Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 15 | 10 | 64 | 273 | 71 | 16 | 5 | 67% | 4.3 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 3.66 | 3.94 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 15 | 10 | 64 | 273 | 71 | 16 | 5 | 67% | 4.3 | 26.0% | 5.9% | 20.1% | 1.8% | 3.66 | 2.65 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 15 | 2 | 44 | 178 | 51 | 5 | 6 | 13% | 2.9 | 19.5% | 3.5% | 16.0% | 4.7% | 3.48 | 4.49 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 15 | 2 | 44 | 178 | 51 | 5 | 6 | 13% | 2.9 | 28.7% | 2.8% | 25.8% | 3.4% | 3.48 | 2.90 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 5 | 49 | 222 | 46 | 14 | 7 | 21% | 2.0 | 16.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.73 | 5.48 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 5 | 49 | 222 | 46 | 14 | 7 | 21% | 2.0 | 20.7% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 5.73 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 52 | 237 | 56 | 18 | 13 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 6.97 | 6.07 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 52 | 237 | 56 | 18 | 13 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.6% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 5.5% | 6.97 | 5.25 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 41 | 0 | 55 | 256 | 59 | 24 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.64 | 5.84 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 41 | 0 | 55 | 256 | 59 | 24 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 7.64 | 5.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.14 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 85 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 17 | 264 | 1166 | 213 | 89 | 56 | 13% | 2.0 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 5.50 | 5.17 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 13 | 200 | 884 | 161 | 67 | 43 | 13% | 2.0 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 5.50 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yoelvin Silven (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.52 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 38 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 84 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 80 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 80 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 80 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 80 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 80 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 79 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 79 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 79 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 79 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 79 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 79 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 79 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 79 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 79 |
| John Gorman R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 23.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.02 | 141 | 78 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 22.8% | 9.4% | 1.23 | 4.47 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |