Graham Firoved — OGILVIE

Graham Firoved P Aberdeen IronBirds

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 25 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%21.9%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	1.0	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.51	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	1.0	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	5.10	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	32	0	38	190	46	27	4	0%	1.2	18.6%	16.3%	2.3%	2.9%	7.28	5.18	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	32	0	38	190	46	27	4	0%	1.2	24.2%	14.2%	10.0%	2.1%	7.28	4.17	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	35	0	42	199	47	42	4	0%	1.2	18.2%	24.3%	-6.1%	2.4%	5.83	5.98	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	35	0	42	199	47	42	4	0%	1.2	18.2%	24.3%	-6.1%	2.4%	5.83	5.98	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	35	0	42	199	47	42	4	0%	1.2	23.6%	21.1%	2.5%	2.0%	5.83	5.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	BAL	24	0	25	106	23	16	3	0%	1.0	21.9%	15.4%	6.5%	3.0%	5.22	5.22	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BAL	23	0	24	102	22	15	3	0%	1.0	21.9%	14.9%	7.0%	3.1%	5.18	5.21	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	14.9%	7.0%	3.1%	5.18	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	8	6	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	14.9%	7.0%	3.1%	5.18	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	136	23	0%	1.1	21.9%	14.9%	7.0%	3.1%	5.18	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		69	0	82	401	73	81	10	0%	1.2	18.1%	20.3%	-2.2%	2.6%	6.59	5.56	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	0	200	978	177	198	25	0%	1.2	18.1%	20.3%	-2.2%	2.6%	6.59	5.56	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Graham Firoved (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	21.9%	15.4%	3.0%	—	5.21	21.9%	7.0%	24	-0.01	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	85
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	83
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	20.1%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.04	2.92	140	83
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	82
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	81
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	81
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	80
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	80
Zac Leigh R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	21.8%	15.4%	1.8%	.367	4.74	19.4%	2.7%	87	+0.53	3.70	201	80
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	80