Aidan Maldonado — OGILVIE

Aidan Maldonado P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 37 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%22.9%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	15	8	39	195	43	25	1	53%	2.6	16.3%	15.1%	1.2%	0.6%	6.18	3.98	—
2023	23	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	15	8	39	195	43	25	1	53%	2.6	22.1%	12.8%	9.2%	0.5%	6.18	3.15	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	52	214	63	21	5	0%	1.7	22.0%	11.4%	10.6%	2.8%	3.61	4.21	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	52	214	63	21	5	0%	1.7	22.0%	11.4%	10.6%	2.8%	3.61	4.21	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	52	214	63	21	5	0%	1.7	29.4%	9.8%	19.6%	2.3%	3.61	3.14	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	7	0	10	41	11	3	0	0%	1.4	26.8%	7.3%	19.5%	0.0%	1.86	1.76	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	7	0	10	41	11	3	0	0%	1.4	26.8%	7.3%	19.5%	0.0%	1.86	1.76	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	7	0	10	41	11	3	0	0%	1.4	26.8%	7.3%	19.5%	0.0%	1.86	1.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	MIL	35	0	37	156	36	16	5	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.2%	12.7%	3.0%	4.47	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	34	0	36	150	34	15	5	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.2%	12.6%	3.1%	4.51	4.54	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	12	0	13	55	13	6	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.2%	12.6%	3.1%	4.51	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	13	6	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.2%	12.6%	3.1%	4.51	4.16	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	92	31	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.2%	12.6%	3.1%	4.51	4.16	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		53	8	101	450	90	57	7	15%	1.9	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	1.6%	4.44	3.89	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	16	200	888	177	112	14	15%	1.9	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	1.6%	4.44	3.89	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aidan Maldonado (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	22.9%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.54	22.8%	12.6%	36	+0.07	—	—	—
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	82
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	27	SU	4.76	23.0%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.18	3.73	223	81
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	80
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	80
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	80
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	80
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	80
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.38	554	80
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	80
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Jordan Milbrath R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	21.5%	9.5%	2.8%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	386	79
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	22.5%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.86	4.73	183	79
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	79
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	79
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	79
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	78
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	22.8%	10.2%	1.18	4.49
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16