Kendall Williams
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 25
RHP
6'6" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%17.6%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%6.9%
ROS IP61
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 6 | 5 | 16 | 63 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 83% | 2.7 | 20.5% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 3.13 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 6 | 5 | 16 | 63 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 83% | 2.7 | 30.2% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 2.04 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 23 | 19 | 93 | 413 | 87 | 22 | 14 | 83% | 4.1 | 15.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 4.53 | 5.18 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 23 | 19 | 93 | 413 | 87 | 22 | 14 | 83% | 4.1 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 15.7% | 3.4% | 4.53 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 110 | 478 | 96 | 53 | 17 | 89% | 4.1 | 15.3% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.32 | 5.60 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 110 | 478 | 96 | 53 | 17 | 89% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.32 | 4.80 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 16 | 80 | 342 | 62 | 39 | 5 | 94% | 4.7 | 15.9% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 3.73 | 4.01 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 16 | 80 | 342 | 62 | 39 | 5 | 94% | 4.7 | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 3.73 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 20 | 20 | 93 | 439 | 50 | 50 | 13 | 100% | 4.6 | 9.2% | 12.5% | -3.3% | 3.2% | 6.70 | 5.64 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 20 | 20 | 93 | 439 | 50 | 50 | 13 | 100% | 4.6 | 11.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 6.70 | 5.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 45 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 49 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 60 | 254 | 49 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 58 | 246 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.8 | 18.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 18 | 109 | 460 | 88 | 49 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.49 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 90 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 84 | 392 | 1735 | 245 | 193 | 57 | 90% | 4.2 | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 5.11 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 43 | 200 | 885 | 125 | 98 | 29 | 90% | 4.2 | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kendall Williams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 17.6% | 10.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.86 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 179 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 87 |
| Dylan Burns R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 87 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 86 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 85 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 83 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 82 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 81 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 81 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.43 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.99 | 3.93 | 419 | 80 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 80 |
| Evan Yates R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.51 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 2.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 169 | 79 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 79 |
| Michael Wagner R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.27 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 149 | 78 |
| Trent Sellers R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.46 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .290 | 5.09 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 58 | +0.63 | 3.39 | 236 | 78 |
| Austin Gordon R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.46 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 159 | 78 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 77 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 77 |
| Jayden Murray R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .258 | 4.95 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 105 | +0.51 | 3.38 | 372 | 77 |
| Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | .357 | 4.75 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 77 | +0.20 | 3.98 | 270 | 77 |
| Trace Bright R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 4.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 373 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 60 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 1.16 | 4.89 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |