Christian Suarez
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128138vR 147
ERA5.70
FIP5.70
K%18.3%
BB%19.4%
K-BB%-1.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 13 | 5 | 43 | 181 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 38% | 3.3 | 13.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 2.28 | 3.26 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 13 | 5 | 43 | 181 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 38% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 5.5% | 14.4% | 0.6% | 2.28 | 2.43 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 15 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 1.6% | 3.12 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 15 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.6% | 6.4% | 19.2% | 1.3% | 3.12 | 2.41 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 273 | 78 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 4.22 | 3.85 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 273 | 78 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 1.5% | 4.22 | 3.02 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 45 | 0 | 48 | 221 | 61 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 4.47 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 45 | 0 | 48 | 221 | 61 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 55 | 239 | 55 | 35 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.4% | 16.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 3.60 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 55 | 239 | 55 | 35 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 0.4% | 3.60 | 3.25 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 42 | 0 | 64 | 280 | 65 | 48 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 18.9% | -0.1% | 1.4% | 3.38 | 4.67 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 42 | 0 | 64 | 280 | 65 | 48 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 17.1% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 3.38 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 29 | 1 | 45 | 191 | 56 | 21 | 5 | 3% | 1.6 | 23.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 3.57 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 57 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 19.4% | -1.0% | 2.4% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 19.4% | -1.0% | 2.4% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 115 | 487 | 110 | 78 | 12 | — | — | 22.7% | 16.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 4.86 | 5.17 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.3% | 19.4% | -1.0% | 2.4% | 5.70 | 5.32 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 56 | 54 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 18.3% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 5.55 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 52 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 17.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.47 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 55 | 49 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 17.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 18.3% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 5.55 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 17.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.47 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 17.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 103 | 95 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 17.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 5.13 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 150 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 17.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 222 | 6 | 332 | 1463 | 285 | 198 | 24 | 3% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 3.52 | 4.08 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 4 | 200 | 880 | 171 | 119 | 14 | 3% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 3.52 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Suarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.70 | 18.3% | 19.4% | 2.4% | — | 5.51 | 19.3% | 1.5% | 206 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 90 |
| Nick Lee L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 102 | 88 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.79 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.1% | .284 | 5.74 | 18.7% | -4.6% | 22 | +0.95 | 4.12 | 234 | 86 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 85 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 85 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 85 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 82 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 82 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.16 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 4.0% | .275 | 4.98 | 19.5% | -8.3% | 18 | -1.18 | 4.80 | 223 | 82 |
| Chris Nunn L 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 82 |
| Sean Keselica L 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.58 | 15.9% | 18.5% | 2.7% | .226 | 4.53 | 18.0% | 3.5% | 52 | -1.05 | 2.77 | 235 | 81 |
| John Kilichowski L 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 81 |
| Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.28 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.73 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 34 | -1.55 | 3.73 | 152 | 80 |
| Davis Schwab L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 79 |
| Brian Moran L 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 79 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 79 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 14.8% | 20.2% | 1.5% | .243 | 4.40 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 81 | -0.83 | 1.71 | 206 | 79 |
| Juan Pichardo L 2024 · 4.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.95 | 17.7% | 17.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.13 | 103 | 78 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.0% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.23 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.68 | 3.88 | 269 | 78 |
| Yoan Aybar L 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 20.9% | 19.7% | 3.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 166 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 19.0% | 18.2% | 0.97 | 5.55 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |