Kevin Rodriguez

P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 145 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	AWSH	38	1	70	3.88	3.46	25.3%	7.8%	—	K 18.7% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.82
2024	23	AWSH	29	0	47	4.37	3.12	16.3%	8.9%	—	K 12.0% · BB 10.5% · FIP 3.74
2027PROJ	26	MLBWSH	27	0	28	4.56	4.56	21.0%	9.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBWSH	10	0	10	4.56	4.57	21.2%	9.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJosh Zeid (age 26) · Jose Rafael De Paula (age 26) · Jason Stoffel (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%21.0%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%11.3%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	15	1	30	137	35	14	2	7%	2.0	17.4%	12.8%	4.6%	2.0%	2.67	4.37	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	15	1	30	137	35	14	2	7%	2.0	25.5%	10.2%	15.3%	1.5%	2.67	3.03	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	0	20	86	18	8	3	0%	1.5	14.2%	11.6%	2.6%	4.8%	5.40	6.01	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	13	0	20	86	18	8	3	0%	1.5	20.9%	9.3%	11.6%	3.5%	5.40	4.45	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	15	0	21	92	26	5	0	0%	1.4	19.2%	6.8%	12.4%	0.0%	1.31	2.34	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	15	0	21	92	26	5	0	0%	1.4	28.3%	5.4%	22.8%	0.0%	1.31	1.31	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	38	1	70	293	74	23	8	3%	1.8	18.7%	9.3%	9.4%	3.9%	3.88	4.82	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	38	1	70	293	74	23	8	3%	1.8	25.3%	7.8%	17.4%	2.7%	3.88	3.46	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	29	0	47	203	33	18	1	0%	1.6	12.0%	10.5%	1.6%	0.6%	4.37	3.74	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	29	0	47	203	33	18	1	0%	1.6	12.0%	10.5%	1.6%	0.6%	4.37	3.74	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	29	0	47	203	33	18	1	0%	1.6	16.3%	8.9%	7.4%	0.5%	4.37	3.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	WSH	27	0	28	118	25	11	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.7%	11.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	26	0	28	117	25	11	4	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.57	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.19	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	79	20	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.19	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		110	2	188	811	133	82	19	2%	1.7	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.69	4.32	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	2	200	863	141	87	21	2%	1.7	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.69	4.32	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	21.0%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.57	21.2%	11.5%	28	+0.01	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	91
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	88
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	88
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	88
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	86
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	86
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	86
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	86
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	85
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	85
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	653	84
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	84
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	84
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	84
Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 3.39 FIP	24	SU	3.39	21.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.282	3.78	20.0%	13.0%	95	+0.39	2.20	144	84
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	22.5%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.86	4.73	183	83
Zach Bryant R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	26	SU	4.85	18.0%	9.6%	3.7%	.313	4.87	16.1%	5.0%	106	+0.02	4.51	215	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	21.1%	9.7%	1.15	4.56
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*