Eiberson Castellano

P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 214 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIEFG #483

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	22	20	104	3.99	2.69	31.3%	6.7%	—	K 24.6% · BB 7.6% · FIP 3.67
2025	24	MIX2 levels	21	2	36	6.44	3.79	22.7%	9.9%	—	K 19.6% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.23
2026	25	MIX3 levels	26	13	116	4.36	3.94	21.4%	13.0%	1.3	K 18.0% · BB 13.0% · FIP 4.36
2027PROJ	26	MLBCOL	130	0	136	4.86	4.86	19.0%	12.7%	-0.5
2028PROJ55% MLB	27	MLBCOL	70	0	73	4.83	4.84	19.3%	12.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	28	MLBCOL	87	0	91	4.84	4.88	19.4%	12.1%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command40FB velo45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Tyler Yates (age 26) · Ryan Vanderhei (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%19.0%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%6.3%

Proj IP136

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5555

CMD3540

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	16	1	33	137	36	16	1	6%	2.1	17.9%	14.6%	3.3%	1.2%	1.09	4.09	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	16	1	33	137	36	16	1	6%	2.1	26.3%	11.7%	14.6%	0.7%	1.09	2.77	—
2022	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	17	8	51	207	61	18	4	47%	3.0	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	2.5%	3.51	3.94	—
2022	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	17	8	51	207	61	18	4	47%	3.0	29.5%	8.7%	20.8%	1.9%	3.51	2.79	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	22	7	50	234	58	28	3	32%	2.3	18.3%	14.1%	4.2%	1.7%	5.04	4.25	—
2023	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	22	7	50	234	58	28	3	32%	2.3	24.8%	12.0%	12.8%	1.3%	5.04	3.24	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	104	434	136	29	11	91%	4.7	24.6%	7.6%	17.0%	3.1%	3.99	3.67	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	104	434	136	29	11	91%	4.7	24.6%	7.6%	17.0%	3.1%	3.99	3.67	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	20	104	434	136	29	11	91%	4.7	31.3%	6.7%	24.7%	2.5%	3.99	2.69	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	36	172	39	17	4	10%	1.7	19.6%	9.6%	10.1%	2.9%	6.44	4.23	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	36	172	39	17	4	10%	1.7	19.6%	9.6%	10.1%	2.9%	6.44	4.23	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	36	172	39	17	4	10%	1.7	22.7%	9.9%	12.8%	2.3%	6.44	3.79	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	13	116	523	112	68	9	50%	4.4	18.0%	13.0%	5.0%	2.1%	4.36	4.36	+0.7
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	13	116	523	112	68	9	50%	4.4	18.0%	13.0%	5.0%	2.1%	4.36	4.36	+0.7
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	13	116	523	112	68	9	50%	4.4	21.4%	13.0%	8.4%	1.7%	4.36	3.94	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	3	12	2	0	0	0%	3.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.77	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	COL	130	0	136	574	109	73	14	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.7%	6.3%	2.5%	4.86	4.86	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	127	0	134	565	109	69	15	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.3%	7.0%	2.6%	4.83	4.84	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	124	0	130	548	106	66	15	0%	1.0	19.4%	12.1%	7.3%	2.7%	4.84	4.88	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	118	0	124	523	101	63	15	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.1%	7.2%	2.9%	4.91	4.98	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	111	0	116	492	93	60	15	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.3%	6.7%	3.1%	5.04	5.14	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	70	0	73	308	59	38	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	12.3%	7.0%	2.6%	4.83	4.84	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	87	0	91	384	74	46	11	0%	1.0	19.4%	12.1%	7.3%	2.7%	4.84	4.88	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	92	0	97	410	79	50	12	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.1%	7.2%	2.9%	4.91	4.98	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	92	0	97	410	78	50	13	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.3%	6.7%	3.1%	5.04	5.14	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		342	0	361	1524	292	184	43	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.1%	7.1%	2.8%	4.87	4.57	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	0	200	844	162	102	24	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.1%	7.1%	2.8%	4.87	4.57	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		124	51	390	1707	347	192	40	41%	3.1	20.3%	11.2%	9.1%	2.3%	4.15	4.09	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	26	200	875	178	98	20	41%	3.1	20.3%	11.2%	9.1%	2.3%	4.15	4.09	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eiberson Castellano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	19.0%	12.7%	2.5%	—	4.90	19.3%	7.1%	387	+0.04	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	80
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	74
Ryan Vanderhei R 2024 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	16.4%	14.1%	0.8%	.284	4.45	17.9%	2.9%	114	+0.50	3.75	152	74
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	73
Victor Santos R 2003 · 5.99 FIP	26	SP-	5.99	12.8%	12.8%	4.3%	.293	4.38	15.4%	7.7%	411	-1.61	4.09	602	72
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	72
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	72
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.55	20.8%	9.1%	172	-1.27	2.64	280	72
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	71
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	71
Sam Lewis R 2018 · 4.33 FIP	26	SW	4.33	16.7%	9.6%	2.6%	.323	3.41	21.0%	10.2%	48	-0.92	2.21	224	70
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	70
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	70
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	70
P.J. Walters R 2010 · 4.93 FIP	25	SW	4.93	17.1%	7.8%	4.2%	.293	5.05	14.1%	5.6%	101	+0.12	3.97	230	70
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	69
Sam LeCure R 2010 · 4.35 FIP	26	SW	4.35	17.1%	10.1%	2.6%	.289	3.07	25.1%	17.2%	196	-1.28	2.69	472	69
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	68
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	68
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	128	19.2%	12.2%	1.06	4.87
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Tyler Green ('98)	1.9	128	15.4%	11.8%	1.10	5.16
Roger Pavlik ('98)	3.7	124	16.2%	10.8%	1.03	4.58
Bill James ('11-'19, 2 WAR*)	5.9	169	16.0%*	11.3%*	1.03*	4.82*
Pat Combs ('89-'92, 2 WAR*)	1.5	102	18.2%*	11.0%*	0.87*	4.83*
Rich Gale ('78-'84, 3 WAR*)	4.9	139	18.9%*	10.8%*	1.05*	4.94*