David Fry

C Cleveland Guardians

Age 31 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 2.895S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	28	MLBCLE	392	.263/.358/.448	14	4	122	1.0
2025	29	MLBCLE	157	.171/.229/.363	8	1	64	-0.0
2026	30	MLBCLE	214	.201/.313/.364	8	0	93	-0.1
2027PROJ	31	MLBCLE	277	.220/.305/.407	12	2	100	0.8
2028PROJ65% MLB	32	MLBCLE	168	.213/.297/.391	7	0	93	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.895First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.6M2029Ext$0.6M2030Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%86

Whiff%69

Barrel%45

Bat Spd39

Avg EV33

xwOBA32

Form.231/.306/.420 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .219/.302/.407

CompsShelley Duncan (age 32) · Jeff Bailey (age 31) · Tagg Bozied (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 103100vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .305 / .407

PA277

HR12

K%25

BB%9

BABIP256

ISO195

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

699.0%

xAVG

100.204

POWER50

Barrel%

457.5

Avg EV

3387.8

Bat Spd

3970.1

EYE45

Chase%

8624.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

2626.3

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▲▲17% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 25%

BB%9%▼7% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.189·.195 over 41 AB (60d) · proj .188

HR/BB6.5%·6.1% over 33 BBE (60d) · proj 6.6%

BABIP.256·.290 over 31 BIP (60d) · proj .255

SLASH.231/.306/.420▲proj .219/.302/.407

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 572 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

308

264

—

wRC+

124

◀◀L

wOBA

351

294

◀◀L

ISO

225

134

◀◀L

BABIP

284

283

—

27.6%

24.2%

▶R

BB%

11.7%

6.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.895 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.2M
2028	Arb-2	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.2M		$0.8M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	261	222	70	15	2	12	29	42	7	2	1	315	411	563	974	248	339	16	11	421	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	568	504	130	41	1	17	50	111	6	7	4	258	332	444	777	187	296	20	9	340	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	56	50	15	5	0	1	5	13	1	0	0	300	375	460	835	160	389	23	9	373	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	60	52	15	4	1	1	7	17	1	0	0	288	383	462	845	173	412	28	12	377	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	299	262	65	15	2	11	31	71	6	1	1	248	341	447	788	198	300	24	10	351	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	479	422	108	27	2	17	39	92	10	2	0	256	333	450	784	194	285	19	8	342	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	49	42	12	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	286	362	429	790	143	344	22	8	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	113	101	24	6	0	4	8	30	4	2	0	238	319	416	734	178	299	27	7	329	108	+1	+0	-5	+4	+2	0.3
2023	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	117	101	32	9	1	4	11	21	4	2	0	317	405	545	950	228	364	18	9	414	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	335	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	263	358	448	806	185	307	21	11	356	122	+10	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.0
2025	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2026	30	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	214	184	37	6	0	8	28	59	2	0	0	201	313	364	677	163	248	28	13	309	93	-2	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.1
2026	30	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	38	34	10	1	0	6	2	5	0	0	0	294	333	853	1.186	559	160	13	5	471	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	876	766	174	34	1	34	87	231	17	7	1	227	319	407	726	180	277	26	10	324	106	+6	+1	-8	-3	+19	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	261	235	52	10	1	9	16	61	7	2	1	221	291	387	678	166	252	23	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	568	519	101	27	1	12	35	152	6	7	4	195	254	320	573	125	238	27	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	60	54	14	3	1	1	5	20	1	0	0	259	333	407	741	148	377	33	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	299	273	55	11	2	9	20	88	6	1	1	201	271	355	626	154	257	29	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	479	432	98	22	2	12	29	107	10	2	0	227	291	370	661	144	262	22	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	113	101	24	6	0	4	8	30	4	2	0	238	319	416	734	178	299	27	7	328	108	+1	+0	-5	+4	+2	0.3
2023	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	117	104	28	7	1	3	8	25	4	2	0	269	345	442	787	173	311	21	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	341	88	18	1	14	38	84	9	4	1	258	348	440	788	182	307	21	10	349	122	+10	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.0
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2026	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	214	185	37	6	0	8	27	59	2	0	0	200	308	362	671	162	248	28	13	305	93	-2	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.1
2026	30	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	38	35	8	1	0	4	1	6	0	0	0	229	250	600	850	371	130	16	3	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	261	235	52	10	1	9	16	61	7	2	1	221	291	387	678	166	256	23	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	261	222	70	15	2	12	29	42	7	2	1	315	411	563	974	248	339	16	11	421	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	624	571	111	29	1	14	38	167	7	7	4	194	253	322	575	128	245	27	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	624	554	145	46	1	18	55	124	7	7	4	262	336	446	782	184	304	20	9	343	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	359	326	68	14	3	10	26	108	7	1	1	209	281	362	643	153	279	30	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	359	314	80	19	3	12	38	88	7	1	1	255	348	449	797	194	318	25	11	355	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	528	475	107	24	2	13	32	118	11	2	0	225	290	366	656	141	267	22	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	528	464	120	30	2	18	43	103	11	2	0	259	336	448	784	190	291	20	8	342	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	205	51	13	1	7	16	55	8	4	0	249	328	424	752	176	306	24	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	230	202	56	15	1	8	19	51	8	4	0	277	362	480	843	203	333	22	8	372	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	341	88	18	1	14	38	84	9	4	1	258	348	440	788	182	300	21	10	349	122	+10	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.0
2024	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	335	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	263	358	448	806	185	307	21	11	356	122	+10	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.0
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2025	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2026	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	252	220	45	7	0	12	28	65	2	0	0	205	300	400	700	195	228	26	11	314	99	-0	+0	-1	-3	+5	0.2
2026	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	252	218	47	7	0	14	30	64	2	0	0	216	316	440	756	225	232	25	12	334	99	-0	+0	-1	-3	+5	0.2
2018	22	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	261	236	52	10	1	9	16	61	7	2	1	220	291	386	676	165	252	23	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	624	574	111	29	1	14	38	167	7	7	4	193	253	321	574	127	238	27	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	359	323	68	14	3	10	26	108	7	1	1	211	281	365	647	155	277	30	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	528	480	107	24	2	13	32	118	11	2	0	223	290	362	652	140	262	22	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	204	51	13	1	7	16	55	8	4	0	250	328	426	754	176	305	24	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	342	88	18	1	14	38	84	9	4	1	257	348	439	787	181	307	21	10	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	145	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	172	229	366	595	193	212	37	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	252	220	45	7	0	12	28	65	2	0	0	205	300	400	700	195	230	26	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	342	88	18	1	14	38	84	9	4	1	257	348	439	787	181	307	21	10	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	145	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	172	229	366	595	193	212	37	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	252	220	45	7	0	12	28	65	2	0	0	205	300	400	700	195	230	26	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CLE	100%	277	246	55	10	1	12	26	70	3	2	1	219	304	407	711	187	255	25	9	316	100	-0	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	31	MLB CTX	CLE	100%	277	246	55	10	1	12	26	70	3	2	1	220	305	407	711	187	256	25	9	316	100	-0	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	258	229	48	8	1	10	24	67	3	0	1	212	297	391	687	178	249	26	9	306	93	-2	-0	-6	+5	+6	0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	168	148	32	6	0	7	16	44	2	0	0	213	297	391	688	178	249	26	10	306	93	-1	+0	-4	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1044	914	206	40	1	41	103	275	19	7	1	225	316	406	722	181	274	26	10	322	85	+5	+1	-12	+0	+23	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	129	25	1	26	64	171	12	4	1	227	317	411	729	185	275	26	10	322	85	+3	+1	-8	+0	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3338	2994	650	137	11	109	253	853	59	23	9	217	291	379	670	162	263	26	8	294	85	+4	+1	-17	+7	+31	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	127	27	2	21	49	166	11	4	2	218	290	379	669	161	264	26	8	294	85	+2	+0	-8	+3	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Robinson Chirinoslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,427 PA	3.7	2,427	95	5	227	320	420	+43	-10	12.9	13.8
/162	664	26	1	+11.9	-2.8	3.5	pk7: 15
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Elrod Hendricks'68-'79 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,155 PA	3.2	2,155	62	1	224*	308*	401*	+37	-0	8.7	8.7
/162	664	19	0	+11.4	-0.1	2.7	pk7: 9
#4Patsy Gharrity'16-'30 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,234 PA	3.4	2,234	20	32	238*	308*	392*	+21	-6	6.1	6.5
/162	664	6	10	+6.2	-1.7	1.8	pk7: 7
#5Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#6Doug Mirabelli'96-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,655 PA	2.5	1,655	58	3	222*	307*	395*	+26	+0	5.5	5.6
/162	664	23	1	+10.6	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.0	1,321	52	10	225	311	407	+18	-17	4.8	4.9
/162	664	26	5	+8.8	-8.7	2.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Fry (OGILVIE)	31	40	50	45	45	217/302/403	186	255	12	2	25%	10%	100	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shelley Duncan 2012 · MLB	32	43→44	54→60	44→45	49	228/299/408	180	263	23	3	23%	8%	99	+1.2	199/268/347	148	236	18	4	24%	8%	73	-0.6	171/240/305	134	200	17	1	25%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Jeff Bailey 2010 · MLB	31	44→48	52→55	47→45	50	231/312/397	166	272	20	6	23%	9%	101	+1.4	215/289/345	130	268	13	6	24%	8%	80	-0.1	203/279/323	119	256	10	5	24%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Tagg Bozied 2009 · AAA	30	43→46	54→55	48→45	47	230/292/409	179	262	22	6	22%	7%	97	+1.1	231/295/399	168	294	19	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	219/290/387	168	292	18	3	30%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Matt Davidson 2022 · MLB	31	41→45	59→60	46→30	40	225/283/429	204	285	28	3	32%	6%	98	+1.2	234/306/433	199	302	28	5	31%	7%	107	+1.9	219/301/420	201	274	32	0	32%	8%	100	+0.9
✕Ryan Shealy 2011 · MLB	31	42→52	53→55	45→40	47	221/297/394	173	278	21	3	28%	9%	95	+0.9	217/290/364	147	292	17	6	30%	8%	85	+0.2	198/275/319	121	271	15	0	31%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Valentino Pascucci 2011 · AAA	32	39→42	53→55	47→45	49	210/294/381	171	272	22	4	31%	10%	91	+0.6	204/286/360	156	292	20	3	35%	10%	83	+0.1	191/278/337	147	274	19	0	36%	10%	73	-0.5
✕Mike Ford 2024 · MLB	32	42→51	55	48→30	51	224/310/404	180	265	24	3	25%	10%	102	+1.5	220/292/373	153	273	19	6	26%	8%	88	+0.4	191/256/307	116	241	15	3	27%	8%	56	-0.6
✕DJ Stewart 2024 · MLB	30	40→49	58→60	45→50	50	220/314/418	198	262	27	4	28%	10%	107	+1.8	196/297/342	146	262	18	8	31%	11%	84	+0.1	155/276/261	106	216	14	8	32%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	41→40	55→65	47→45	41	221/283/406	185	271	23	7	28%	6%	93	+0.8	203/267/337	134	257	16	6	27%	6%	71	-0.8	166/234/261	95	210	12	0	27%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Kevin Barker 2006 · AAA	31	45	54→55	44→40	45	237/293/412	176	287	22	4	26%	7%	97	+1.1	226/288/381	155	283	18	4	26%	8%	88	+0.4	244/309/410	165	282	17	1	20%	8%	102	+1.0
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2022 · MLB	30	42→41	54→50	42→30	53	222/307/398	176	265	22	3	25%	11%	99	+1.3	218/305/357	139	291	16	4	29%	11%	89	+0.5	205/298/323	118	281	14	2	30%	11%	78	-0.2
✕Chris Heisey 2016 · MLB	31	37→47	52→55	49→55	47	201/273/362	161	236	21	9	25%	8%	79	-0.2	212/281/385	173	263	22	6	28%	8%	87	+0.4	215/291/447	231	243	35	0	28%	8%	106	+0.5
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2021 · AAA	31	40→50	56→60	44→50	40	219/279/412	193	281	25	5	31%	6%	93	+0.8	211/261/364	153	286	19	8	32%	6%	74	-0.5	183/226/319	136	248	19	6	34%	5%	48	-1.5
✕Jon Knott 2008 · MLB	29	41→40	54→55	45→40	47	219/288/402	183	262	22	5	26%	8%	93	+0.8	219/284/378	159	273	19	6	26%	7%	86	+0.3	205/266/363	158	248	19	2	25%	6%	73	-0.6
✕Jason Dubois 2010 · AAA	31	42→45	53→60	44→40	40	221/281/390	169	287	22	5	31%	6%	88	+0.5	234/296/435	201	299	27	6	31%	7%	104	+1.6	224/288/478	254	258	39	0	31%	7%	108	+0.8
✕Mitch Jones 2009 · AAA	31	38→40	59→65	50→45	41	213/277/419	206	275	27	8	33%	7%	94	+0.9	210/258/406	196	259	26	9	30%	5%	83	+0.1	196/240/389	193	234	26	8	30%	4%	71	-0.6
✕Jon Singleton 2024 · MLB	32	38→48	53→50	44→45	54	205/298/372	168	257	21	4	29%	12%	91	+0.6	203/288/350	147	265	19	4	29%	11%	82	-0.0	187/276/321	134	244	18	1	30%	11%	69	-0.7
✕Graham Koonce 2006 · AAA	31	42→40	53→55	43→30	45	224/287/395	171	272	22	3	27%	7%	91	+0.7	208/281/381	173	260	22	4	29%	8%	86	+0.3	183/264/359	175	222	23	2	29%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Jordan Luplow 2024 · MLB	30	37→47	54→65	47→50	51	204/292/377	173	235	23	9	24%	10%	90	+0.6	219/290/366	147	267	17	16	24%	8%	86	+0.3	206/272/342	136	248	16	24	24%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Jorge Toca 2006 · AAA	31	48	53→55	43→40	39	251/285/419	168	286	23	3	22%	4%	96	+1.0	248/285/394	146	290	16	6	20%	4%	89	+0.5	271/300/418	147	325	15	2	21%	3%	97	+0.4

David Fry

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps