Jack Anderson — OGILVIE

Jack Anderson P St. Paul Saints

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 197 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.93

FIP3.93

K%19.9%

BB%5.2%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL6060

CMD6060

K†5050

FB+1.0 (33%)

CU (6%)

SL-1.1 (38%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	5	0	6	28	3	4	3	0%	1.2	10.7%	14.3%	-3.6%	10.7%	7.50	9.89	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	5	0	6	28	3	4	3	0%	1.2	10.7%	14.3%	-3.6%	10.7%	7.50	10.60	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	60	248	72	13	4	0%	1.5	21.8%	6.1%	15.6%	1.8%	3.47	3.04	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	60	248	72	13	4	0%	1.5	29.0%	5.2%	23.8%	1.6%	3.47	2.21	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	54	235	43	12	8	0%	1.4	14.1%	5.9%	8.2%	4.8%	4.80	5.30	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	54	235	43	12	8	0%	1.4	14.1%	5.9%	8.2%	4.8%	4.80	5.30	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	54	235	43	12	8	0%	1.4	18.3%	5.1%	13.2%	3.4%	4.80	4.09	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	66	272	60	13	5	3%	1.9	17.2%	4.9%	12.3%	2.6%	3.66	3.69	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	66	272	60	13	5	3%	1.9	17.2%	4.9%	12.3%	2.6%	3.66	3.69	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	66	272	60	13	5	3%	1.9	22.1%	4.8%	17.3%	1.8%	3.66	2.86	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	7	87	364	101	22	12	27%	3.3	22.5%	6.4%	16.1%	3.6%	4.57	3.99	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	7	87	364	101	22	12	27%	3.3	22.5%	6.4%	16.1%	3.6%	4.57	3.99	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	7	87	364	101	22	12	27%	3.3	27.7%	6.0%	21.7%	3.3%	4.57	3.33	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			7	0	12	48	12	3	1	0%	1.8	25.0%	6.2%	18.8%	2.1%	2.19	2.94	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	33	15	99	428	85	32	16	45%	3.0	15.9%	6.9%	9.1%	4.3%	4.65	5.01	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	33	15	99	428	85	32	16	45%	3.0	15.9%	6.9%	9.1%	4.3%	4.65	5.01	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	MIN	26	15	86	380	73	29	15	58%	3.3	19.2%	7.6%	11.6%	3.9%	5.00	4.61	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	MIN	7	0	12	48	12	3	1	0%	1.8	25.0%	6.2%	18.8%	2.1%	2.19	2.92	+0.2
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	MIN	7	0	12	48	12	3	1	0%	1.8	25.0%	6.2%	18.8%	2.1%	2.19	2.92	+0.2
ROS	26	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	5	1	1	0%	1.1	19.9%	5.2%	14.7%	3.4%	3.93	3.93	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	5	1	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	5.2%	14.7%	3.4%	3.93	3.93	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	105	455	90	33	17	—	—	19.9%	7.3%	12.5%	3.7%	4.61	4.94	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	MIN	—	—	19	79	90	33	17	—	—	114.5%	42.3%	72.2%	21.4%	25.90	10.55	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	94	0	99	419	90	23	14	0%	1.1	21.5%	5.4%	16.1%	3.3%	4.13	4.14	+0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	94	0	99	419	90	24	14	0%	1.1	21.4%	5.7%	15.7%	3.3%	4.20	4.23	+0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	90	0	95	400	85	24	14	0%	1.1	21.2%	6.1%	15.2%	3.5%	4.30	4.37	+0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	85	0	89	376	79	24	14	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.4%	14.5%	3.7%	4.44	4.54	+0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	90	0	94	397	85	22	13	0%	1.0	21.5%	5.4%	16.1%	3.3%	4.13	4.14	+0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	90	0	94	397	85	23	13	0%	1.0	21.4%	5.7%	15.7%	3.3%	4.20	4.23	+0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	86	0	90	380	81	23	13	0%	1.0	21.2%	6.1%	15.2%	3.5%	4.30	4.37	+0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	81	0	85	359	75	23	13	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.4%	14.5%	3.7%	4.44	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		359	0	382	1607	344	95	55	0%	1.1	21.4%	5.9%	15.5%	3.4%	4.19	3.90	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	842	180	50	29	0%	1.1	21.4%	5.9%	15.5%	3.4%	4.19	3.90	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		177	23	372	1575	287	99	58	13%	2.1	18.2%	6.3%	11.9%	3.7%	4.33	4.36	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	12	200	848	155	53	31	13%	2.1	18.2%	6.3%	11.9%	3.7%	4.33	4.36	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.18	20.9%	4.9%	3.4%	—	4.24	21.4%	15.7%	293	+0.06	—	—	—
Reinier Roibal R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	26	SU	3.11	19.1%	4.5%	1.9%	.262	4.37	16.9%	9.8%	35	+1.26	3.11	133	80
Deolis Guerra R 2015 · 3.48 FIP	26	SU	3.48	23.5%	4.9%	3.2%	.291	3.65	21.9%	15.7%	179	+0.17	2.53	364	79
Ryan Eades R 2018 · 3.19 FIP	26	SW	3.19	22.4%	7.4%	1.9%	.352	4.24	23.9%	15.3%	64	+1.05	3.19	451	77
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	76
Kevin Herget R 2017 · 3.68 FIP	26	SW	3.68	20.3%	7.0%	2.5%	.332	4.67	18.1%	12.4%	139	+0.99	2.19	722	75
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	75
Alex Colomé R 2015 · 3.33 FIP	26	SW	3.33	19.3%	5.9%	2.0%	.309	2.95	25.5%	19.3%	191	-0.38	2.72	530	75
Jackson Rose R 2022 · 3.33 FIP	26	SW	3.33	21.0%	4.3%	2.6%	.245	4.79	23.3%	10.7%	26	+1.46	3.33	147	75
Jonathan Aro R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	26	SU	3.72	25.3%	6.9%	3.4%	.252	3.56	14.6%	8.1%	108	-0.16	2.57	323	74
Carlos Navas R 2019 · 4.06 FIP	26	SW	4.06	20.7%	7.0%	3.3%	.271	6.98	19.3%	10.0%	44	+2.92	2.98	385	73
Sauryn Lao R 2023 · 3.31 FIP	23	SU	3.31	23.8%	5.2%	2.9%	.367	3.28	20.0%	12.9%	128	-0.03	3.11	182	72
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	72
Andrew Kittredge R 2016 · 3.08 FIP	26	SU	3.08	23.1%	6.6%	2.0%	.353	2.96	25.6%	19.7%	255	-0.12	2.47	688	72
Stephen Perakslis R 2017 · 3.07 FIP	26	SW	3.07	21.3%	8.2%	1.3%	.313	5.15	11.8%	5.9%	42	+2.08	3.07	211	72
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	72
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	72
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	72
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	72
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	89	21.2%	5.8%	1.32	4.25
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Alec Mills ('21)	1.1	72	19.0%	6.9%	1.41	4.51
Wade LeBlanc ('21)	2.4	81	18.0%	6.0%	1.67	4.61
Adrian Sampson ('22)	1.4	72	17.6%	6.1%	1.66	4.38
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17