Conner Loeprich
P
FCL Orioles
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 8 | 96 | 427 | 95 | 25 | 6 | 24% | 2.9 | 16.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 3.94 | 3.52 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 8 | 96 | 427 | 95 | 25 | 6 | 24% | 2.9 | 22.2% | 5.9% | 16.4% | 1.4% | 3.94 | 2.71 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 12 | 56 | 241 | 57 | 16 | 11 | 86% | 4.0 | 17.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.62 | 6.28 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 12 | 56 | 241 | 57 | 16 | 11 | 86% | 4.0 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 17.0% | 4.6% | 5.62 | 4.47 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 32 | 3 | 72 | 312 | 77 | 26 | 10 | 9% | 2.2 | 20.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.15 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 32 | 3 | 72 | 312 | 77 | 26 | 10 | 9% | 2.2 | 24.7% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 3.85 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 4.88 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.3% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 4.88 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.99 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 28 | 0 | 30 | 126 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 43 | 0 | 46 | 192 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.27 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 83 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 115 | 24 | 277 | 1210 | 221 | 98 | 37 | 21% | 2.4 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 17 | 200 | 875 | 160 | 71 | 27 | 21% | 2.4 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Conner Loeprich (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.61 | 22.5% | 12.9% | 96 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 83 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 78 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 78 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 77 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 77 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 75 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 75 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 74 |
| Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 523 | 74 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 74 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 74 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 73 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 73 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 73 |
| Elian Leyva R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 73 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 73 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 33 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 1.24 | 4.47 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |