 | 257 | 478 | 64 | 275 | 33 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 29 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 393 | 542 | 935 | 250 | 297 | 24 | 10 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 373 | 347 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 105 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 199 | 236 | 262 | 499 | 63 | 263 | 28 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 31 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 194 | 74 | 268 | 94 | 26 | 13 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 126 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 282 | 330 | 613 | 104 | 328 | 34 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 64 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 203 | 250 | 453 | 100 | 240 | 41 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 533 | 846 | 267 | 245 | 19 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 119 | 106 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 311 | 406 | 717 | 179 | 306 | 33 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 119 | 103 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 370 | 495 | 865 | 223 | 324 | 24 | 8 | 384 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 424 | 385 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 165 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 197 | 266 | 322 | 588 | 125 | 307 | 39 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | Vancouver Canadians | — | 424 | 375 | 99 | 19 | 0 | 18 | 35 | 126 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 264 | 344 | 459 | 803 | 195 | 346 | 30 | 8 | 355 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 134 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 201 | 241 | 276 | 517 | 75 | 292 | 31 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 143 | 131 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 284 | 336 | 620 | 107 | 298 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 426 | 395 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 119 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 192 | 235 | 258 | 493 | 66 | 260 | 28 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 426 | 386 | 89 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 91 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 231 | 288 | 319 | 606 | 88 | 285 | 21 | 7 | 271 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 206 | 191 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 72 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 99 | 297 | 35 | 6 | 244 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 206 | 185 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 314 | 378 | 692 | 135 | 325 | 28 | 9 | 309 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 119 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 229 | 311 | 410 | 720 | 181 | 290 | 33 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 424 | 385 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 165 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 197 | 266 | 322 | 588 | 125 | 300 | 39 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 135 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 200 | 241 | 274 | 515 | 74 | 279 | 31 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 426 | 401 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 119 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 190 | 235 | 254 | 489 | 65 | 250 | 28 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 206 | 191 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 72 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 99 | 294 | 35 | 6 | 244 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 135 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 200 | 241 | 274 | 515 | 74 | 279 | 31 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 426 | 401 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 119 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 190 | 235 | 254 | 489 | 65 | 250 | 28 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 206 | 191 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 72 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 99 | 294 | 35 | 6 | 244 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | TOR | 2% | 256 | 241 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 243 | 283 | 527 | 83 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 237 | 47 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | TOR | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 244 | 284 | 528 | 83 | 281 | 50 | 0 | 238 | 47 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 27% | 138 | 129 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 246 | 287 | 533 | 86 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 240 | 49 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | TOR | 27% | 37 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 247 | 288 | 534 | 86 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 49 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 216 | 200 | 416 | 29 | 250 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 50 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 615 | 106 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 217 | 202 | 419 | 29 | 251 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 50 | -40 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1564 | 1441 | 287 | 53 | 3 | 27 | 82 | 515 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 199 | 254 | 296 | 550 | 97 | 285 | 33 | 5 | 242 | 50 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 119 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 214 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 199 | 253 | 294 | 547 | 95 | 285 | 33 | 5 | 242 | 50 | -40 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 126 PAwOBA .304 → .265 (−39)K% 27.8% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×0.998 | 25.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.032 | ×0.998 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.032 | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .304 → .265; ISO .116 → .096; BABIP .338 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Rome Emperors · 64 PAwOBA .276 → .193 (−83)K% 31.2% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 13.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 10.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.26% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .193; ISO .138 → .099; BABIP .297 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 16 PAwOBA .411 → .289 (−123)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 17.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 5.67% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .411 → .289; ISO .267 → .186; BABIP .333 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 373 PAwOBA .264 → .222 (−43)K% 22.3% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.25% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.36% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.17% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 21.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.030 | ×0.860 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.950 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.885 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 99, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .264 → .222; ISO .085 → .069; BABIP .296 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 31 PAwOBA .190 → .139 (−52)K% 19.4% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 12.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 9.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.284 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .190 → .139; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .105 → .094. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 114 PAwOBA .233 → .198 (−35)K% 27.2% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.19% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.39% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.38% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 22.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.051 | ×0.860 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 3.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.145 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .233 → .198; ISO .074 → .055; BABIP .289 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 29 PAwOBA .422 → .358 (−64)K% 17.2% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.041 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.962 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 21.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 4.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .422 → .358; ISO .261 → .217; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 424 PAwOBA .348 → .257 (−90)K% 29.7% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.72% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.59% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.90% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×1.012 | 22.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.012 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.980 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.253 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 4.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .348 → .257; ISO .195 → .126; BABIP .346 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .