Bill Knight — OGILVIE

Bill KnightOF Arkansas Travelers

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION228 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .278 / .299

PA152

HR2

SB9

K%28

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO95

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	35	9	1	0	1	5	15	4	5	1	257	409	371	781	114	400	33	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	32	11	1	0	1	8	10	4	5	1	344	523	469	991	125	455	22	18	445	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	303	266	67	8	1	6	19	96	17	34	5	252	341	357	698	105	372	32	6	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	303	257	74	11	1	6	28	75	17	34	5	288	394	409	803	121	386	25	9	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	479	425	64	15	4	7	24	159	24	29	6	151	237	254	491	104	216	33	5	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	479	404	85	23	4	12	45	114	24	29	6	210	326	376	702	166	258	24	9	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	565	509	123	17	5	5	34	134	14	44	10	242	307	324	631	83	312	24	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	565	498	124	16	5	3	45	117	14	44	10	249	329	319	648	70	313	21	8	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	SEA	—	228	206	41	7	2	3	13	66	8	20	2	199	273	296	569	97	275	29	6	244	45	-14	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
YTD	26	AA	SEA	—	228	200	45	8	2	3	19	51	8	20	2	225	317	330	647	105	286	22	8	298	86	-4	+3	+0	-1	+6	0.5
ROS	26	AA	SEA	2%	152	137	28	5	1	2	9	42	5	9	1	204	278	299	577	95	278	28	6	261	58	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	SEA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						275	33	0	237	39	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	SEA	—	231	209	41	7	2	3	13	67	8	20	2	196	270	292	561	96	271	29	6	244	45	-14	+3	+0	-1	+7	-0.6
TOT	26	AA	SEA	—	380	343	69	12	3	5	22	108	13	29	3	201	275	297	573	96	276	28	6	251	50	-21	+5	+0	-2	+11	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SEA	27%	437	395	81	14	3	6	27	119	12	22	4	205	276	301	578	96	276	27	6	263	60	-20	+3	+0	-3	+12	-0.7
2028	28	MLB	SEA	40%	499	451	93	16	3	7	32	135	13	23	4	206	278	302	580	95	277	27	6	267	63	-21	+3	-1	-3	+14	-0.8
2027	27	MLB	SEA	27%	117	106	23	4	1	2	7	32	3	6	1	217	284	330	615	113	274	27	6	242	43	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	28	MLB	SEA	40%	199	179	36	6	1	3	13	54	5	9	1	201	274	296	570	95	274	27	7	246	47	-12	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	319	288	59	10	2	5	20	87	8	15	2	205	275	306	581	101	273	27	6	245	45	-20	+2	-0	-2	+9	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	120	20	4	10	41	177	16	31	4	204	275	303	578	99	272	27	6	245	45	-40	+5	-1	-4	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	2480	2218	465	76	17	34	150	700	89	166	31	210	287	305	592	96	287	28	6	264	60	-112	+21	-1	-15	+70	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	122	20	4	9	39	183	23	44	8	210	286	305	590	95	287	28	6	264	60	-29	+6	-0	-4	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	32	11	1	0	1	8	10	4	5	1	344	523	469	991	125	455	22	18	445	199	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	51	44	10	0	0	3	3	15	4	4	1	227	333	432	765	205	269	29	6	345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	252	213	64	11	1	3	25	60	13	30	4	300	406	404	810	103	407	24	10	370	142	+12	+4	—	—	+7	2.4
2024	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	479	404	85	23	4	12	45	114	24	29	6	210	326	376	702	166	258	24	9	317	100	+0	+3	—	—	+14	1.8
2025	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	565	498	124	16	5	3	45	117	14	44	10	249	329	319	648	70	313	21	8	296	84	-10	+5	—	—	+16	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	321	4	15	208	276	306	-2	+0	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	9	32	208	276	306	-4.0	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bill Knight (OGILVIE)	26	45	30	60	35	201/275/297	96	276	5	29	28%	6%	50	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	45→55	37→40	56→55	42	213/270/288	74	288	5	24	27%	6%	53	-1.5	207/246/287	80	284	6	19	28%	4%	43	-2.2	196/224/260	63	269	5	20	28%	2%	23	-3.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA	26	48→51	40	58→60	41	230/280/327	97	315	6	27	28%	6%	68	-0.5	219/282/306	87	309	6	25	29%	7%	64	-0.8	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Josh Prince 2014 · AAA	26	41→49	41→40	53→60	45	202/268/299	97	269	9	26	27%	8%	56	-1.3	211/283/302	91	278	8	28	25%	9%	63	-0.8	220/298/303	83	297	8	28	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2014 · AA	26	44→48	39→40	53→55	42	213/260/301	88	278	6	19	25%	6%	53	-1.5	227/268/306	79	291	4	14	22%	5%	56	-1.3	232/268/302	70	292	2	12	20%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Ryan Strausborger 2014 · AA	26	44→47	41→45	58→55	38	213/252/313	100	280	7	22	26%	4%	53	-1.5	221/261/322	101	279	9	26	23%	5%	59	-1.1	220/262/318	99	274	9	30	23%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→51	38→40	56→60	37	234/270/316	81	316	5	28	27%	4%	59	-1.1	225/263/304	79	296	3	28	24%	4%	54	-1.4	223/259/288	65	291	0	37	22%	4%	45	-0.9
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Rafael Bautista 2019 · MLB	26	50→53	36→30	55→60	42	235/277/298	63	295	3	24	21%	5%	59	-1.1	214/262/299	85	272	7	14	23%	5%	53	-1.5	204/247/291	87	252	10	6	23%	3%	41	-1.0
✕Adam Godwin 2009 · AA	26	51→53	36→30	56→55	47	241/293/305	64	295	3	25	19%	6%	67	-0.5	230/278/308	78	297	4	19	23%	6%	62	-0.9	229/265/295	66	301	2	21	24%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	45→53	42→45	59→65	40	220/272/324	104	302	9	34	29%	6%	64	-0.8	227/272/311	84	309	6	39	27%	6%	59	-1.1	229/273/299	70	312	5	48	27%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Cade Gotta 2018 · AAA	26	48→51	40→45	56→55	44	233/278/328	96	292	7	29	22%	6%	67	-0.5	237/296/347	110	305	8	27	23%	8%	80	+0.4	243/312/366	124	313	7	33	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→47	39→40	54→55	42	209/276/294	85	309	7	21	33%	7%	58	-1.2	205/298/291	86	306	6	16	32%	9%	68	-0.5	192/306/270	77	284	5	18	30%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Roemon Fields 2017 · AAA	26	44→54	35→30	57→60	41	211/252/267	56	278	3	32	25%	5%	40	-2.4	227/274/288	61	300	3	36	24%	6%	54	-1.4	232/283/289	57	304	2	40	23%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Juan Ciriaco 2016 · AA	26	49	35→30	56→60	37	230/252/288	58	293	2	27	22%	2%	44	-2.1	225/247/299	74	270	6	18	19%	3%	45	-2.1	225/238/286	61	260	6	19	16%	1%	34	-0.9
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Aaron Whitefield 2023 · AA	26	46→47	42→40	58→60	41	219/275/326	107	318	9	32	33%	7%	66	-0.6	215/273/337	122	341	12	26	38%	7%	68	-0.5	165/228/282	117	311	13	46	48%	7%	32	-0.6
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	196/245/263	67	267	5	32	28%	6%	37	-2.7	190/257/265	75	276	5	26	31%	7%	43	-2.2	115/212/152	37	189	0	39	35%	8%	-3	-1.2
✕Kyle Johnson 2016 · AAA	26	43→51	39→40	50→55	43	206/272/295	88	284	5	18	28%	6%	57	-1.2	193/254/279	86	274	7	11	30%	6%	45	-2.1	162/225/224	63	227	5	8	29%	6%	16	-1.9
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1