Kendall Williams

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	27	24	110	4.32	4.80	20.1%	11.1%	—	K 15.3% · BB 12.8% · FIP 5.72
2023	22	MIX4 levels	17	16	80	3.73	3.83	18.1%	11.4%	—	K 15.9% · BB 12.3% · FIP 4.00
2024	23	AALAD	20	20	93	6.70	5.46	11.4%	11.4%	—	K 9.2% · BB 12.5% · FIP 5.74
2027PROJ	26	MLBLAD	11	11	65	5.27	5.27	15.3%	11.2%	-0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBLAD	4	4	24	5.20	5.21	16.1%	11.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBLAD	6	6	37	5.19	5.23	16.6%	11.1%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsAlejandro Martinez (age 26) · Britt Reames (age 26) · David Lebron (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%15.3%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%4.1%

Proj IP65

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	6	5	16	63	19	7	0	83%	2.7	20.5%	13.9%	6.6%	0.0%	1.12	3.13	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	6	5	16	63	19	7	0	83%	2.7	30.2%	11.1%	19.0%	0.0%	1.12	2.04	—
2021	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	23	19	93	413	87	22	14	83%	4.1	15.6%	6.3%	9.3%	4.6%	4.53	5.09	—
2021	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	23	19	93	413	87	22	14	83%	4.1	21.1%	5.3%	15.7%	3.4%	4.53	3.89	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	24	110	478	96	53	17	89%	4.1	15.3%	12.8%	2.6%	4.2%	4.32	5.72	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	24	110	478	96	53	17	89%	4.1	20.1%	11.1%	9.0%	3.6%	4.32	4.80	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	16	80	342	62	39	5	94%	4.7	15.9%	12.3%	3.6%	1.2%	3.73	4.00	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	16	80	342	62	39	5	94%	4.7	18.1%	11.4%	6.7%	1.5%	3.73	3.83	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	20	20	93	439	50	50	13	100%	4.6	9.2%	12.5%	-3.3%	3.3%	6.70	5.74	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	20	20	93	439	50	50	13	100%	4.6	9.2%	12.5%	-3.3%	3.3%	6.70	5.74	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	20	20	93	439	50	50	13	100%	4.6	11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	3.0%	6.70	5.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	LAD	11	11	65	274	42	31	8	100%	5.9	15.3%	11.2%	4.1%	3.0%	5.27	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAD	11	11	64	270	44	30	8	100%	5.8	16.1%	11.1%	5.0%	3.1%	5.20	5.21	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAD	10	10	62	262	43	29	8	100%	6.2	16.6%	11.1%	5.5%	3.2%	5.19	5.23	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAD	4	4	24	101	16	11	3	100%	6.0	16.1%	11.1%	5.0%	3.1%	5.20	5.21	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAD	6	6	37	156	26	17	5	100%	6.2	16.6%	11.1%	5.5%	3.2%	5.19	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	61	257	42	29	8	100%	6.1	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	3.1%	5.19	4.84	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	138	95	26	100%	6.0	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	3.1%	5.19	4.84	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		93	84	392	1735	245	193	58	90%	4.2	14.1%	11.1%	3.0%	3.3%	4.68	5.14	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	43	200	885	125	98	30	90%	4.2	14.1%	11.1%	3.0%	3.3%	4.68	5.14	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kendall Williams (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	15.3%	11.2%	3.0%	—	5.22	16.3%	5.2%	126	-0.05	—	—	—
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	82
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	81
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	80
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	80
Ike Buxton R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	24	SP	4.45	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.97	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.52	4.45	196	80
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	79
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	79
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	79
Josh Banks R 2008 · 4.81 FIP	26	SP-	4.81	11.6%	7.3%	3.2%	.283	6.01	9.0%	6.0%	23	+1.20	4.81	108	79
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	78
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	78
James Proctor R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	14.0%	12.5%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	109	78
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	78
Michael Wagner R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.4%	12.3%	1.9%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	149	77
Patrick McGuff R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP	4.30	12.0%	10.4%	1.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	133	77
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	77
Hiram Burgos R 2013 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP	4.89	12.9%	7.9%	3.4%	.314	3.73	18.0%	8.7%	293	-1.16	3.40	384	77
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	77
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	77
Hector Velázquez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	26	SP	4.31	15.0%	8.7%	2.5%	.297	3.35	18.1%	12.8%	343	-0.96	2.75	536	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	16.0%	11.1%	1.20	5.22
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*