Aidan Maldonado P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.9%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.06 (34 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.00.00.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202323ACarolina Mudcats158391954325153%2.616.3%15.1%1.2%0.6%6.183.96
202323ACarolina Mudcats158391954325153%2.622.1%12.8%9.2%0.5%6.183.15
202424MIX2 levels31052214632150%1.722.0%11.4%10.6%2.5%3.614.08
202424MIX2 levels31052214632150%1.729.4%9.8%19.6%2.3%3.613.14
202525A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers70104111300%1.426.8%7.3%19.5%0.0%1.861.76
202525A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers70104111300%1.426.8%7.3%19.5%0.0%1.861.76
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBMIL33034145331440%1.022.9%9.9%13.0%2.9%4.404.40+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBMIL32034143331440%1.122.9%9.9%13.0%3.0%4.414.43+0.0
202828MLBMIL31033139321440%1.122.8%10.0%12.8%3.1%4.464.51+0.0
202929MLBMIL30031133301440%1.022.6%10.2%12.4%3.2%4.564.63-0.0
202727MLBMIL110125112520%1.122.9%9.9%13.0%3.0%4.414.43+0.0
202828MLBMIL180198018820%1.122.8%10.0%12.8%3.1%4.464.51+0.0
202929MLBMIL210229321930%1.022.6%10.2%12.4%3.2%4.564.63-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career51054228522370%1.122.7%10.1%12.7%3.1%4.494.16+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084419385260%1.122.7%10.1%12.7%3.1%4.494.16+2.9
Career5381014509057715%1.920.0%12.7%7.3%1.5%4.443.82+1.9
/ 200 IP105162008881771121315%1.920.0%12.7%7.3%1.5%4.443.82+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Aidan Maldonado (OGILVIE) 4.40 22.9%9.9%2.9% 4.52 22.8%12.7%98 +0.12
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 88
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 85
Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 85
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SU 4.34 23.4%11.6%3.2%.273 4.52 18.7%7.1%88 +0.18 3.57 187 84
R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP 26 SU 3.78 20.7%8.9%2.4%.318 3.31 23.8%15.0%96 -0.47 2.46 362 83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 26 SU 4.46 19.9%9.8%3.3%.278 5.02 22.7%10.3%89 +0.56 2.69 315 83
Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 26 SU 4.24 23.0%9.8%3.4%.370 4.72 14.0%-5.3%27 +0.48 3.04 219 82
Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 26 SU 3.80 22.0%7.5%2.9%.333 4.41 18.1%6.6%151 +0.61 3.74 185 82
Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 26 SU 3.77 24.1%8.9%2.9%.242 3.56 22.5%12.4%100 -0.21 3.05 205 82
Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 21.2%9.4%2.8%.295 4.19 21.8%13.1%41 +0.15 3.43 187 82
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 26 SU 3.46 23.1%9.3%2.1%.244 3.76 18.9%11.1%168 +0.30 3.23 253 82
Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.1%10.9%3.6%.300 3.61 23.0%12.8%63 -0.90 3.16 377 81
Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 26 SU 4.11 22.1%9.2%3.1%.282 3.23 26.9%17.2%144 -0.88 1.79 647 81
Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.2%8.5%4.2%.302 2.25 121 81
Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 26 SU 4.36 20.9%8.8%3.5%.310 4.40 17.6%5.6%46 +0.04 3.42 161 81
Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 81
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 26 SU 3.81 21.6%8.2%2.7%.316 6.96 13.7%6.1%26 +3.15 3.81 233 81
Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 18.9%6.8%2.1%.292 5.11 20.4%15.3%41 +1.57 3.08 210 81
Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 26 SU 4.19 20.2%10.3%2.7%.276 5.42 19.0%5.8%63 +1.23 1.93 233 81
Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 3.35 101 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION43322.8%10.0%1.174.46
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21