Bill Knight

OF Arkansas Travelers
Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424A+SEA479.210/.326/.376122943—.160/.254/.271
202525AASEA565.249/.329/.31934463—.227/.293/.294
202626AASEA321.239/.334/.33932554—.201/.281/.281
2027PROJMLE27MLBSEA3.206/.275/.2850062-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBSEA43.206/.275/.2860262-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed99
Z-Con%75
K%67
Whiff%64
wRC+46
Chase%46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsKenny Wilson (age 27) · Patrick Biondi (age 27) · Michael Mitchell (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .275 / .285
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP275
ISO71
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202222 ROKACL Mariners — 4532 11101 8104 51 344523469991 125455 2218 445 101 — — — — — —
202323 A+Everett AquaSox — 5144 10003 3154 41 227333432765 205269 296 345 61 — — — — — —
202323 AModesto Nuts — 252213 641113 256013 304 300406404810 103407 2410 370 86 — — — — — —
202424 A+Everett AquaSox — 479404 8523412 4511424 296 210326376702 166258 249 317 43 — — — — — —
202525 AAArkansas Travelers — 565498 1241653 4511714 4410 249329319648 70313 218 296 63 — — — — — —
202626 AAArkansas Travelers — 321280 671143 276913 254 239334339674 100306 218 310 54 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202222 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 4535 9101 5154 51 257409371781 114344 3311 318 101 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 5145 8002 2194 41 178275311586 133233 374 258 61 — — — — — —
202323 A MLEModesto Nuts — 252222 57813 168013 304 257343342685 86373 326 296 86 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 479420 671738 2915324 296 160254271525 112215 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 565510 1161553 3313414 4410 227293294587 67289 246 261 63 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 321288 58942 198413 254 201281281562 80266 266 248 54 — — — — — —
202222 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 4535 9101 5154 51 257409371781 114400 3311 318 101 — — — — — —
202222 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 4532 11101 8104 51 344523469991 125455 2218 445 101 — — — — — —
202323 A MLE2 teams — 303267 64815 189917 345 240328333661 94362 336 290 82 — — — — — —
202323 A RAW2 teams — 303257 741116 287517 345 288394409803 121386 259 366 82 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 479420 671738 2915324 296 160254271525 112223 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202424 A+ RAWEverett AquaSox — 479404 8523412 4511424 296 210326376702 166258 249 317 43 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 565510 1161553 3313414 4410 227293294587 67297 246 261 63 — — — — — —
202525 AA RAWArkansas Travelers — 565498 1241653 4511714 4410 249329319648 70313 218 296 63 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 321288 58942 198413 254 201281281562 80276 266 248 54 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAWArkansas Travelers — 321280 671143 276913 254 239334339674 100306 218 310 54 — — — — — —
202222 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 4536 9101 5154 51 250409361770 111344 3311 318 101 — — — — — —
202323 A MLE2 teams — 303265 64815 189917 345 242328336664 94349 336 290 82 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 479423 671738 2915324 296 158254270523 111215 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 565513 1161553 3313414 4410 226293292585 66289 246 261 63 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 321286 58942 198413 254 203281283564 80266 266 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 479423 671738 2915324 296 158254270523 111215 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 565513 1161553 3313414 4410 226293292585 66289 246 261 63 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 321286 58942 198413 254 203281283564 80266 266 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLESEA 2% 371336 701233 229510 184 208277288565 81277 266 259 62 -17 +2 +0 -2 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXSEA 2% 33 0000 010 00 206275285560 79275 330 257 62 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLESEA 27% 162147 30511 10424 71 208277289567 82277 266 260 62 -7 +1 -1 -1 +4 -0.5
202828 MLB CTXSEA 27% 4339 7100 3111 20 206275286561 80275 267 258 62 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4339 7100 3111 20 179256205461 26250 267 258 60 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 1061500 4516615 300 180255205460 25250 267 258 60 -29 +6 -3 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 20301808 373601521 12356780 15128 206286291577 85285 286 257 60 -14 +2 -1 -2 +7 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1201957 3918226 489 207287294581 86286 286 257 60 -30 +4 -1 -4 +14 -1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAArkansas Travelers · 321 PAwOBA .303 → .248 (−56)K% 21.5% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.50%÷1.000×1.220——26.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.41%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9785.76%
HBP% /PA4.05%—×0.870—×0.9783.45%
Singles /BIP23.22%÷1.000×0.920×0.982×0.97820.52%
Doubles /BIP5.21%÷1.000×0.840×0.982×0.9784.21%
Triples /BIP1.90%÷1.000×0.940×0.982×0.9781.71%
Home runs /BIP1.42%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9781.11%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .303 → .248; ISO .100 → .081; BABIP .306 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAArkansas Travelers · 565 PAwOBA .293 → .261 (−31)K% 20.7% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.71%÷1.061×1.220——23.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.96%÷0.950×0.700—×0.9885.80%
HBP% /PA2.48%—×0.870—×0.9882.13%
Singles /BIP26.25%÷0.998×0.920×1.014×0.98824.24%
Doubles /BIP4.20%÷0.914×0.840×1.014×0.9883.87%
Triples /BIP1.31%÷1.018×0.940×1.014×0.9881.21%
Home runs /BIP0.79%÷0.800×0.800—×0.9880.78%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 104, K 112, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .293 → .261; ISO .070 → .067; BABIP .313 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Everett AquaSox · 479 PAwOBA .312 → .232 (−80)K% 23.8% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.80%÷1.003×1.350——32.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.39%÷1.082×0.710—×0.9786.03%
HBP% /PA5.01%—×0.810—×0.9783.97%
Singles /BIP15.86%÷0.992×0.910×0.981×0.97813.96%
Doubles /BIP7.93%÷1.040×0.830×0.981×0.9786.07%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷0.904×0.820×0.981×0.9781.20%
Home runs /BIP4.14%÷1.175×0.830—×0.9782.86%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 81, K 101, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .312 → .232; ISO .166 → .117; BABIP .258 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AModesto Nuts · 252 PAwOBA .360 → .296 (−64)K% 23.8% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.81%÷1.026×1.360——31.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷1.013×0.690—×0.9806.36%
HBP% /PA5.16%—×0.780—×0.9803.94%
Singles /BIP32.03%÷0.974×0.920×1.027×0.98030.45%
Doubles /BIP7.19%÷1.050×0.830×1.027×0.9805.72%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.150×0.910×1.027×0.9800.52%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷0.883×0.800—×0.9801.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .360 → .296; ISO .103 → .082; BABIP .407 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Everett AquaSox · 51 PAwOBA .336 → .258 (−78)K% 29.4% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.41%÷1.046×1.350——37.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷0.953×0.710—×0.9884.33%
HBP% /PA7.84%—×0.810—×0.9886.28%
Singles /BIP24.14%÷1.018×0.910—×0.98821.32%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.040×0.830—×0.9880.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.820—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP10.34%÷1.012×0.830—×0.9888.38%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .336 → .258; ISO .205 → .150; BABIP .269 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Mariners · 45 PAwOBA .445 → .318 (−127)K% 22.2% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.984×1.440——32.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.78%÷1.023×0.620—×0.96510.40%
HBP% /PA8.89%—×0.720—×0.9656.18%
Singles /BIP40.91%÷1.014×0.820—×0.96531.93%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.132×0.720—×0.9652.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷1.033×0.780—×0.9653.31%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .445 → .318; ISO .125 → .091; BABIP .455 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).